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Michigan vs Penn State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 79-69
42-34 37-35
Position#174
Record8-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game69.4
vs
Position#105
Record11-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game66.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Michigan v Penn State
05 Feb 2026
MICH110
PENN69
27 Jan 2025
MICH76
PENN72
04 Jan 2023
MICH79
PENN69
13 Dec 2020
MICH62
PENN58
22 Jan 2020
MICH63
PENN72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#90
L
62-87
62
87
-25
A18/11
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
70-66 OT
70
66
+4
H21/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H24/11
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H30/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A04/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
90-75
90
75
+15
A09/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H17/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A22/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H30/12
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
81-46
81
46
+35
H01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-46
34-41
33-31
30-32
37-27
41-41
45-34
23-36
36-37
33-36
47-31
43-44
49-41
34-34
34-41
42-39
28-27
33-36
44-13
37-33
144.1Avg total
73.8Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)76.369.4145.7+6.962%
Season at home (8)75.565.9141.4+9.675%
Season away (5)77.675.0152.6+2.640%
Last 10 (10)73.870.3144.1+3.550%
Last 5 (5)78.267.8146.0+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.170.7144.9+3.457%
vs Similar ◀ (18)72.670.3142.9+2.350%
vs Weaker (5)80.473.6154.0+6.880%
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#138
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A18/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A20/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
94-101 OT
94
101
-7
A30/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
58-67
58
67
-9
H07/12
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
74-59
74
59
+15
A10/12
NCAA
Canisius
#310
W
97-67
97
67
+30
H18/12
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#124
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H22/12
NCAA
Delaware State
#359
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H29/12
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-37
30-24
33-21
35-35
42-32
28-25
35-29
36-42
35-35
23-32
47-38
27-21
42-36
55-31
33-23
44-45
27-22
33-24
44-26
39-53
140.1Avg total
74.0Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.066.0142.0+10.079%
Season at home (10)76.964.7141.6+12.290%
Season away (4)73.869.2143.0+4.550%
Last 10 (10)74.066.1140.1+7.970%
Last 5 (5)78.263.8142.0+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)63.468.0131.4-4.638%
vs Similar ◀ (15)67.764.4132.1+3.353%
vs Weaker (7)78.365.4143.7+12.986%
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: +1.8+1.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: +1.8+1.8
MichiganPenn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#90
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A18/11
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H21/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H24/11
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H30/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A04/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A09/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H17/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A22/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H30/12
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
44-13
44
13
+31
H01/01
NCAA
70.9Avg total
38.1Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.034.770.7+1.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.033.271.2+4.869%-
Last 30 away (14)33.736.470.1-2.714%-
Last 10 (10)38.132.870.9+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)40.430.671.0+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.436.969.3-4.414%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)36.833.870.6+2.950%-
vs Weaker (5)38.234.873.0+3.460%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#138
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A18/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
33-21
33
21
+12
A20/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H26/11
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A30/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H07/12
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A10/12
NCAA
Canisius
#310
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H18/12
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#124
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H22/12
NCAA
Delaware State
#359
W
27-22
27
22
+5
H29/12
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H01/01
NCAA
66.6Avg total
36.7Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.630.562.1+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.129.863.9+4.459%-
Last 30 away (13)28.431.559.8-3.131%-
Last 10 (10)36.729.966.6+6.880%-
Last 5 (5)38.629.067.6+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)27.231.859.0-4.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)31.529.060.5+2.540%-
vs Weaker (7)37.032.369.3+4.786%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Michigan wins
1
Penn State wins
DateGameScore
09/02/22Penn State v Michigan57-58
13/12/20Michigan v Penn State62-58
23/01/20Michigan v Penn State63-72
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/23HMaryland81-46
30/12/22HCentral Michigan61-63
22/12/22ANorth Carolina76-80
17/12/22HLipscomb83-75
09/12/22AMinnesota90-75
04/12/22AKentucky69-73
30/11/22HVirginia68-70
24/11/22HJackson State78-68
21/11/22HOhio70-66 OT
18/11/22AArizona State62-87
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/23HIowa83-79
29/12/22HDelaware State60-46
22/12/22HQuinnipiac77-68
18/12/22HCanisius97-67
10/12/22AIllinois74-59
07/12/22HMichigan State58-67
30/11/22AClemson94-101 OT
26/11/22HLafayette70-57
20/11/22AColorado State68-56
18/11/22AVirginia Tech59-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeWLWLW75%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %62%75%40%
Points / game76.375.577.6
Allowed / game69.465.975.0
Point differential+6.9+9.6+2.6
Avg total145.7141.4152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%38%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %8%12%0%
Penn State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeLWWWW90%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %79%90%50%
Points / game76.076.973.8
Allowed / game66.064.769.2
Point differential+10.0+12.2+4.5
Avg total142.0141.6143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue1413193%76.360.9+15.4
2 UCLA1513287%79.061.0+18.0
3 Wisconsin1311285%68.561.2+7.3
4 Penn State1411379%76.066.0+10.0
5 Ohio State1310377%81.064.5+16.5
6 Indiana1310377%80.165.3+14.8
7 Northwestern1310377%67.357.0+10.3
8 USC1511473%72.366.7+5.7
9 Rutgers1410471%72.555.2+17.3
10 Maryland1410471%72.863.2+9.6
11 Michigan State1410471%71.265.8+5.4
12 Illinois139469%78.163.7+14.4
13 Michigan138562%76.369.4+6.9
14 Washington159660%68.867.5+1.3
15 Iowa148657%81.171.4+9.7
16 Oregon148657%70.165.1+5.1
17 Nebraska158753%67.365.4+1.9
18 Minnesota136746%63.266.5-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan423779
Penn State343569
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