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Michigan State vs Indiana Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 81-60
39-32 42-28
Position#29
Record14-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game64.5
Michigan State 🏆
USA
vs
Indiana
USA
Position#145
Record12-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game68.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Michigan State v Indiana
13 Jan 2026
MICH81
INDI60
11 Feb 2025
MICH67
INDI71
21 Feb 2023
MICH80
INDI65
12 Feb 2022
MICH76
INDI61
02 Mar 2021
MICH64
INDI58
17 Jan 2021
MICH v INDI
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#45
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H27/11
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
71-52
71
52
+19
H03/12
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H06/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A13/12
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
92-69
92
69
+23
H16/12
NCAA
Oakland
#212
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H20/12
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
114-97
114
97
+17
H30/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A03/01
NCAA
USC
#153
W
80-51
80
51
+29
H06/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-28
41-30
35-21
36-31
34-31
26-35
36-39
40-33
58-28
34-41
39-36
40-34
55-53
59-44
33-33
23-25
33-17
47-34
28-35
48-31
143.7Avg total
77.8Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.964.5143.4+14.488%
Season at home (12)79.865.0144.8+14.892%
Season away (4)76.063.0139.0+13.075%
Last 10 (10)77.865.9143.7+11.980%
Last 5 (5)81.068.4149.4+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.066.0126.0-6.00%
vs Similar (12)70.862.8133.6+7.975%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)81.867.4149.2+14.594%
This opponent (Indiana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IndianaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
100-56
100
56
+44
H29/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A04/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A06/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
113-72
113
72
+41
H10/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A14/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
78-58
78
58
+20
H20/12
NCAA
Siena
#78
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H22/12
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H05/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
84-66
84
66
+18
A07/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
51-23
49-33
33-33
31-40
27-41
51-46
58-26
55-46
39-32
21-40
52-29
26-29
46-20
35-40
52-40
38-40
36-31
48-35
39-30
38-53
153.2Avg total
82.5Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.568.0152.5+16.575%
Season at home (12)88.865.8154.7+23.092%
Season away (4)71.574.5146.0-3.025%
Last 10 (10)82.570.7153.2+11.860%
Last 5 (5)82.069.4151.4+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)73.175.4148.5-2.225%
vs Similar (11)71.870.3142.1+1.555%
vs Weaker (11)88.365.0153.3+23.391%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: +12.8+12.82nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: -1.0-1.0
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: +12.8+12.82nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: -1.0-1.0
Michigan StateIndiana
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#45
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H27/11
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H03/12
NCAA
Duke
#8
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H06/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A13/12
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
58-28
58
28
+30
H16/12
NCAA
Oakland
#212
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H20/12
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H30/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A03/01
NCAA
USC
#153
W
33-17
33
17
+16
H06/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H08/01
NCAA
70.5Avg total
38.4Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.431.768.1+4.753%-
Last 30 at home (21)37.531.268.7+6.267%-
Last 30 away (9)34.032.866.8+1.222%-
Last 10 (10)38.432.170.5+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)37.634.872.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.031.065.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (12)31.631.663.2+0.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.031.871.8+8.265%-
This opponent (Indiana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IndianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
51-23
51
23
+28
H29/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A04/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A06/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
58-26
58
26
+32
H10/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A14/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H20/12
NCAA
Siena
#78
W
46-20
46
20
+26
H22/12
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H05/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A07/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H10/01
NCAA
73.8Avg total
43.3Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.331.970.2+6.460%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.530.772.2+10.867%-
Last 30 away (12)33.433.867.2-0.350%-
Last 10 (10)43.330.573.8+12.880%-
Last 5 (5)45.030.075.0+15.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)31.835.967.6-4.138%-
vs Similar (11)34.632.166.7+2.545%-
vs Weaker (11)46.628.875.5+17.891%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Michigan State wins
4
Indiana wins
DateGameScore
12/02/25Michigan State v Indiana67-71
10/03/24Indiana v Michigan State65-64
22/02/23Michigan State v Indiana80-65
22/01/23Indiana v Michigan State82-69
12/02/22Michigan State v Indiana76-61
03/03/21Michigan State v Indiana64-58
20/02/21Indiana v Michigan State71-78
24/01/20Indiana v Michigan State67-63
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26HNorthwestern76-66
06/01/26HUSC80-51
03/01/26ANebraska56-58
30/12/25HCornell114-97
20/12/25HOakland79-70
16/12/25HToledo92-69
13/12/25APenn State76-72
06/12/25HDuke60-66
03/12/25HIowa71-52
27/11/25HNorth Carolina74-58
Indianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HNebraska77-83
07/01/26AMaryland84-66
05/01/26HWashington90-80
22/12/25HSiena81-60
20/12/25HChicago State78-58
14/12/25AKentucky60-72
10/12/25HPenn State113-72
06/12/25ALouisville78-87
04/12/25AMinnesota64-73
29/11/25HBethune-Cookman100-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16124
Win %88%92%75%
Points / game78.979.876.0
Allowed / game64.565.063.0
Point differential+14.4+14.8+13.0
Avg total143.4144.8139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Indiana
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWWWWL92%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16124
Win %75%92%25%
Points / game84.588.871.5
Allowed / game68.065.874.5
Point differential+16.5+23.0-3.0
Avg total152.5154.7146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%83%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nebraska16160100%81.266.4+14.8
2 Purdue1615194%86.468.1+18.4
3 Michigan1514193%94.668.5+26.1
4 Michigan State1614288%78.964.5+14.4
5 Illinois1613381%86.067.4+18.6
6 USC1613381%84.376.5+7.8
7 Iowa1612475%79.161.7+17.4
8 Indiana1612475%84.568.0+16.5
9 Ohio State1611569%83.171.9+11.2
10 UCLA1611569%78.969.1+9.8
11 Wisconsin1611569%83.175.0+8.1
12 Washington1610662%81.773.1+8.6
13 Minnesota1610662%73.066.1+6.9
14 Penn State169756%78.175.4+2.8
15 Rutgers179853%69.873.2-3.4
16 Northwestern168850%79.171.2+7.9
17 Oregon168850%76.773.2+3.4
18 Maryland167944%73.477.4-4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State394281
Indiana322860
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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