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Middle Tenn. St. vs Louisiana Tech Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 88-51
39-22 49-29
Position#179
Record7-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game71.2
vs
Position#131
Record8-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game56.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Middle Tenn. St. v Louisiana Tech
02 Jan 2026
MIDD88
LOUI51
13 Mar 2025
MIDD77
LOUI75
20 Feb 2025
MIDD74
LOUI85
11 Jan 2024
MIDD52
LOUI60
25 Feb 2023
MIDD63
LOUI49
19 Feb 2021
MIDD v LOUI
upcoming
23 Jan 2020
MIDD73
LOUI80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middle Tenn. St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisiana Tech winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#362
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A13/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
61-86
61
86
-25
A19/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
90-87
90
87
+3
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
79-92
79
92
-13
H24/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A25/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H02/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
62-83
62
83
-21
H07/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H18/12
NCAA
Cumberland University (TN)
#409
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H21/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-28
41-44
30-36
31-50
43-40
47-47
41-49
38-43
34-28
28-44
32-33
44-28
31-35
31-48
40-31
28-36
30-35
44-23
28-33
32-36
145.6Avg total
70.9Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.571.2147.7+5.358%
Season at home (8)82.269.4151.6+12.975%
Season away (4)65.074.8139.8-9.825%
Last 10 (10)70.974.7145.6-3.850%
Last 5 (5)68.067.6135.6+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.679.3146.9-11.714%
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.072.2145.2+0.862%
vs Weaker (8)84.164.2148.4+19.9100%
This opponent (Louisiana Tech) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Louisiana TechUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#306
W
68-51
68
51
+17
H16/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A20/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H27/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
83-58
83
58
+25
H29/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A04/12
NCAA
Ecclesia
#602
W
89-37
89
37
+52
H07/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
65-44
65
44
+21
H13/12
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
53-61
53
61
-8
A18/12
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#683
W
90-37
90
37
+53
H22/12
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-27
34-24
25-30
26-30
37-26
38-47
37-30
46-28
27-33
42-44
40-11
49-26
31-19
34-25
20-28
33-33
47-17
43-20
38-28
37-35
127.9Avg total
71.8Scored
56.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)71.856.1127.8+15.767%
Season at home (8)79.849.8129.5+30.0100%
Season away (4)55.868.8124.5-13.00%
Last 10 (10)71.856.1127.9+15.770%
Last 5 (5)74.448.4122.8+26.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.075.5141.5-9.550%
vs Similar ◀ (12)65.471.4136.8-6.025%
vs Weaker (15)73.958.5132.3+15.480%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +8.7+8.72nd half2nd half: -3.5-3.52nd half: +7.0+7.0
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +8.7+8.72nd half2nd half: -3.5-3.52nd half: +7.0+7.0
Middle Tenn. St.Louisiana Tech
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#362
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A13/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A19/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H24/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A25/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H02/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H07/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H18/12
NCAA
Cumberland University (TN)
#409
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H21/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A30/12
NCAA
69.3Avg total
34.5Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.633.670.2+3.050%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.933.471.3+4.656%-
Last 30 away (12)34.533.968.4+0.642%-
Last 10 (10)34.534.869.3-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)32.233.465.6-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.436.370.7-1.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)34.834.168.9+0.846%-
vs Weaker (8)40.629.169.8+11.575%-
This opponent (Louisiana Tech) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Louisiana TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#306
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H16/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A20/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H27/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H29/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A04/12
NCAA
Ecclesia
#602
W
40-11
40
11
+29
H07/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
31-19
31
19
+12
H13/12
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
20-28
20
28
-8
A18/12
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#683
W
47-17
47
17
+30
H22/12
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H30/12
NCAA
58.5Avg total
33.6Scored
24.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.929.361.2+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.926.861.7+8.176%-
Last 30 away (13)27.932.560.5-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)33.624.958.5+8.770%-
Last 5 (5)35.220.655.8+14.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)25.036.561.5-11.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)27.833.261.1-5.433%-
vs Weaker (15)34.925.760.6+9.380%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25AHouston60-69
21/12/25HCumberland University (TN)74-58
18/12/25HKennesaw State68-67
07/12/25HBelmont62-83
02/12/25HUAB76-61
25/11/25AMcNeese State62-72
24/11/25HGeorge Washington79-92
24/11/25HMurray State90-87
19/11/25AMichigan61-86
13/11/25AEvansville77-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25HUTEP75-63
22/12/25HDallas Christian90-37
18/12/25ATulane53-61
13/12/25HLouisiana Lafayette65-44
07/12/25HEcclesia89-37
04/12/25AGeorgia Southern69-77
29/11/25HAlcorn State83-58
27/11/25HIndiana State75-73
20/11/25AIndiana State51-60
16/11/25HJackson State68-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL58%
HomeLWLWW75%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %58%75%25%
Points / game76.582.265.0
Allowed / game71.269.474.8
Point differential+5.3+12.9-9.8
Avg total147.7151.6139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Louisiana Tech
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game71.879.855.8
Allowed / game56.149.868.8
Point differential+15.7+30.0-13.0
Avg total127.8129.5124.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%88%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1310377%81.568.1+13.5
2 New Mexico State129375%77.467.3+10.1
3 Louisiana Tech128467%71.856.1+15.7
4 Kennesaw State138562%91.876.5+15.3
5 Sam Houston St.138562%88.376.8+11.5
6 Florida International138562%88.279.2+8.9
7 Western Kentucky138562%84.578.0+6.5
8 Middle Tenn. St.127558%76.571.2+5.3
9 Missouri State127558%73.369.7+3.7
10 Jacksonville State137654%74.363.6+10.7
11 UTEP124833%71.671.5+0.1
12 Delaware134931%66.172.2-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Middle Tenn. St.394988
Louisiana Tech222951
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