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Michigan State vs Oakland Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 22 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#28
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game66.2
vs
Position#344
Record1-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game91.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Michigan State v Oakland
22 Dec 2026
MICH v OAKL
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
MICH79
OAKL70
17 Dec 2024
MICH77
OAKL58
18 Dec 2023
MICH79
OAKL62
21 Dec 2022
MICH67
OAKL54
13 Dec 2020
MICH109
OAKL91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Oakland win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
91-87
91
87
+4
H06/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A08/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
84-88
84
88
-4
H14/03
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H19/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H21/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A28/03
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#267
W
96-59
96
59
+37
H03/11
NCAA
Toledo
#262
W
91-61
91
61
+30
H06/11
NCAA
Duke
#87
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A11/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#255
W
106-72
106
72
+34
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-30
60-57
41-42
39-48
33-44
51-44
45-25
47-42
36-31
41-38
27-35
36-32
52-24
44-35
48-25
43-36
34-25
45-48
59-44
47-28
159.2Avg total
85.9Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.066.2159.2+26.8100%
Season at home (3)97.764.0161.7+33.7100%
Season away (1)79.073.0152.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.973.3159.2+12.670%
Last 5 (5)87.066.4153.4+20.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.882.0160.8-3.250%
vs Similar (7)71.669.6141.1+2.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.568.1153.6+17.589%
This opponent (Oakland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OaklandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H22/02
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
86-74
86
74
+12
A25/02
NCAA
Detroit
#184
L
89-95
89
95
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H05/03
NCAA
Michigan
#163
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A02/11
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
63-81
63
81
-18
A07/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#44
L
67-90
67
90
-23
A07/11
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
68-109
68
109
-41
A10/11
NCAA
Boise State
#1
L
79-111
79
111
-32
A12/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#255
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-34
40-36
43-33
43-41
42-49
47-46
31-37
53-48
36-47
32-37
33-38
30-43
27-38
40-52
29-56
39-53
42-52
37-59
46-42
34-34
164.0Avg total
76.5Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)70.891.8162.7-21.017%
Season at home (1)80.076.0156.0+4.0100%
Season away (5)69.095.0164.0-26.00%
Last 10 (10)76.587.5164.0-11.030%
Last 5 (5)71.493.4164.8-22.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)74.885.3160.1-10.527%
vs Similar (9)86.782.3169.0+4.367%
vs Weaker (6)83.378.3161.7+5.067%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.1+8.11st half: -5.6-5.62nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: -5.4-5.4
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.1+8.11st half: -5.6-5.62nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: -5.4-5.4
Michigan StateOakland
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H06/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A08/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H14/03
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H19/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H21/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A28/03
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#267
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H03/11
NCAA
Toledo
#262
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H06/11
NCAA
Duke
#87
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A11/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#255
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H14/11
NCAA
73.1Avg total
40.6Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.733.571.2+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.532.172.6+8.472%-
Last 30 away (12)33.535.669.1-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.632.573.1+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)44.030.674.6+13.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.037.071.0-3.025%-
vs Similar (7)33.434.367.7-0.929%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)40.132.472.5+7.674%-
This opponent (Oakland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OaklandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H22/02
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A25/02
NCAA
Detroit
#184
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H28/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H05/03
NCAA
Michigan
#163
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A02/11
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A07/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#44
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A07/11
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A10/11
NCAA
Boise State
#1
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A12/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#255
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H14/11
NCAA
79.6Avg total
37.0Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.779.4-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.240.780.8-0.538%-
Last 30 away (17)37.640.678.3-3.041%-
Last 10 (10)37.042.679.6-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)35.445.280.6-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.942.578.3-6.620%-
vs Similar (9)40.941.482.3-0.644%-
vs Weaker (6)42.735.077.7+7.783%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Michigan State wins
0
Oakland wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HNorthern Iowa106-72
11/11/26ADuke79-73
06/11/26HToledo91-61
03/11/26HQuinnipiac96-59
28/03/26AUconn63-67
21/03/26HLouisville77-69
19/03/26HNorth Dakota St92-67
14/03/26HUCLA84-88
08/03/26AMichigan80-90
06/03/26HRutgers91-87
Oaklandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HNorthern Iowa80-76
12/11/26ABoise State79-111
10/11/26AAlabama68-109
07/11/26AUC Santa Barbara67-90
07/11/26AStanford63-81
02/11/26AMichigan68-84
05/03/26HNorthern Kentucky84-85
28/02/26HDetroit89-95
25/02/26AIU Indy86-74
22/02/26HWisc. Milwaukee81-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.097.779.0
Allowed / game66.264.073.0
Point differential+26.8+33.7+6.0
Avg total159.2161.7152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oakland
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games615
Win %17%100%0%
Points / game70.880.069.0
Allowed / game91.876.095.0
Point differential-21.0+4.0-26.0
Avg total162.7156.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wright State440100%91.269.0+22.2
2 Wisc. Green Bay53260%75.266.8+8.4
3 Youngstown State42250%74.080.5-6.5
4 Cleveland State42250%75.288.0-12.8
5 Wisc. Milwaukee52340%76.077.4-1.4
6 Northern Kentucky52340%74.693.4-18.8
7 IPFW31233%77.774.7+3.0
8 Oakland61517%70.891.8-21.0
9 Robert Morris3030%52.780.3-27.7
10 Detroit3030%53.092.7-39.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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