PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Michigan vs Northwestern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 85-78
37-39 48-39
Position#174
Record9-7
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game70.2
vs
Position#87
Record12-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game59.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Michigan v Northwestern
12 Dec 2026
MICH v NORT
upcoming
19 Jan 2025
MICH80
NORT76
15 Jan 2023
MICH85
NORT78
26 Jan 2022
MICH72
NORT70
03 Jan 2021
MICH85
NORT66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#36
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H30/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A04/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
90-75
90
75
+15
A09/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H17/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A22/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H30/12
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
81-46
81
46
+35
H01/01
NCAA
Penn State
#105
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H05/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A07/01
NCAA
Iowa
#134
L
84-93 OT
84
93
-9
A13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-34
23-36
36-37
33-36
47-31
43-44
49-41
34-34
34-41
42-39
28-27
33-36
44-13
37-33
42-34
37-35
18-27
35-32
43-40
36-39
144.7Avg total
74.4Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)75.570.2145.7+5.356%
Season at home (9)75.966.2142.1+9.778%
Season away (7)75.075.3150.3-0.329%
Last 10 (10)74.470.3144.7+4.140%
Last 5 (5)71.666.0137.6+5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.868.8142.7+5.067%
vs Similar ◀ (20)72.870.2143.0+2.650%
vs Weaker (4)79.272.2151.5+7.075%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#72
L
58-87
58
87
-29
H29/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A05/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H11/12
NCAA
DePaul
#332
W
83-45
83
45
+38
H17/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
92-54
92
54
+38
H21/12
NCAA
Brown
#188
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H29/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H02/01
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H05/01
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
84-83
84
83
+1
A08/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-37
30-50
38-37
32-26
24-29
37-22
39-26
44-19
42-21
50-33
30-31
33-27
17-35
40-38
31-27
42-33
41-34
43-49
24-29
38-36
134.2Avg total
70.3Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)68.459.3127.7+9.175%
Season at home (13)66.556.9123.5+9.669%
Season away (3)76.369.7146.0+6.7100%
Last 10 (10)70.363.9134.2+6.470%
Last 5 (5)67.867.8135.6+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)64.874.7139.5-9.817%
vs Similar ◀ (12)64.566.2130.7-1.750%
vs Weaker (12)74.358.9133.2+15.492%
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: +5.6+5.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: +5.6+5.6
MichiganNorthwestern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#36
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H30/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A04/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A09/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H17/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A22/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H30/12
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
44-13
44
13
+31
H01/01
NCAA
Penn State
#105
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H05/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
18-27
18
27
-9
A07/01
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A13/01
NCAA
71.1Avg total
38.6Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.934.069.9+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.332.670.9+5.875%-
Last 30 away (14)33.235.668.9-2.421%-
Last 10 (10)38.632.571.1+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)35.028.263.2+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.336.568.8-4.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)36.533.570.0+3.055%-
vs Weaker (4)38.532.571.0+6.075%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#72
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H29/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A05/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H11/12
NCAA
DePaul
#332
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H17/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H21/12
NCAA
Brown
#188
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H29/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
17-35
17
35
-18
H02/01
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H05/01
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A08/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H12/01
NCAA
62.0Avg total
31.4Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.231.362.4-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (20)30.528.158.6+2.445%-
Last 30 away (10)32.537.670.1-5.140%-
Last 10 (10)31.430.662.0+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)28.631.259.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)25.538.263.7-12.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)29.829.459.2+0.350%-
vs Weaker (12)35.429.765.1+5.758%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Michigan wins
0
Northwestern wins
DateGameScore
26/01/22Michigan v Northwestern72-70
04/01/21Michigan v Northwestern85-66
13/02/20Northwestern v Michigan54-79
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/23AIowa84-93 OT
07/01/23AMichigan State53-59
05/01/23HPenn State79-69
01/01/23HMaryland81-46
30/12/22HCentral Michigan61-63
22/12/22ANorth Carolina76-80
17/12/22HLipscomb83-75
09/12/22AMinnesota90-75
04/12/22AKentucky69-73
30/11/22HVirginia68-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/23HRutgers62-65
08/01/23AIndiana84-83
05/01/23HIllinois73-60
02/01/23HOhio State57-73
29/12/22HBrown63-58
21/12/22HIllinois (Chi.)92-54
17/12/22HDePaul83-45
11/12/22HPrairie View A&M61-51
05/12/22AMichigan State70-63
29/11/22HPittsburgh58-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL56%
HomeLWLWW78%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %56%78%29%
Points / game75.575.975.0
Allowed / game70.266.275.3
Point differential+5.3+9.7-0.3
Avg total145.7142.1150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%44%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %12%11%14%
Northwestern
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL75%
HomeWWLWL69%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16133
Win %75%69%100%
Points / game68.466.576.3
Allowed / game59.356.969.7
Point differential+9.1+9.6+6.7
Avg total127.7123.5146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%54%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue1716194%75.861.1+14.6
2 UCLA1816289%76.759.8+16.9
3 Northwestern1612475%68.459.3+9.1
4 USC1813572%71.265.4+5.8
5 Rutgers1712571%71.156.5+14.6
6 Illinois1712571%76.863.9+12.9
7 Penn State1712571%75.467.4+8.0
8 Michigan State1712571%70.165.5+4.5
9 Maryland1611569%71.863.9+7.9
10 Wisconsin1611569%66.862.9+3.9
11 Indiana1711665%78.967.9+11.1
12 Iowa1711665%82.172.8+9.3
13 Ohio State1610662%78.966.2+12.7
14 Washington1911858%70.168.6+1.5
15 Michigan169756%75.570.2+5.3
16 Oregon1810856%69.666.5+3.1
17 Nebraska189950%66.467.2-0.8
18 Minnesota157847%64.767.5-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan374885
Northwestern393978
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.