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Michigan vs Uconn Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 00:50
Final 69-63
0-0 33-29 0-0 36-34
Position#6
Record36-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game69.7
vs
Position#11
Record34-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game65.1
USANCAANCAA - Final
Other2025-26
Meetings · Michigan v Uconn
06 Nov 2026
MICH v UCON
upcoming
06 Apr 2026
MICH69
UCON63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Uconn winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#81
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A06/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H08/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H13/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H14/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H15/03
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
101-80
101
80
+21
H19/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H21/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H27/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
95-62
95
62
+33
H29/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
91-73
91
73
+18
A05/04
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
30-30
0-0
41-38
0-0
42-41
0-0
48-39
0-0
39-35
0-0
32-32
0-0
28-28
0-0
40-37
0-0
38-38
0-0
34-42
0-0
50-46
0-0
51-34
0-0
48-39
0-0
47-33
0-0
47-49
0-0
43-28
0-0
48-26
0-0
47-36
0-0
48-32
0-0
43-41
156.8Avg total
84.4Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)87.869.7157.5+18.192%
Season at home (25)90.668.7159.3+21.992%
Season away (14)82.871.4154.1+11.493%
Last 10 (10)84.472.4156.8+12.090%
Last 5 (5)94.472.8167.2+21.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)83.270.8154.0+12.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)86.370.8157.1+15.692%
This opponent (Uconn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UconnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seton Hall
#89
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H28/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A07/03
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
93-68
93
68
+25
H12/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
67-51
67
51
+16
H14/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A14/03
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H21/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H23/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H28/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A29/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H04/04
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
32-33
0-0
39-34
0-0
35-33
0-0
27-35
0-0
50-30
0-0
43-38
0-0
32-21
0-0
35-30
0-0
27-40
0-0
25-32
0-0
40-36
0-0
42-35
0-0
38-33
0-0
35-24
0-0
35-27
0-0
32-36
0-0
29-44
0-0
44-28
0-0
37-29
0-0
34-33
136.2Avg total
71.1Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)76.965.1142.1+11.887%
Season at home (24)78.562.9141.4+15.792%
Season away (15)74.468.7143.1+5.780%
Last 10 (10)71.165.1136.2+6.080%
Last 5 (5)73.265.0138.2+8.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)75.072.5147.5+2.5100%
vs Similar (5)66.863.6130.4+3.260%
vs Weaker (23)78.166.6144.7+11.591%
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +6.6+6.6Q4: +3.1+3.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +6.6+6.6Q4: +3.1+3.1
MichiganUconn
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#81
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A06/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H13/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H14/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H15/03
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H19/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H21/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H27/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H29/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A05/04
NCAA
78.2Avg total
41.8Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.434.977.3+7.570%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.935.178.9+8.878%-
Last 30 away (12)40.234.774.8+5.558%-
Last 10 (10)41.836.478.2+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)48.238.486.6+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)41.834.276.0+7.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)42.535.077.5+7.569%-
This opponent (Uconn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UconnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seton Hall
#89
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A07/03
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H12/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H14/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A14/03
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H21/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H23/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H28/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A29/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H04/04
NCAA
68.1Avg total
35.5Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.732.069.7+5.677%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.130.669.7+8.683%-
Last 30 away (12)35.534.269.8+1.267%-
Last 10 (10)35.532.668.1+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)35.833.869.6+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)34.038.072.0-4.050%-
vs Similar (5)35.832.268.0+3.660%-
vs Weaker (23)38.431.569.9+6.983%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan wins
0
Uconn wins
No previous meetings.
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/26AArizona91-73
29/03/26HTennessee95-62
27/03/26HAlabama90-77
21/03/26HSt. Louis Billikens95-72
19/03/26HHoward101-80
15/03/26HPurdue72-80
14/03/26HWisconsin68-65
13/03/26HOhio State71-67
08/03/26HMichigan State90-80
06/03/26AIowa71-68
Uconnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26HIllinois71-62
29/03/26ADuke73-72
28/03/26HMichigan State67-63
23/03/26HUCLA73-57
21/03/26HFurman82-71
14/03/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)52-72
14/03/26HGeorgetown67-51
12/03/26HXavier93-68
07/03/26AMarquette62-68
28/02/26HSeton Hall71-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeLWWWW92%
AwayWLWWW93%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392514
Win %92%92%93%
Points / game87.890.682.8
Allowed / game69.768.771.4
Point differential+18.1+21.9+11.4
Avg total157.5159.3154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+74%76%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)80% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %3%4%0%
Uconn
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW87%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWLLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392415
Win %87%92%80%
Points / game76.978.574.4
Allowed / game65.162.968.7
Point differential+11.8+15.7+5.7
Avg total142.1141.4143.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+51%58%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won91% (11)80% (5)100% (6)
Overtime %5%4%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan3936392%87.869.7+18.1
2 Nebraska3528780%77.066.1+10.8
3 Michigan State3527877%78.868.3+10.5
4 Purdue3930977%81.670.5+11.1
5 Illinois3728976%83.268.8+14.5
6 Wisconsin35241169%83.076.1+6.9
7 UCLA36241267%77.171.1+6.0
8 Iowa37241365%74.566.3+8.3
9 Ohio State34211362%79.372.6+6.7
10 Indiana32181456%78.272.2+6.0
11 USC32181456%78.677.9+0.7
12 Washington33161748%77.173.6+3.5
13 Minnesota32151747%70.068.5+1.5
14 Northwestern34151944%73.172.0+1.2
15 Rutgers33141942%70.675.1-4.5
16 Oregon32122038%70.873.9-3.1
17 Penn State32122038%73.779.3-5.7
18 Maryland33122136%69.776.6-6.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn3934587%76.965.1+11.8
2 St. John's (N.Y.)3930977%79.570.5+8.9
3 Villanova3324973%77.171.2+5.9
4 Seton Hall33211264%70.365.3+5.0
5 Butler32161650%79.477.5+1.8
6 DePaul32161650%70.269.6+0.7
7 Georgetown34161847%73.672.9+0.7
8 Creighton32151747%75.175.0+0.1
9 Providence33151845%85.384.0+1.3
10 Xavier33151845%78.480.6-2.3
11 Marquette32122038%75.275.8-0.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Michigan03303669
Uconn02903463
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