PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Michigan vs Penn State Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 27 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 76-72
35-35 41-37
Position#44
Record14-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game70.6
vs
Position#185
Record13-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game72.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Michigan v Penn State
05 Feb 2026
MICH110
PENN69
27 Jan 2025
MICH76
PENN72
04 Jan 2023
MICH79
PENN69
13 Dec 2020
MICH62
PENN58
22 Jan 2020
MICH63
PENN72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#118
L
87-89
87
89
-2
H11/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H19/12
NCAA
IPFW
#128
W
89-58
89
58
+31
H22/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
112-64
112
64
+48
H30/12
NCAA
USC
#215
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A05/01
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
94-75
94
75
+19
A08/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
91-75
91
75
+16
H12/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
L
81-84 OT
81
84
-3
A17/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
80-76 OT
80
76
+4
H19/01
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
64-91
64
91
-27
A25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
49-45
38-44
43-38
43-49
54-29
35-29
59-31
53-33
42-38
43-36
47-37
47-38
48-38
43-37
40-31
31-40
30-35
35-30
26-51
38-40
164.2Avg total
86.9Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)83.570.6154.1+12.974%
Season at home (12)87.668.2155.8+19.483%
Season away (7)76.674.7151.3+1.957%
Last 10 (10)86.977.3164.2+9.660%
Last 5 (5)82.080.2162.2+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)63.578.5142.0-14.99%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.172.4156.5+11.773%
vs Weaker (8)82.868.1150.9+14.675%
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coppin State
#351
W
99-51
99
51
+48
H14/12
NCAA
Drexel
#161
W
75-64
75
64
+11
A21/12
NCAA
Penn
#331
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H29/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H03/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H05/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
52-91
52
91
-39
A09/01
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H12/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A16/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H20/01
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
52-21
47-30
37-29
38-35
34-31
52-35
37-34
47-46
29-29
42-48
21-45
31-46
34-41
47-41
36-46
49-44
37-35
43-37
38-43
37-33
153.7Avg total
78.8Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.872.0155.7+11.865%
Season at home (14)88.968.8157.7+20.186%
Season away (6)71.779.3151.0-7.717%
Last 10 (10)78.874.9153.7+3.950%
Last 5 (5)74.682.2156.8-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.680.4153.0-7.820%
vs Similar ◀ (14)75.976.1152.0-0.343%
vs Weaker (11)88.063.8151.8+24.291%
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: +3.8+3.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: +3.8+3.8
MichiganPenn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#118
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H11/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H19/12
NCAA
IPFW
#128
W
54-29
54
29
+25
H22/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
59-31
59
31
+28
H30/12
NCAA
USC
#215
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A05/01
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A08/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H12/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A17/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H19/01
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A25/01
NCAA
81.1Avg total
43.8Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.136.574.7+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.835.678.4+7.276%-
Last 30 away (13)32.037.869.8-5.838%-
Last 10 (10)43.837.381.1+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.476.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.339.571.7-7.218%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.336.077.3+5.373%-
vs Weaker (8)41.933.275.1+8.6100%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coppin State
#351
W
52-21
52
21
+31
H14/12
NCAA
Drexel
#161
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A21/12
NCAA
Penn
#331
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H29/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H05/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
21-45
21
45
-24
A09/01
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H12/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A16/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/01
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A25/01
NCAA
70.9Avg total
35.5Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.734.671.3+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.232.771.9+6.474%-
Last 30 away (11)32.537.770.3-5.218%-
Last 10 (10)35.535.470.9+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)33.242.075.2-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.241.074.2-7.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.935.470.2-0.543%-
vs Weaker (11)40.730.671.4+10.191%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Michigan wins
4
Penn State wins
DateGameScore
14/03/24Penn State v Michigan66-57
07/01/24Penn State v Michigan79-73
29/01/23Penn State v Michigan83-61
05/01/23Michigan v Penn State79-69
09/02/22Penn State v Michigan57-58
13/12/20Michigan v Penn State62-58
23/01/20Michigan v Penn State63-72
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25APurdue64-91
19/01/25HNorthwestern80-76 OT
17/01/25AMinnesota81-84 OT
12/01/25HWashington91-75
08/01/25AUCLA94-75
05/01/25AUSC85-74
30/12/24HWestern Kentucky112-64
22/12/24HIPFW89-58
19/12/24HOklahoma86-87
11/12/24HArkansas87-89
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25AIowa75-76
20/01/25HRutgers80-72
16/01/25AMichigan State85-90
12/01/25HOregon81-82
09/01/25AIllinois52-91
05/01/25HIndiana71-77
03/01/25HNorthwestern84-80
29/12/24HPenn86-66
21/12/24ADrexel75-64
14/12/24HCoppin State99-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL74%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19127
Win %74%83%57%
Points / game83.587.676.6
Allowed / game70.668.274.7
Point differential+12.9+19.4+1.9
Avg total154.1155.8151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%67%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %11%8%14%
Penn State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL65%
HomeWWLLW86%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20146
Win %65%86%17%
Points / game83.888.971.7
Allowed / game72.068.879.3
Point differential+11.8+20.1-7.7
Avg total155.7157.7151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%71%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State1917289%81.768.1+13.6
2 Wisconsin2016480%82.570.3+12.2
3 Oregon2016480%77.970.3+7.6
4 Maryland2116576%83.465.4+18.0
5 Purdue2116576%77.567.5+10.0
6 Michigan1914574%83.570.6+12.9
7 Illinois2014670%85.869.5+16.3
8 UCLA2014670%75.664.5+11.1
9 Indiana2114767%77.173.1+4.0
10 Penn State2013765%83.872.0+11.8
11 Iowa2013765%86.878.3+8.4
12 USC1912763%77.172.3+4.7
13 Northwestern2012860%74.268.9+5.3
14 Nebraska2012860%75.371.0+4.3
15 Ohio State1911858%79.771.3+8.4
16 Minnesota2011955%69.868.7+1.1
17 Rutgers20101050%76.575.2+1.2
18 Washington1991047%71.472.3-0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan354176
Penn State353772
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.