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Jacksonville State vs Middle Tenn. St. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 77-63
48-34 29-29
Position#92
Record15-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game68.8
vs
Position#76
Record15-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Jacksonville State v Middle Tenn. St.
31 Dec 2026
JACK v MIDD
upcoming
23 Jan 2026
JACK75
MIDD58
14 Mar 2025
JACK70
MIDD68
06 Feb 2025
JACK77
MIDD63
21 Feb 2024
JACK76
MIDD68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jacksonville State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Middle Tenn. St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Jacksonville StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fort Valley State Wildcats
#556
W
111-70
111
70
+41
H31/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A04/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A10/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H17/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H18/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A24/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
65-59
65
59
+6
A26/01
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H31/01
NCAA
Liberty
#19
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
58-40
53-30
36-36
35-47
24-27
49-40
27-37
37-44
25-31
38-30
26-32
44-30
30-31
43-35
29-29
36-30
36-34
35-33
32-38
40-23
141.0Avg total
73.3Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.568.8145.2+7.768%
Season at home (10)79.563.2142.7+16.390%
Season away (12)73.973.4147.3+0.550%
Last 10 (10)73.367.7141.0+5.680%
Last 5 (5)70.263.0133.2+7.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)67.369.0136.3-1.733%
vs Similar ◀ (13)70.772.6143.3-1.946%
vs Weaker (13)76.166.4142.5+9.769%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#23
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A24/12
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A03/01
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A04/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H11/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H19/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A24/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A25/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H31/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-34
24-48
32-35
41-34
25-42
38-31
43-39
41-40
37-27
44-37
27-28
44-29
36-38
41-37
30-27
39-48
26-35
31-26
36-33
35-35
141.3Avg total
71.0Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.470.2146.6+6.168%
Season at home (12)78.066.3144.3+11.783%
Season away (10)74.474.9149.3-0.550%
Last 10 (10)71.070.3141.3+0.760%
Last 5 (5)69.067.2136.2+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.076.0145.0-7.045%
vs Similar ◀ (11)73.773.7147.5+0.055%
vs Weaker (8)84.464.2148.6+20.1100%
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: +1.3+1.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: +1.3+1.3
Jacksonville StateMiddle Tenn. St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Jacksonville StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fort Valley State Wildcats
#556
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H31/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A04/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
24-27
24
27
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H17/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H18/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A24/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A26/01
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H01/02
NCAA
65.8Avg total
32.3Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)32.633.566.1-0.934%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.933.766.6-0.950%-
Last 30 away (15)32.333.365.6-0.920%-
Last 10 (10)32.333.565.8-1.220%-
Last 5 (5)30.632.863.4-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.338.071.3-4.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)31.034.665.6-3.615%-
vs Weaker (12)32.030.662.6+1.458%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#23
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A24/12
NCAA
Florida International
#330
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A03/01
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A04/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H10/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H11/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H19/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A24/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A25/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H31/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H01/02
NCAA
67.0Avg total
33.2Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.534.069.4+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.331.667.9+4.773%-
Last 30 away (15)34.736.371.0-1.733%-
Last 10 (10)33.233.867.0-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)31.032.263.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.136.869.9-3.736%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)33.133.166.2+0.064%-
vs Weaker (8)42.031.273.2+10.862%-
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Jacksonville State wins
2
Middle Tenn. St. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25HLiberty72-61
31/01/25HFlorida International71-67
26/01/25ANew Mexico State65-59
24/01/25AUTEP73-66
18/01/25HSam Houston St.70-62
17/01/25HLouisiana Tech63-61
11/01/25AMiddle Tenn. St.64-81
10/01/25AWestern Kentucky73-67
04/01/25AKennesaw State71-83
31/12/24HFort Valley State Wildcats111-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25HUTEP71-68
31/01/25HNew Mexico State57-61
25/01/25ALouisiana Tech69-75
24/01/25ASam Houston St.77-75
19/01/25HWestern Kentucky71-57
11/01/25HJacksonville State81-64
10/01/25HKennesaw State84-79
04/01/25ALiberty63-73
03/01/25AFlorida International73-69
24/12/24ATennessee64-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jacksonville State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW68%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %68%90%50%
Points / game76.579.573.9
Allowed / game68.863.273.4
Point differential+7.7+16.3+0.5
Avg total145.2142.7147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW68%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %68%83%50%
Points / game76.478.074.4
Allowed / game70.266.374.9
Point differential+6.1+11.7-0.5
Avg total146.6144.3149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)80% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2217577%77.662.2+15.5
2 Louisiana Tech2216673%75.968.0+8.0
3 Jacksonville State2215768%76.568.8+7.7
4 Middle Tenn. St.2215768%76.470.2+6.1
5 UTEP2215768%73.268.6+4.5
6 Western Kentucky2214864%78.074.7+3.2
7 Kennesaw State2213959%78.174.1+4.0
8 New Mexico State22121055%71.468.3+3.1
9 Delaware24111346%77.177.8-0.6
10 Sam Houston St.2281436%76.476.6-0.3
11 Missouri State2481633%69.571.6-2.1
12 Florida International2271532%71.671.8-0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Jacksonville State482977
Middle Tenn. St.342963
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