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Purdue vs Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 91-64
51-26 40-38
Position#72
Record15-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game67.7
Purdue 🏆
USA
vs
Michigan
USA
Position#44
Record14-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game69.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Purdue v Michigan
17 Feb 2026
PURD80
MICH91
24 Jan 2025
PURD91
MICH64
23 Jan 2024
PURD99
MICH67
05 Feb 2022
PURD82
MICH76
22 Jan 2021
PURD53
MICH70
22 Feb 2020
PURD63
MICH71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Purdue winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#70
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H14/12
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
69-87
69
87
-18
H21/12
NCAA
Toledo
#167
W
83-64
83
64
+19
H29/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
81-61
81
61
+20
A03/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H05/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
68-50
68
50
+18
A09/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
104-68
104
68
+36
H12/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
69-58
69
58
+11
A16/01
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A18/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-38
31-32
26-41
43-46
39-28
44-36
28-27
53-34
41-18
38-43
33-24
35-26
45-28
59-40
22-30
47-28
30-31
35-27
41-28
29-45
140.4Avg total
75.4Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.867.7144.6+9.175%
Season at home (13)81.269.9151.1+11.277%
Season away (7)68.963.6132.4+5.371%
Last 10 (10)75.465.0140.4+10.470%
Last 5 (5)75.261.4136.6+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.081.0157.0-5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (13)74.969.1144.0+5.869%
vs Weaker (13)78.160.5138.6+17.592%
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#192
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H07/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
87-89
87
89
-2
H11/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H19/12
NCAA
IPFW
#128
W
89-58
89
58
+31
H22/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
112-64
112
64
+48
H30/12
NCAA
USC
#215
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A05/01
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
94-75
94
75
+19
A08/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
91-75
91
75
+16
H12/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
L
81-84 OT
81
84
-3
A17/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
80-76 OT
80
76
+4
H19/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-37
45-46
49-45
38-44
43-38
43-49
54-29
35-29
59-31
53-33
42-38
43-36
47-37
47-38
48-38
43-37
40-31
31-40
30-35
35-30
165.5Avg total
89.0Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.669.4154.1+15.278%
Season at home (12)87.668.2155.8+19.483%
Season away (6)78.772.0150.7+6.767%
Last 10 (10)89.076.5165.5+12.570%
Last 5 (5)86.276.8163.0+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)63.478.7142.1-15.38%
vs Similar ◀ (10)86.170.5156.6+15.680%
vs Weaker (8)82.868.1150.9+14.675%
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +9.3+9.32nd half2nd half: +5.7+5.72nd half: +3.1+3.1
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +9.3+9.32nd half2nd half: +5.7+5.72nd half: +3.1+3.1
PurdueMichigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#70
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H14/12
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H21/12
NCAA
Toledo
#167
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H29/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A03/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
41-18
41
18
+23
H05/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A09/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H12/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A16/01
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A18/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H22/01
NCAA
63.3Avg total
34.0Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.131.968.0+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (21)39.131.570.6+7.781%-
Last 30 away (9)29.132.861.9-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)34.029.363.3+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)34.228.262.4+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.036.869.8-3.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.033.270.2+3.862%-
vs Weaker (13)36.229.165.3+7.285%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#192
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H07/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H11/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H19/12
NCAA
IPFW
#128
W
54-29
54
29
+25
H22/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
59-31
59
31
+28
H30/12
NCAA
USC
#215
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A05/01
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A08/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H12/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A17/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H19/01
NCAA
81.1Avg total
45.2Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.435.974.4+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.835.678.4+7.276%-
Last 30 away (13)32.736.469.1-3.746%-
Last 10 (10)45.235.981.1+9.390%-
Last 5 (5)41.435.877.2+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.538.971.4-6.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.834.577.3+8.380%-
vs Weaker (8)41.933.275.1+8.6100%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Purdue wins
4
Michigan wins
DateGameScore
25/02/24Michigan v Purdue76-84
24/01/24Purdue v Michigan99-67
27/01/23Michigan v Purdue70-75
11/02/22Michigan v Purdue82-58
05/02/22Purdue v Michigan82-76
23/01/21Purdue v Michigan53-70
22/02/20Purdue v Michigan63-71
10/01/20Michigan v Purdue84-78 OT
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/25HOhio State70-73
18/01/25AOregon65-58
16/01/25AWashington69-58
12/01/25HNebraska104-68
09/01/25ARutgers68-50
05/01/25HNorthwestern79-61
03/01/25AMinnesota81-61
29/12/24HToledo83-64
21/12/24HAuburn69-87
14/12/24HTexas A&M66-70
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25HNorthwestern80-76 OT
17/01/25AMinnesota81-84 OT
12/01/25HWashington91-75
08/01/25AUCLA94-75
05/01/25AUSC85-74
30/12/24HWestern Kentucky112-64
22/12/24HIPFW89-58
19/12/24HOklahoma86-87
11/12/24HArkansas87-89
07/12/24HIowa85-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Purdue
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeLWWWL77%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %75%77%71%
Points / game76.881.268.9
Allowed / game67.769.963.6
Point differential+9.2+11.2+5.3
Avg total144.6151.1132.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%46%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Michigan
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW78%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %78%83%67%
Points / game84.687.678.7
Allowed / game69.468.272.0
Point differential+15.2+19.4+6.7
Avg total154.1155.8150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %11%8%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State1816289%81.767.7+14.0
2 Oregon1916384%78.469.9+8.4
3 Wisconsin1915479%82.571.1+11.4
4 Michigan1814478%84.669.4+15.2
5 Maryland2015575%83.664.8+18.8
6 Purdue2015575%76.867.7+9.2
7 Indiana2014670%77.172.8+4.2
8 Illinois1913668%85.969.2+16.7
9 Penn State1913668%84.271.7+12.5
10 UCLA1913668%76.264.7+11.4
11 Iowa1912763%87.378.5+8.8
12 Nebraska1912763%76.470.4+6.1
13 Northwestern1912763%74.268.2+6.1
14 USC1912763%77.172.3+4.7
15 Ohio State1911858%79.771.3+8.4
16 Rutgers1910953%76.674.9+1.7
17 Minnesota1910953%69.468.7+0.7
18 Washington189950%72.172.7-0.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Purdue514091
Michigan263864
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