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Michigan State vs Iowa Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 71-78
33-45 38-33
Position#154
Record17-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game65.8
Michigan State
USA
vs
Iowa 🏆
USA
Position#162
Record15-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game78.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Michigan State v Iowa
02 Dec 2025
MICH71
IOWA52
20 Feb 2024
MICH71
IOWA78
26 Jan 2023
MICH63
IOWA61
13 Feb 2021
MICH58
IOWA88
25 Feb 2020
MICH78
IOWA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iowa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#241
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H14/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H18/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A21/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A27/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H31/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H03/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H10/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A14/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
73-63
73
63
+10
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-22
45-33
37-32
39-34
44-32
17-27
34-43
32-38
33-35
48-27
31-27
32-27
32-27
24-32
44-41
44-39
45-31
35-41
39-37
34-26
136.8Avg total
71.7Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)75.265.8141.0+9.465%
Season at home (18)78.263.3141.5+14.878%
Season away (8)68.571.2139.8-2.838%
Last 10 (10)71.765.1136.8+6.680%
Last 5 (5)72.065.6137.6+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.072.4145.4+0.640%
vs Similar ◀ (16)71.469.6141.0+1.950%
vs Weaker (9)82.158.1140.2+24.0100%
This opponent (Iowa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IowaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#163
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A15/01
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H20/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H25/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
88-78
88
78
+10
A27/01
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A31/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H03/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A09/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H11/02
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A15/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
H17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-32
47-45
34-47
36-37
34-28
33-41
42-44
46-34
28-39
40-35
36-38
43-39
34-42
45-47
38-51
52-34
37-31
29-47
43-47
35-31
157.8Avg total
78.1Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.778.4162.1+5.258%
Season at home (17)88.275.9164.1+12.276%
Season away (9)75.183.1158.2-8.022%
Last 10 (10)78.179.7157.8-1.650%
Last 5 (5)80.483.0163.4-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.888.2160.0-16.50%
vs Similar ◀ (17)82.877.4160.2+5.559%
vs Weaker (9)87.975.1163.0+12.867%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +1.6+1.6
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +1.6+1.6
Michigan StateIowa
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#241
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H14/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H18/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A21/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A27/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H31/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H03/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A07/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H10/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A14/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A18/02
NCAA
69.4Avg total
36.7Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.829.965.8+5.963%-
Last 30 at home (20)35.527.162.7+8.465%-
Last 30 away (10)36.435.571.9+0.960%-
Last 10 (10)36.732.769.4+4.080%-
Last 5 (5)38.232.670.8+5.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.034.066.0-2.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)34.532.867.2+1.856%-
vs Weaker (9)40.322.763.0+17.789%-
This opponent (Iowa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IowaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#163
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A15/01
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H20/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H25/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A27/01
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A31/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H03/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A09/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H11/02
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A15/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H17/02
NCAA
76.4Avg total
36.5Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.937.776.6+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (20)40.637.077.6+3.760%-
Last 30 away (10)35.539.174.6-3.630%-
Last 10 (10)36.539.976.4-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.641.879.4-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.545.578.0-13.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.536.274.8+2.353%-
vs Weaker (9)42.636.979.4+5.767%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Michigan State wins
4
Iowa wins
DateGameScore
25/02/23Iowa v Michigan State112-106 OT
27/01/23Michigan State v Iowa63-61
23/02/22Iowa v Michigan State86-60
13/02/21Michigan State v Iowa58-88
03/02/21Iowa v Michigan State84-78
26/02/20Michigan State v Iowa78-70
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24AMichigan73-63
14/02/24APenn State80-72
10/02/24HIllinois88-80
07/02/24AMinnesota56-59
03/02/24HMaryland63-54
31/01/24HMichigan81-62
27/01/24AWisconsin66-81
21/01/24AMaryland61-59
18/01/24HMinnesota76-66
14/01/24HRutgers73-55
Iowalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HWisconsin88-86 OT
15/02/24AMaryland66-78
11/02/24HMinnesota90-85
09/02/24APenn State79-89
03/02/24HOhio State79-77
31/01/24AIndiana68-74
27/01/24AMichigan88-78
25/01/24HMaryland67-69
20/01/24HPurdue70-84
15/01/24AMinnesota86-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW65%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayWLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26188
Win %65%78%38%
Points / game75.278.268.5
Allowed / game65.863.371.2
Point differential+9.4+14.8-2.8
Avg total141.0141.5139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %4%6%0%
Iowa
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW58%
HomeLLWWW76%
AwayWWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26179
Win %58%76%22%
Points / game83.788.275.1
Allowed / game78.475.983.1
Point differential+5.2+12.2-8.0
Avg total162.1164.1158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%53%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue2623388%84.469.9+14.5
2 Illinois2519676%83.170.7+12.4
3 Nebraska2618869%77.070.0+7.0
4 Northwestern2618869%74.469.6+4.8
5 Oregon2517868%76.371.9+4.4
6 Michigan State2617965%75.265.8+9.4
7 Wisconsin2617965%74.368.6+5.7
8 Minnesota2516964%76.369.3+7.0
9 Iowa26151158%83.778.4+5.2
10 Ohio State26151158%74.469.7+4.7
11 Rutgers25141156%66.965.4+1.5
12 Indiana25141156%72.974.5-1.6
13 Maryland26141254%69.864.6+5.2
14 Washington26141254%80.976.5+4.4
15 UCLA26141254%66.264.1+2.1
16 Penn State26121446%74.873.3+1.4
17 USC26101638%74.775.5-0.8
18 Michigan2681831%75.278.9-3.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State333871
Iowa453378
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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