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Illinois vs Penn State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 59-74
38-47 21-27
Position#114
Record7-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game62.4
vs
Position#105
Record6-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game67.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Illinois v Penn State
12 Dec 2026
ILLI v PENN
upcoming
08 Jan 2025
ILLI91
PENN52
09 Mar 2023
ILLI76
PENN79
10 Dec 2022
ILLI59
PENN74
03 Mar 2022
ILLI60
PENN55
19 Jan 2021
ILLI79
PENN65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penn State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#9
L
53-68
53
68
-15
H20/03
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
87-57
87
57
+30
H08/11
NCAA
UMKC
#305
W
86-48
86
48
+38
H12/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#358
W
103-65
103
65
+38
H15/11
NCAA
UCLA
#12
W
79-70
79
70
+9
A19/11
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
61-70
61
70
-9
A20/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
W
92-59
92
59
+33
H26/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
73-44
73
44
+29
H30/11
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A03/12
NCAA
Texas
#34
W
85-78 OT
85
78
+7
A07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-30
27-38
46-31
41-26
39-23
47-25
63-33
40-32
28-37
51-33
31-29
30-41
49-25
43-34
30-23
43-21
34-41
32-30
37-34
31-34
141.5Avg total
78.5Scored
63.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.362.4143.8+18.978%
Season at home (5)88.254.6142.8+33.6100%
Season away (4)72.872.2145.0+0.550%
Last 10 (10)78.563.0141.5+15.570%
Last 5 (5)75.464.4139.8+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.770.0138.7-1.367%
vs Similar ◀ (14)72.771.0143.7+1.757%
vs Weaker (13)76.260.7136.8+15.585%
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#23
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A12/03
NCAA
Winthrop
#232
W
93-68
93
68
+25
H08/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#281
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H11/11
NCAA
Butler
#256
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H15/11
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H17/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A18/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A20/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
94-101 OT
94
101
-7
A30/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
58-67
58
67
-9
H07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-35
30-34
44-32
49-36
40-29
50-36
33-26
35-36
46-29
27-39
29-37
30-24
33-21
35-35
42-32
28-25
35-29
36-42
35-35
23-32
140.8Avg total
73.4Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.867.2142.0+7.667%
Season at home (6)75.364.5139.8+10.883%
Season away (3)73.772.7146.3+1.033%
Last 10 (10)73.467.4140.8+6.060%
Last 5 (5)69.868.4138.2+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)62.867.0129.8-4.236%
vs Similar ◀ (14)65.862.8128.6+3.050%
vs Weaker (5)78.269.0147.2+9.280%
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.7+7.71st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: +0.4+0.4
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.7+7.71st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: +0.4+0.4
IllinoisPenn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#9
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H20/03
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H08/11
NCAA
UMKC
#305
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H12/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#358
W
63-33
63
33
+30
H15/11
NCAA
UCLA
#12
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A19/11
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A20/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H26/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H30/11
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A03/12
NCAA
Texas
#34
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A07/12
NCAA
68.9Avg total
38.3Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.231.566.7+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.530.567.0+5.965%-
Last 30 away (13)33.632.866.4+0.854%-
Last 10 (10)38.330.668.9+7.770%-
Last 5 (5)36.230.466.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.336.767.0-6.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.432.466.7+2.071%-
vs Weaker (13)37.329.466.7+7.962%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#23
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A12/03
NCAA
Winthrop
#232
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H08/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#281
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H11/11
NCAA
Butler
#256
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H15/11
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H17/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A18/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
33-21
33
21
+12
A20/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H26/11
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A30/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H07/12
NCAA
67.3Avg total
36.8Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.730.460.1-0.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.429.962.3+2.450%-
Last 30 away (14)26.630.957.5-4.221%-
Last 10 (10)36.830.567.3+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)34.830.865.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)27.031.158.1-4.127%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)28.928.657.5+0.229%-
vs Weaker (5)38.033.671.6+4.480%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Illinois wins
0
Penn State wins
DateGameScore
04/03/22Illinois v Penn State60-55
20/01/21Illinois v Penn State79-65
23/12/20Penn State v Illinois81-98
18/02/20Penn State v Illinois56-62
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/22ATexas85-78 OT
03/12/22AMaryland66-71
30/11/22HSyracuse73-44
26/11/22HLindenwood92-59
20/11/22AVirginia61-70
19/11/22AUCLA79-70
15/11/22HMonmouth103-65
12/11/22HUMKC86-48
08/11/22HEastern Illinois87-57
20/03/22HHouston53-68
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/22HMichigan State58-67
30/11/22AClemson94-101 OT
26/11/22HLafayette70-57
20/11/22AColorado State68-56
18/11/22AVirginia Tech59-61
17/11/22HFurman73-68
15/11/22HButler68-62
11/11/22HLoyola Maryland90-65
08/11/22HWinthrop93-68
12/03/22APurdue61-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%100%50%
Points / game81.388.272.8
Allowed / game62.454.672.2
Point differential+18.9+33.6+0.5
Avg total143.8142.8145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%25%
Penn State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL67%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %67%83%33%
Points / game74.875.373.7
Allowed / game67.264.572.7
Point differential+7.6+10.8+1.0
Avg total142.0139.8146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue990100%79.362.4+16.9
2 Indiana98189%82.161.0+21.1
3 Maryland98189%78.361.3+17.0
4 Illinois97278%81.362.4+18.9
5 UCLA97278%80.763.2+17.4
6 Ohio State97278%79.063.6+15.4
7 Iowa97278%82.467.2+15.2
8 Wisconsin97278%66.159.8+6.3
9 Northwestern86275%64.957.5+7.4
10 USC107370%69.963.9+6.0
11 Washington107370%69.165.2+3.9
12 Rutgers96367%72.355.6+16.8
13 Penn State96367%74.867.2+7.6
14 Michigan96367%76.870.9+5.9
15 Nebraska106460%69.465.6+3.8
16 Michigan State106460%69.969.3+0.6
17 Oregon94544%67.364.4+2.9
18 Minnesota94544%64.469.0-4.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois382159
Penn State472774
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