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Michigan State vs Wisconsin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 76-85
42-42 34-43
Position#159
Record6-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game73.3
vs
Position#131
Record7-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game57.5
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Michigan State v Wisconsin
15 Mar 2025
MICH74
WISC77
02 Mar 2025
MICH71
WISC62
05 Dec 2023
MICH57
WISC70
08 Feb 2022
MICH62
WISC70
25 Dec 2020
MICH76
WISC85
17 Jan 2020
MICH67
WISC55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wisconsin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#37
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A01/03
NCAA
Penn State
#113
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A04/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#94
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H08/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#289
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H25/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H29/11
NCAA
Duke
#154
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A02/12
NCAA
Detroit
#153
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H04/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#321
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H06/12
NCAA
Oakland
#260
W
109-91
109
91
+18
H13/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-29
38-37
31-46
48-25
38-32
42-37
43-27
40-40
39-26
41-44
37-33
38-36
35-35
48-41
39-35
40-26
44-40
65-51
30-43
35-36
153.0Avg total
81.1Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.073.3155.3+8.786%
Season at home (5)86.873.0159.8+13.8100%
Season away (2)70.074.0144.0-4.050%
Last 10 (10)81.171.9153.0+9.290%
Last 5 (5)82.275.2157.4+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)79.072.5151.5+6.5100%
vs Similar (9)76.269.0145.2+7.278%
vs Weaker (19)75.963.9139.8+12.074%
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WisconsinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#323
W
63-48
63
48
+15
H05/03
NCAA
Indiana
#149
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A07/03
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#290
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H26/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#345
W
92-58
92
58
+34
H28/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#295
W
82-42
82
42
+40
H01/12
NCAA
Marquette
#195
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A05/12
NCAA
Rhode Island
#250
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H09/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H16/12
NCAA
Louisville
#94
W
85-48
85
48
+37
H19/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H23/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-28
29-20
25-28
35-28
43-20
34-47
53-19
39-39
34-12
48-30
30-35
35-32
33-16
40-46
31-26
46-37
44-18
41-30
25-24
42-29
130.5Avg total
74.1Scored
56.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.257.5134.8+19.888%
Season at home (7)79.056.1135.1+22.9100%
Season away (1)65.067.0132.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)74.156.4130.5+17.790%
Last 5 (5)73.458.6132.0+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.364.3129.7+1.067%
vs Similar (17)66.160.9127.0+5.171%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)76.559.3135.8+17.290%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: +12.6+12.62nd half2nd half: +6.2+6.22nd half: +5.1+5.1
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: +12.6+12.62nd half2nd half: +6.2+6.22nd half: +5.1+5.1
Michigan StateWisconsin
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#37
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A01/03
NCAA
Penn State
#113
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A04/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#94
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H08/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#289
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H25/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H29/11
NCAA
Duke
#154
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A02/12
NCAA
Detroit
#153
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H04/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#321
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H06/12
NCAA
Oakland
#260
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H13/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A21/12
NCAA
72.2Avg total
37.6Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.131.466.5+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.630.668.2+7.076%-
Last 30 away (13)31.932.464.3-0.554%-
Last 10 (10)37.634.672.2+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)37.037.274.2-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)36.034.070.0+2.050%-
vs Similar (9)35.929.965.8+6.078%-
vs Weaker (19)34.731.866.5+2.963%-
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WisconsinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#323
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H05/03
NCAA
Indiana
#149
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A07/03
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#290
W
43-20
43
20
+23
H26/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#345
W
53-19
53
19
+34
H28/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#295
W
34-12
34
12
+22
H01/12
NCAA
Marquette
#195
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A05/12
NCAA
Rhode Island
#250
W
33-16
33
16
+17
H09/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H16/12
NCAA
Louisville
#94
W
44-18
44
18
+26
H19/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
25-24
25
24
+1
H23/12
NCAA
57.8Avg total
35.2Scored
22.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.727.160.8+6.680%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.924.160.0+11.8100%-
Last 30 away (12)30.431.762.1-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)35.222.657.8+12.680%-
Last 5 (5)32.623.856.4+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.329.360.7+2.067%-
vs Similar (17)32.026.858.8+5.276%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)37.327.164.4+10.290%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Michigan State wins
1
Wisconsin wins
DateGameScore
01/02/20Wisconsin v Michigan State64-63
18/01/20Michigan State v Wisconsin67-55
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/20ANorthwestern65-79
13/12/20HOakland109-91
06/12/20HWestern Michigan79-61
04/12/20HDetroit83-76
02/12/20ADuke75-69
29/11/20HNotre Dame80-70
25/11/20HEastern Michigan83-67
08/03/20HOhio State80-69
04/03/20APenn State79-71
01/03/20AMaryland78-66
Wisconsinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/20HNebraska67-53
19/12/20HLouisville85-48
16/12/20HLoyola Chicago77-63
09/12/20HRhode Island73-62
05/12/20AMarquette65-67
01/12/20HWisc. Green Bay82-42
28/11/20HArkansas-Pine Bluff92-58
26/11/20HEastern Illinois77-67
07/03/20AIndiana60-56
05/03/20HNorthwestern63-48

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %86%100%50%
Points / game82.086.870.0
Allowed / game73.373.074.0
Point differential+8.7+13.8-4.0
Avg total155.3159.8144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wisconsin
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games871
Win %88%100%0%
Points / game77.279.065.0
Allowed / game57.556.167.0
Point differential+19.8+22.9-2.0
Avg total134.8135.1132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+88%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan660100%82.367.5+14.8
2 Iowa87188%95.170.6+24.5
3 Wisconsin87188%77.257.5+19.8
4 Ohio State87188%77.465.8+11.6
5 Minnesota87188%82.573.5+9.0
6 Oregon76186%77.463.9+13.6
7 Rutgers76186%80.670.1+10.4
8 Michigan State76186%82.073.3+8.7
9 Northwestern65183%87.761.0+26.7
10 USC54180%79.863.8+16.0
11 Maryland75271%75.964.1+11.7
12 UCLA75271%77.367.4+9.9
13 Illinois96367%89.371.2+18.1
14 Purdue96367%72.465.6+6.9
15 Indiana85362%72.562.6+9.9
16 Nebraska84450%78.069.2+8.8
17 Penn State63350%77.374.5+2.8
18 Washington71614%61.070.3-9.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State423476
Wisconsin424385
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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