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Michigan vs Rutgers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 84-82
49-57 35-25
Position#44
Record21-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game70.2
Michigan 🏆
USA
vs
Rutgers
USA
Position#224
Record14-14
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game76.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Michigan v Rutgers
06 Dec 2025
MICH101
RUTG60
27 Feb 2025
MICH84
RUTG82
03 Feb 2024
MICH59
RUTG69
09 Mar 2023
MICH50
RUTG62
23 Feb 2022
MICH71
RUTG62
18 Feb 2021
MICH71
RUTG64
01 Feb 2020
MICH69
RUTG63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rutgers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#191
W
80-76 OT
80
76
+4
H19/01
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
64-91
64
91
-27
A25/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A01/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H05/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
70-67
70
67
+3
A08/02
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H12/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A16/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
62-75
62
75
-13
H22/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-35
35-30
26-51
38-40
35-35
41-37
32-25
34-38
41-36
39-40
43-27
27-40
35-37
40-36
44-39
42-44
38-34
24-41
25-21
24-25
143.0Avg total
70.8Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.770.2149.9+9.478%
Season at home (16)84.069.6153.6+14.481%
Season away (11)73.471.1144.5+2.373%
Last 10 (10)70.872.2143.0-1.480%
Last 5 (5)68.468.8137.2-0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)62.577.5140.0-15.00%
vs Similar (17)80.171.4151.4+8.782%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)80.967.6148.4+13.378%
This opponent (Rutgers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RutgersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#185
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A20/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H25/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A30/01
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H06/02
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A09/02
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
73-84
73
84
-11
H12/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
57-75
57
75
-18
A17/02
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
A20/02
NCAA
USC
#215
W
95-85
95
85
+10
H23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-37
37-43
32-35
42-46
43-35
36-37
25-32
38-34
37-29
45-44
38-49
43-41
42-33
31-51
33-38
24-37
42-39
39-42
44-39
51-46
155.6Avg total
76.5Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.776.2152.9+0.550%
Season at home (18)76.873.5150.3+3.356%
Season away (10)76.581.1157.6-4.640%
Last 10 (10)76.579.1155.6-2.640%
Last 5 (5)79.083.8162.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)68.876.4145.2-7.620%
vs Similar (13)81.175.5156.6+5.569%
vs Weaker (2)82.072.0154.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: -3.5-3.5
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: -3.5-3.5
MichiganRutgers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#191
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H19/01
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A25/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H27/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A01/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H05/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A08/02
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H12/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A16/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H22/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
25-21
25
21
+4
A25/02
NCAA
68.9Avg total
34.9Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.134.473.5+4.873%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.835.278.0+7.676%-
Last 30 away (13)34.333.367.6+1.069%-
Last 10 (10)34.934.068.9+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.031.668.6+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.537.269.8-4.825%-
vs Similar (17)39.834.874.6+5.171%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.832.373.1+8.4100%-
This opponent (Rutgers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RutgersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#185
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A20/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H25/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A30/01
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H06/02
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A09/02
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H12/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A17/02
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A20/02
NCAA
USC
#215
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H23/02
NCAA
73.7Avg total
37.1Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.736.171.8-0.440%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.534.470.9+2.147%-
Last 30 away (11)34.439.173.5-4.727%-
Last 10 (10)37.136.673.7+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.679.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)32.836.569.3-3.713%-
vs Similar (13)38.836.475.2+2.569%-
vs Weaker (2)37.031.568.5+5.550%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Michigan wins
4
Rutgers wins
DateGameScore
01/02/25Rutgers v Michigan63-66
01/03/24Rutgers v Michigan82-52
03/02/24Michigan v Rutgers59-69
09/03/23Michigan v Rutgers50-62
24/02/23Rutgers v Michigan45-58
24/02/22Michigan v Rutgers71-62
05/01/22Rutgers v Michigan75-67
19/02/21Michigan v Rutgers71-64
20/02/20Rutgers v Michigan52-60
01/02/20Michigan v Rutgers69-63
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/25ANebraska49-46
22/02/25HMichigan State62-75
16/02/25AOhio State86-83
12/02/25HPurdue75-73
08/02/25AIndiana70-67
05/02/25HOregon80-76
01/02/25ARutgers66-63
27/01/25HPenn State76-72
25/01/25APurdue64-91
19/01/25HNorthwestern80-76 OT
Rutgerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25HUSC95-85
20/02/25AWashington89-85 OT
17/02/25AOregon57-75
12/02/25HIowa73-84
09/02/25AMaryland81-90
06/02/25HIllinois82-73
01/02/25HMichigan63-66
30/01/25ANorthwestern79-72
25/01/25HMichigan State74-81
20/01/25APenn State72-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW78%
HomeWWWWL81%
AwayLWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %78%81%73%
Points / game79.784.073.4
Allowed / game70.269.671.1
Point differential+9.4+14.4+2.3
Avg total149.9153.6144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (14)71% (7)71% (7)
Overtime %7%6%9%
Rutgers
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeLLWLW56%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281810
Win %50%56%40%
Points / game76.776.876.5
Allowed / game76.273.581.1
Point differential+0.5+3.3-4.6
Avg total152.9150.3157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)33% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %7%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State2823582%78.266.8+11.4
2 Wisconsin2822679%81.970.5+11.4
3 Michigan2721678%79.770.2+9.4
4 Maryland2821775%82.667.0+15.7
5 UCLA2820871%74.864.6+10.1
6 Oregon2820871%76.671.8+4.8
7 Purdue2819968%77.570.1+7.4
8 Illinois29181162%83.273.3+9.9
9 Nebraska28171161%74.671.2+3.5
10 Indiana28171161%75.872.8+3.0
11 Ohio State29161355%78.572.3+6.2
12 Northwestern28151354%73.569.4+4.0
13 Iowa28151354%83.179.5+3.6
14 Penn State29151452%79.473.3+6.0
15 USC28141450%76.974.8+2.1
16 Rutgers28141450%76.776.2+0.5
17 Minnesota28141450%68.369.5-1.1
18 Washington27121544%72.175.1-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan493584
Rutgers572582
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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