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Michigan vs USC Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 96-66
49-31 47-35
Position#6
Record12-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game96.8
Allowed / game66.5
Michigan 🏆
USA
vs
USC
USA
Position#153
Record12-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game75.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#77
W
67-63
67
63
+4
A15/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
86-61
86
61
+25
H19/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
94-54
94
54
+40
H25/11
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
102-72
102
72
+30
A26/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
W
101-61
101
61
+40
H27/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
101-60
101
60
+41
H06/12
NCAA
Villanova
#46
W
89-61
89
61
+28
H09/12
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
101-83
101
83
+18
A14/12
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
102-50
102
50
+52
H21/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
112-71
112
71
+41
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-35
34-28
36-30
50-31
45-33
49-21
59-31
43-41
53-29
48-32
50-25
51-35
53-23
36-38
45-50
56-33
54-33
48-17
60-29
52-42
159.1Avg total
95.5Scored
63.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)96.866.5163.2+30.2100%
Season at home (9)99.064.4163.4+34.6100%
Season away (3)90.072.7162.7+17.3100%
Last 10 (10)95.563.6159.1+31.9100%
Last 5 (5)101.065.0166.0+36.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.274.7141.8-7.533%
vs Similar (11)76.970.1147.0+6.891%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)93.167.8160.9+25.2100%
This opponent (USC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#84
W
107-106 OT
107
106
+1
H21/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
70-67
70
67
+3
A24/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H25/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
88-75
88
75
+13
A26/11
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A03/12
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H06/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
94-81
94
81
+13
A10/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H15/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
97-70
97
70
+27
H18/12
NCAA
UC Santa Cruz
#566
W
102-63
102
63
+39
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-29
39-39
34-32
36-35
38-42
45-39
43-43
45-32
39-39
43-38
48-30
28-54
38-38
56-43
33-26
35-35
40-31
57-39
45-26
57-37
163.2Avg total
86.7Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)89.475.3164.7+14.192%
Season at home (9)92.075.4167.4+16.689%
Season away (4)83.575.0158.5+8.5100%
Last 10 (10)86.776.5163.2+10.290%
Last 5 (5)87.471.8159.2+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)76.380.3156.6-4.046%
vs Similar (12)82.578.3160.8+4.258%
vs Weaker (5)99.871.6171.4+28.2100%
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-21-11+0+11+211st half1st half: +17.0+17.01st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: +14.9+14.92nd half: +5.0+5.0
-21-11+0+11+211st half1st half: +17.0+17.01st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: +14.9+14.92nd half: +5.0+5.0
MichiganUSC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#77
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A15/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H19/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H25/11
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
59-31
59
31
+28
A26/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H27/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H06/12
NCAA
Villanova
#46
W
53-23
53
23
+30
H09/12
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A14/12
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H21/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
60-29
60
29
+31
H30/12
NCAA
80.6Avg total
48.8Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.033.574.5+7.563%-
Last 30 at home (19)43.132.875.9+10.368%-
Last 30 away (11)37.434.672.0+2.755%-
Last 10 (10)48.831.880.6+17.080%-
Last 5 (5)52.432.084.4+20.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.734.767.3-2.050%-
vs Similar (11)36.532.168.6+4.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)48.634.182.7+14.577%-
This opponent (USC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#84
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H21/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A24/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H25/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A26/11
NCAA
Oregon
#293
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A03/12
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H06/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A10/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H15/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H18/12
NCAA
UC Santa Cruz
#566
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H21/12
NCAA
72.3Avg total
38.7Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.735.473.1+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.733.773.4+6.071%-
Last 30 away (13)35.037.772.7-2.715%-
Last 10 (10)38.733.672.3+5.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.830.271.0+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)33.836.570.2-2.731%-
vs Similar (12)38.835.274.0+3.750%-
vs Weaker (5)45.033.478.4+11.680%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Michigan wins
0
USC wins
DateGameScore
05/01/25USC v Michigan74-85
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25HMcNeese State112-71
21/12/25HLa Salle102-50
14/12/25AMaryland101-83
09/12/25HVillanova89-61
06/12/25HRutgers101-60
27/11/25HGonzaga101-61
26/11/25AAuburn102-72
25/11/25HSan Diego State94-54
19/11/25HMiddle Tenn. St.86-61
15/11/25ATCU67-63
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HUC Santa Cruz102-63
18/12/25HUTSA Roadrunners97-70
15/12/25HWashington State68-61
10/12/25ASan Diego Toreros94-81
06/12/25HWashington76-84
03/12/25AOregon82-77
26/11/25AArizona State88-75
25/11/25HSeton Hall83-81
24/11/25ABoise State70-67
21/11/25HTroy107-106 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1293
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game96.899.090.0
Allowed / game66.564.472.7
Point differential+30.2+34.6+17.3
Avg total163.2163.4162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%89%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%11%0%
USC
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW92%
HomeWLWWW89%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %92%89%100%
Points / game89.492.083.5
Allowed / game75.375.475.0
Point differential+14.1+16.6+8.5
Avg total164.7167.4158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%56%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %8%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan12120100%96.866.5+30.2
2 Nebraska13130100%83.566.2+17.3
3 Purdue1312192%86.266.0+20.2
4 Michigan State1312192%80.865.9+14.8
5 USC1312192%89.475.3+14.1
6 Iowa1311285%81.260.1+21.2
7 Illinois1310377%88.268.5+19.8
8 Indiana1310377%84.766.1+18.6
9 UCLA1310377%81.768.9+12.8
10 Ohio State129375%86.271.9+14.3
11 Washington139469%82.571.2+11.4
12 Wisconsin139469%83.573.2+10.3
13 Penn State139469%79.174.3+4.8
14 Northwestern138562%80.569.4+11.2
15 Minnesota138562%72.764.8+7.9
16 Oregon137654%78.273.7+4.5
17 Maryland137654%76.878.8-1.9
18 Rutgers137654%68.771.0-2.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan494796
USC313566
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