PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Michigan vs Northwestern Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 12 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 21:30
Scheduled
Position#163
Record2-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#128
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game61.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Michigan v Northwestern
12 Dec 2026
MICH v NORT
upcoming
19 Jan 2025
MICH80
NORT76
15 Jan 2023
MICH85
NORT78
26 Jan 2022
MICH72
NORT70
03 Jan 2021
MICH85
NORT66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H15/03
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
101-80
101
80
+21
H19/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H21/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H27/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
95-62
95
62
+33
H29/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
91-73
91
73
+18
A05/04
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H07/04
NCAA
Oakland
#344
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H02/11
NCAA
Uconn
#30
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H07/11
NCAA
Marquette
#146
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-38
34-42
50-46
51-34
48-39
47-33
47-49
43-28
48-26
47-36
48-32
43-41
33-29
36-34
47-36
37-32
30-43
47-42
35-27
49-43
158.8Avg total
85.8Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.774.3156.0+7.367%
Season at home (3)81.774.3156.0+7.367%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.873.0158.8+12.880%
Last 5 (5)81.071.8152.8+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.577.5158.0+3.050%
vs Similar ◀ (4)83.270.8154.0+12.575%
vs Weaker (24)82.870.9153.7+11.992%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#293
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H28/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H05/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A08/03
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H10/03
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
74-61
74
61
+13
A11/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A12/03
NCAA
Binghamton
#181
W
86-60
86
60
+26
H03/11
NCAA
Stony Brook
#274
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H07/11
NCAA
Boston University
#134
W
72-55
72
55
+17
H10/11
NCAA
DePaul
#57
L
47-67
47
67
-20
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-36
34-26
34-25
32-45
29-39
37-28
34-32
42-34
36-37
38-24
21-45
47-36
51-35
35-25
44-30
34-35
39-24
33-31
23-27
24-40
135.0Avg total
69.6Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.861.8132.5+9.075%
Season at home (4)70.861.8132.5+9.075%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.665.4135.0+4.260%
Last 5 (5)70.265.6135.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)65.574.1139.6-8.520%
vs Similar ◀ (8)71.868.2140.0+3.550%
vs Weaker (7)80.766.4147.1+14.386%
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: +3.2+3.2
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: +3.2+3.2
MichiganNorthwestern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H15/03
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H19/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H21/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H27/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H29/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A05/04
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H07/04
NCAA
Oakland
#344
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H02/11
NCAA
Uconn
#30
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H07/11
NCAA
Marquette
#146
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H12/11
NCAA
78.9Avg total
42.4Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.334.674.9+5.770%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.635.476.1+5.274%-
Last 30 away (11)39.733.373.0+6.564%-
Last 10 (10)42.436.578.9+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)38.633.472.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.535.067.5-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)41.834.276.0+7.575%-
vs Weaker (24)40.734.775.4+6.071%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#293
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H28/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H05/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A08/03
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H10/03
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A11/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
21-45
21
45
-24
A12/03
NCAA
Binghamton
#181
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H03/11
NCAA
Stony Brook
#274
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Boston University
#134
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H10/11
NCAA
DePaul
#57
L
23-27
23
27
-4
H14/11
NCAA
67.0Avg total
34.0Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.734.067.7-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.432.568.9+3.967%-
Last 30 away (12)29.636.365.9-6.825%-
Last 10 (10)34.033.067.0+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.632.267.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)31.735.667.3-3.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)33.231.664.9+1.650%-
vs Weaker (7)38.633.472.0+5.186%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Michigan wins
1
Northwestern wins
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HMarquette84-70
07/11/26HUconn77-85
02/11/26HOakland84-68
07/04/26HUconn69-63
05/04/26AArizona91-73
29/03/26HTennessee95-62
27/03/26HAlabama90-77
21/03/26HSt. Louis Billikens95-72
19/03/26HHoward101-80
15/03/26HPurdue72-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HDePaul47-67
10/11/26HBoston University72-55
07/11/26HStony Brook78-65
03/11/26HBinghamton86-60
12/03/26APurdue68-81
11/03/26AIndiana74-61
10/03/26HPenn State76-66
08/03/26AMinnesota66-67
05/03/26HPurdue66-70
28/02/26HOregon63-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWLW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game81.781.7-
Allowed / game74.374.3-
Point differential+7.3+7.3-
Avg total156.0156.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Northwestern
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWWL75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game70.870.8-
Allowed / game61.861.8-
Point differential+9.0+9.0-
Avg total132.5132.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.