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Rutgers vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 74-81
32-35 42-46
Position#224
Record10-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game74.9
Rutgers
USA
vs
Michigan State 🏆
USA
Position#17
Record16-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game67.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Rutgers v Michigan State
27 Jan 2026
RUTG79
MICH88
25 Jan 2025
RUTG74
MICH81
04 Feb 2023
RUTG61
MICH55
05 Feb 2022
RUTG84
MICH63
28 Jan 2021
RUTG67
MICH37
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rutgers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RutgersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#185
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H11/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#349
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H14/12
NCAA
Princeton
#99
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H21/12
NCAA
Columbia
#260
W
91-64
91
64
+27
H30/12
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A03/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H07/01
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
50-68
50
68
-18
H09/01
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H13/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A17/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
48-33
32-43
27-33
39-30
46-44
36-39
44-35
47-29
34-41
40-43
34-43
29-32
24-33
26-35
30-33
45-35
40-37
45-45
35-37
37-43
148.1Avg total
73.8Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.674.9151.5+1.753%
Season at home (13)76.671.8148.5+4.862%
Season away (6)76.581.5158.0-5.033%
Last 10 (10)73.874.3148.1-0.550%
Last 5 (5)69.074.6143.6-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)65.473.1138.5-7.628%
vs Similar (9)79.872.9152.7+6.967%
vs Weaker (3)82.065.3147.3+16.7100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#226
W
90-72
90
72
+18
A05/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
89-52
89
52
+37
H07/12
NCAA
Oakland
#220
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H18/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H21/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H30/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
69-62
69
62
+7
A04/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
88-54
88
54
+34
H10/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A12/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H16/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H19/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-30
48-42
41-31
48-21
31-30
46-28
42-29
44-40
37-24
43-38
37-29
32-33
42-13
46-41
47-28
31-40
46-36
44-49
36-36
44-42
148.7Avg total
82.7Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.767.7149.4+14.089%
Season at home (14)81.466.1147.6+15.386%
Season away (4)82.873.2156.0+9.5100%
Last 10 (10)82.766.0148.7+16.7100%
Last 5 (5)81.069.4150.4+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.377.3145.7-9.00%
vs Similar (8)72.267.2139.5+5.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)80.366.6146.9+13.684%
This opponent (Rutgers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: +11.5+11.52nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +5.2+5.2
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: +11.5+11.52nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +5.2+5.2
RutgersMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
RutgersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#185
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H11/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#349
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H14/12
NCAA
Princeton
#99
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H21/12
NCAA
Columbia
#260
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H30/12
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A03/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H07/01
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H09/01
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H13/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A17/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A20/01
NCAA
73.1Avg total
36.2Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.635.268.8-1.730%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.333.668.9+1.844%-
Last 30 away (12)30.937.868.7-6.88%-
Last 10 (10)36.236.973.1-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)32.636.669.2-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)31.035.666.6-4.611%-
vs Similar (9)37.136.373.4+0.856%-
vs Weaker (3)38.329.768.0+8.767%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#226
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A05/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H07/12
NCAA
Oakland
#220
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H18/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H21/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H30/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A04/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
42-13
42
13
+29
H10/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A12/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H16/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H19/01
NCAA
68.7Avg total
40.1Scored
28.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.731.768.4+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.531.267.7+5.463%-
Last 30 away (11)36.932.669.5+4.364%-
Last 10 (10)40.128.668.7+11.590%-
Last 5 (5)41.628.470.0+13.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.037.368.3-6.30%-
vs Similar (8)33.231.965.1+1.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)39.030.769.7+8.379%-
This opponent (Rutgers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Rutgers wins
4
Michigan State wins
DateGameScore
14/01/24Michigan State v Rutgers73-55
04/02/23Rutgers v Michigan State61-55
19/01/23Michigan State v Rutgers70-57
05/02/22Rutgers v Michigan State84-63
29/01/21Rutgers v Michigan State67-37
06/01/21Michigan State v Rutgers68-45
09/12/19Michigan State v Rutgers77-65
Rutgerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/25APenn State72-80
17/01/25ANebraska85-82
13/01/25HUCLA75-68
09/01/25HPurdue50-68
07/01/25HWisconsin63-75
03/01/25AIndiana74-84
30/12/24HColumbia91-64
21/12/24HPrinceton82-83
14/12/24HSeton Hall66-63
11/12/24HPenn State80-76
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25HIllinois80-78
16/01/25HPenn State90-85
12/01/25ANorthwestern78-68
10/01/25HWashington88-54
04/01/25AOhio State69-62
30/12/24HWestern Michigan80-62
21/12/24HFlorida Atlantic86-69
18/12/24HOakland77-58
07/12/24HNebraska89-52
05/12/24AMinnesota90-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rutgers
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL53%
HomeLWLLW62%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19136
Win %53%62%33%
Points / game76.676.676.5
Allowed / game74.971.881.5
Point differential+1.7+4.8-5.0
Avg total151.5148.5158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%17%
Michigan State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18144
Win %89%86%100%
Points / game81.781.482.8
Allowed / game67.766.173.2
Point differential+14.0+15.3+9.5
Avg total149.4147.6156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%64%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State1816289%81.767.7+14.0
2 Oregon1916384%78.469.9+8.4
3 Wisconsin1915479%82.571.1+11.4
4 Purdue2116576%77.567.5+10.0
5 Maryland2015575%83.664.8+18.8
6 Michigan1914574%83.570.6+12.9
7 UCLA2014670%75.664.5+11.1
8 Indiana2014670%77.172.8+4.2
9 Illinois1913668%85.969.2+16.7
10 Penn State2013765%83.872.0+11.8
11 Iowa2013765%86.878.3+8.4
12 Nebraska1912763%76.470.4+6.1
13 Northwestern1912763%74.268.2+6.1
14 USC1912763%77.172.3+4.7
15 Ohio State1911858%79.771.3+8.4
16 Rutgers1910953%76.674.9+1.7
17 Minnesota1910953%69.468.7+0.7
18 Washington1991047%71.472.3-0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Rutgers324274
Michigan State354681
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