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Michigan State vs Oakland Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-70
39-36 40-34
Position#29
Record10-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game62.7
vs
Position#212
Record6-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game84.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Michigan State v Oakland
22 Dec 2026
MICH v OAKL
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
MICH79
OAKL70
17 Dec 2024
MICH77
OAKL58
18 Dec 2023
MICH79
OAKL62
21 Dec 2022
MICH67
OAKL54
13 Dec 2020
MICH109
OAKL91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oakland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H09/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
79-60
79
60
+19
H13/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
83-66
83
66
+17
A18/11
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
84-56
84
56
+28
H21/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
89-56
89
56
+33
A25/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H27/11
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
71-52
71
52
+19
H03/12
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H06/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A13/12
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
92-69
92
69
+23
H16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-39
33-27
46-23
33-37
44-27
39-39
41-25
43-31
47-24
42-32
33-28
41-30
35-21
36-31
34-31
26-35
36-39
40-33
58-28
34-41
139.8Avg total
77.7Scored
62.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.962.7140.6+15.291%
Season at home (8)76.162.0138.1+14.188%
Season away (3)82.764.7147.3+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.762.1139.8+15.690%
Last 5 (5)74.663.4138.0+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.066.0126.0-6.00%
vs Similar (12)71.263.2134.4+7.975%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)79.266.5145.6+12.788%
This opponent (Oakland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OaklandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#18
L
45-78
45
78
-33
A13/11
NCAA
Defiance College
#638
W
113-47
113
47
+66
H15/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
83-87
83
87
-4
A18/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
91-97
91
97
-6
A21/11
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
83-68
83
68
+15
A24/11
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
95-87
95
87
+8
A26/11
NCAA
IPFW
#181
W
101-92
101
92
+9
H04/12
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
98-97
98
97
+1
H06/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A13/12
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
17-39
28-39
68-21
45-26
40-44
43-43
41-46
50-51
34-31
49-37
46-43
49-44
47-38
54-54
45-48
53-49
30-38
33-37
41-38
41-39
165.9Avg total
85.4Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)84.184.4168.5-0.350%
Season at home (3)104.078.7182.7+25.3100%
Season away (9)77.486.3163.8-8.933%
Last 10 (10)85.480.5165.9+4.960%
Last 5 (5)87.885.6173.4+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)72.280.5152.7-8.431%
vs Similar (11)82.777.9160.6+4.864%
vs Weaker (6)87.066.5153.5+20.5100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.5+12.51st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +2.6+2.6
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.5+12.51st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +2.6+2.6
Michigan StateOakland
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H09/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H13/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A18/11
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H21/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
47-24
47
24
+23
A25/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H27/11
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H03/12
NCAA
Duke
#8
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H06/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A13/12
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
58-28
58
28
+30
H16/12
NCAA
69.5Avg total
41.0Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.731.567.2+4.250%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.130.667.6+6.563%-
Last 30 away (11)33.533.166.5+0.427%-
Last 10 (10)41.028.569.5+12.580%-
Last 5 (5)39.229.468.6+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.031.065.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (12)31.231.862.9-0.633%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)39.131.470.4+7.759%-
This opponent (Oakland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OaklandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#18
L
17-39
17
39
-22
A13/11
NCAA
Defiance College
#638
W
68-21
68
21
+47
H15/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A18/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A21/11
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A24/11
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A26/11
NCAA
IPFW
#181
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H04/12
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H06/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A13/12
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A18/12
NCAA
79.5Avg total
40.9Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.936.774.6+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (11)41.535.576.9+6.045%-
Last 30 away (19)35.837.573.3-1.753%-
Last 10 (10)40.938.679.5+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.082.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.339.373.6-5.031%-
vs Similar (11)40.036.676.6+3.473%-
vs Weaker (6)41.731.373.0+10.350%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Michigan State wins
0
Oakland wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/25HToledo92-69
13/12/25APenn State76-72
06/12/25HDuke60-66
03/12/25HIowa71-52
27/11/25HNorth Carolina74-58
25/11/25AEast Carolina89-56
21/11/25HDetroit84-56
18/11/25AKentucky83-66
13/11/25HSan Jose State79-60
09/11/25HArkansas69-66
Oaklandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25ANorthern Kentucky82-77
13/12/25ANorthern Iowa63-75
06/12/25HToledo98-97
04/12/25HIPFW101-92
26/11/25AMontana95-87
24/11/25ALamar83-68
21/11/25AEastern Michigan91-97
18/11/25AUCF Knights83-87
15/11/25HDefiance College113-47
13/11/25AHouston45-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW91%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %91%88%100%
Points / game77.976.182.7
Allowed / game62.762.064.7
Point differential+15.2+14.1+18.0
Avg total140.6138.1147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%75%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oakland
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1239
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game84.1104.077.4
Allowed / game84.478.786.3
Point differential-0.3+25.3-8.9
Avg total168.5182.7163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan10100100%94.767.7+27.0
2 Nebraska11110100%83.868.3+15.5
3 USC1211192%88.376.3+12.0
4 Purdue1110191%84.667.1+17.5
5 Michigan State1110191%77.962.7+15.2
6 Iowa119282%79.361.8+17.5
7 Ohio State108280%87.672.9+14.7
8 UCLA129375%80.469.2+11.2
9 Indiana118373%85.667.4+18.3
10 Illinois118373%87.871.5+16.3
11 Penn State118373%81.174.5+6.6
12 Northwestern117464%82.671.0+11.6
13 Washington117464%83.073.1+9.9
14 Wisconsin117464%83.475.5+7.9
15 Minnesota116555%73.468.1+5.3
16 Oregon116555%77.673.6+4.0
17 Maryland116555%77.680.5-2.9
18 Rutgers115645%68.973.1-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Kentucky139469%85.174.4+10.7
2 Robert Morris139469%76.270.7+5.5
3 Youngstown State127558%80.269.3+10.8
4 IPFW137654%85.878.7+7.2
5 Oakland126650%84.184.4-0.3
6 Wisc. Green Bay136746%72.775.0-2.3
7 Wisc. Milwaukee115645%80.582.2-1.7
8 Cleveland State135838%79.883.8-4.1
9 Detroit114736%74.579.3-4.8
10 Wright State124833%75.671.0+4.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State394079
Oakland363470
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