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Michigan vs Oregon Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 80-76
41-36 39-40
Position#44
Record16-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game70.3
Michigan 🏆
USA
vs
Oregon
USA
Position#52
Record16-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game71.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Michigan v Oregon
19 Jan 2027
MICH v OREG
upcoming
05 Feb 2025
MICH80
OREG76
14 Dec 2019
MICH70
OREG71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oregon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IPFW
#128
W
89-58
89
58
+31
H22/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
112-64
112
64
+48
H30/12
NCAA
USC
#215
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A05/01
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
94-75
94
75
+19
A08/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
91-75
91
75
+16
H12/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
L
81-84 OT
81
84
-3
A17/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
80-76 OT
80
76
+4
H19/01
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
64-91
64
91
-27
A25/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
54-29
35-29
59-31
53-33
42-38
43-36
47-37
47-38
48-38
43-37
40-31
31-40
30-35
35-30
26-51
38-40
35-35
41-37
32-25
34-38
157.0Avg total
83.8Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.370.3152.6+12.076%
Season at home (13)86.768.5155.2+18.285%
Season away (8)75.273.2148.5+2.062%
Last 10 (10)83.873.2157.0+10.680%
Last 5 (5)73.477.2150.6-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)63.180.7143.8-17.60%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.472.3155.8+11.175%
vs Weaker (9)80.967.6148.4+13.378%
This opponent (Oregon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OregonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#317
W
89-49
89
49
+40
H29/12
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
77-109
77
109
-32
H03/01
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H05/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A09/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
82-81
82
81
+1
A12/01
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
58-65
58
65
-7
H18/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H22/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A25/01
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
52-78
52
78
-26
A31/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-23
49-26
38-45
39-64
42-45
41-34
27-32
46-39
41-34
41-47
31-30
27-35
34-32
48-39
38-44
31-33
26-40
26-38
28-34
43-43
149.3Avg total
73.6Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.471.0147.4+5.573%
Season at home (12)78.569.9148.4+8.667%
Season away (10)73.972.2146.1+1.780%
Last 10 (10)73.675.7149.3-2.150%
Last 5 (5)66.473.6140.0-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.079.0155.0-3.050%
vs Similar ◀ (17)74.271.9146.1+2.371%
vs Weaker (7)79.766.3146.0+13.486%
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: -0.7-0.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: -0.7-0.7
MichiganOregon
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IPFW
#128
W
54-29
54
29
+25
H22/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
59-31
59
31
+28
H30/12
NCAA
USC
#215
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A05/01
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A08/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H12/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A17/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H19/01
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A25/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H27/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A01/02
NCAA
76.3Avg total
41.3Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.836.474.3+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.936.179.0+6.969%-
Last 30 away (14)32.036.968.9-4.943%-
Last 10 (10)41.335.076.3+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)32.635.468.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.041.272.2-10.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.835.976.7+4.867%-
vs Weaker (9)40.832.373.1+8.4100%-
This opponent (Oregon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#317
W
40-23
40
23
+17
H29/12
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H03/01
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H05/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A09/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A12/01
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H18/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H22/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A25/01
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A31/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H03/02
NCAA
70.4Avg total
34.5Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.333.768.0+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.932.268.1+3.753%-
Last 30 away (15)32.735.167.9-2.433%-
Last 10 (10)34.535.970.4-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)31.436.067.4-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.238.771.8-5.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)34.432.967.2+1.547%-
vs Weaker (7)35.131.366.4+3.957%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan wins
2
Oregon wins
DateGameScore
02/12/23Oregon v Michigan86-83 OT
14/12/19Michigan v Oregon70-71 OT
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25ARutgers66-63
27/01/25HPenn State76-72
25/01/25APurdue64-91
19/01/25HNorthwestern80-76 OT
17/01/25AMinnesota81-84 OT
12/01/25HWashington91-75
08/01/25AUCLA94-75
05/01/25AUSC85-74
30/12/24HWestern Kentucky112-64
22/12/24HIPFW89-58
Oregonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/25HNebraska71-77
31/01/25AUCLA52-78
25/01/25AMinnesota69-77
22/01/25HWashington82-71
18/01/25HPurdue58-65
12/01/25APenn State82-81
09/01/25AOhio State73-71
05/01/25HMaryland83-79
03/01/25HIllinois77-109
29/12/24HWeber State89-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW76%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21138
Win %76%85%62%
Points / game82.386.775.2
Allowed / game70.368.573.2
Point differential+12.0+18.2+2.0
Avg total152.6155.2148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%62%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %10%8%12%
Oregon
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL73%
HomeLWLWL67%
AwayWWWLL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %73%67%80%
Points / game76.478.573.9
Allowed / game71.069.972.2
Point differential+5.5+8.6+1.7
Avg total147.4148.4146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%58%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)50% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State2218482%79.567.1+12.4
2 Wisconsin2318578%81.370.2+11.0
3 Purdue2318578%78.268.5+9.7
4 Maryland2217577%83.065.5+17.5
5 Michigan2116576%82.370.3+12.0
6 UCLA2317674%75.464.3+11.1
7 Oregon2216673%76.471.0+5.5
8 Illinois2215768%85.370.4+14.9
9 Nebraska2214864%75.671.1+4.5
10 Indiana2314961%76.573.6+2.9
11 Ohio State2213959%80.071.4+8.5
12 Iowa2213959%85.579.0+6.5
13 USC2213959%76.672.6+4.0
14 Penn State23131057%81.472.5+8.9
15 Northwestern23131057%74.069.9+4.1
16 Minnesota23121152%68.868.7+0.2
17 Rutgers22111150%76.074.6+1.3
18 Washington20101050%71.472.1-0.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan413980
Oregon364076
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