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Michigan vs Purdue Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 70-75
35-41 35-34
Position#174
Record11-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game69.5
Michigan
USA
vs
Purdue 🏆
USA
Position#14
Record19-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game59.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Michigan v Purdue
08 Jan 2027
MICH v PURD
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
MICH72
PURD80
14 Mar 2025
MICH86
PURD68
11 Feb 2025
MICH75
PURD73
25 Feb 2024
MICH76
PURD84
26 Jan 2023
MICH70
PURD75
10 Feb 2022
MICH82
PURD58
09 Jan 2020
MICH84
PURD78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Purdue winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lipscomb
#116
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H17/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A22/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H30/12
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
81-46
81
46
+35
H01/01
NCAA
Penn State
#105
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H05/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A07/01
NCAA
Iowa
#134
L
84-93 OT
84
93
-9
A13/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H15/01
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A20/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
60-56
60
56
+4
H22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
49-41
34-34
34-41
42-39
28-27
33-36
44-13
37-33
42-34
37-35
18-27
35-32
43-40
36-39
37-39
48-39
32-34
26-30
23-23
37-33
140.3Avg total
72.0Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.369.5143.8+4.758%
Season at home (11)75.366.4141.6+8.982%
Season away (8)72.973.9146.8-1.025%
Last 10 (10)72.068.3140.3+3.750%
Last 5 (5)68.070.0138.0-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)72.271.0143.2+1.260%
vs Similar (20)74.271.0145.2+3.250%
vs Weaker (5)75.469.0144.4+6.480%
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Davidson
#208
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H17/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
74-53
74
53
+21
H22/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#352
W
82-49
82
49
+33
H29/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Penn State
#105
W
76-63
76
63
+13
A08/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H14/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A16/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
61-39
61
39
+22
A20/01
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-27
41-34
41-21
33-32
42-29
40-20
24-34
40-31
33-36
38-33
31-37
45-26
35-24
38-31
27-25
37-38
31-12
30-27
35-21
23-34
126.4Avg total
69.2Scored
57.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)73.559.8133.3+13.895%
Season at home (12)74.258.1132.3+16.292%
Season away (8)72.562.4134.9+10.1100%
Last 10 (10)69.257.2126.4+12.090%
Last 5 (5)66.455.0121.4+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)73.565.5139.0+8.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)72.861.3134.1+11.586%
This opponent (Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +6.1+6.12nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +5.9+5.9
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +6.1+6.12nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +5.9+5.9
MichiganPurdue
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lipscomb
#116
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H17/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A22/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H30/12
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
44-13
44
13
+31
H01/01
NCAA
Penn State
#105
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H05/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
18-27
18
27
-9
A07/01
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A13/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H15/01
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A20/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H22/01
NCAA
66.9Avg total
35.0Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.634.069.6+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.832.670.4+5.269%-
Last 30 away (14)33.135.668.7-2.621%-
Last 10 (10)35.031.966.9+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)30.632.663.2-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)31.238.069.2-6.80%-
vs Similar (20)36.833.970.6+2.955%-
vs Weaker (5)35.430.666.0+4.860%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Davidson
#208
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H17/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H22/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#352
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H29/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A06/01
NCAA
Penn State
#105
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A08/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H14/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A16/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
31-12
31
12
+19
A20/01
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H22/01
NCAA
59.3Avg total
32.7Scored
26.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.428.664.1+6.877%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.828.265.0+8.585%-
Last 30 away (10)32.729.462.1+3.360%-
Last 10 (10)32.726.659.3+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)31.823.855.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)36.531.467.9+5.162%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)35.027.662.7+7.482%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Michigan wins
1
Purdue wins
DateGameScore
11/02/22Michigan v Purdue82-58
05/02/22Purdue v Michigan82-76
23/01/21Purdue v Michigan53-70
22/02/20Purdue v Michigan63-71
10/01/20Michigan v Purdue84-78 OT
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/23HMinnesota60-56
20/01/23AMaryland58-64
15/01/23HNorthwestern85-78
13/01/23AIowa84-93 OT
07/01/23AMichigan State53-59
05/01/23HPenn State79-69
01/01/23HMaryland81-46
30/12/22HCentral Michigan61-63
22/12/22ANorth Carolina76-80
17/12/22HLipscomb83-75
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/23HMaryland58-55
20/01/23AMinnesota61-39
16/01/23AMichigan State64-63
14/01/23HNebraska73-55
08/01/23APenn State76-63
06/01/23AOhio State71-69
03/01/23HRutgers64-65
29/12/22HFlorida A&M82-49
22/12/22HNew Orleans74-53
17/12/22HDavidson69-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW58%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %58%82%25%
Points / game74.375.372.9
Allowed / game69.566.473.9
Point differential+4.7+8.9-1.0
Avg total143.8141.6146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%36%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %11%9%12%
Purdue
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW95%
HomeWWLWW92%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %95%92%100%
Points / game73.574.272.5
Allowed / game59.858.162.4
Point differential+13.8+16.2+10.1
Avg total133.3132.3134.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%67%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %5%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue2019195%73.559.8+13.8
2 UCLA2017385%75.359.8+15.6
3 Northwestern1914574%69.361.1+8.2
4 Rutgers2014670%70.057.0+12.9
5 Illinois2014670%75.864.3+11.6
6 Indiana2014670%78.267.2+11.0
7 USC2014670%71.266.3+4.9
8 Michigan State2114767%69.365.6+3.7
9 Maryland2013765%70.463.7+6.7
10 Penn State2013765%73.166.9+6.2
11 Wisconsin1912763%65.863.4+2.4
12 Iowa2012860%80.773.0+7.7
13 Michigan1911858%74.369.5+4.7
14 Washington2112957%69.969.6+0.3
15 Ohio State2011955%77.066.8+10.2
16 Oregon2011955%70.266.3+3.9
17 Nebraska21101148%66.067.8-1.8
18 Minnesota1971237%62.266.9-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan353570
Purdue413475
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