PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Middle Tenn. St. vs UAB Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 76-61
32-33 44-28
Position#179
Record4-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Position#99
Record6-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game70.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Middle Tenn. St. v UAB
01 Dec 2025
MIDD76
UAB61
21 Nov 2023
MIDD57
UAB58
16 Jan 2023
MIDD74
UAB73
11 Mar 2022
MIDD98
UAB102
28 Jan 2021
MIDD59
UAB70
15 Feb 2020
MIDD66
UAB79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middle Tenn. St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UAB winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
H14/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A14/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#1
L
103-109 OT
103
109
-6
H19/03
NIT
Milligan
#639
W
100-51
100
51
+49
H05/11
NCAA
Webster Gorloks
#620
W
109-56
109
56
+53
H09/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A13/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
61-86
61
86
-25
A19/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
90-87
90
87
+3
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
79-92
79
92
-13
H24/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A25/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
40-31
0-0
22-31
0-0
35-35
0-0
33-35
0-0
48-43
0-0
36-41
0-0
48-26
0-0
52-25
0-0
54-23
0-0
55-33
0-0
36-28
0-0
41-44
0-0
30-36
0-0
31-50
0-0
43-40
0-0
47-47
0-0
41-49
0-0
38-43
0-0
34-28
0-0
28-44
159.6Avg total
82.6Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.673.7156.3+8.957%
Season at home (4)94.571.5166.0+23.075%
Season away (3)66.776.7143.3-10.033%
Last 10 (10)82.677.0159.6+5.650%
Last 5 (5)73.881.8155.6-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.179.4147.6-11.314%
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.673.6147.2+0.062%
vs Weaker (9)82.964.8147.7+18.1100%
This opponent (UAB) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UABUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#9
W
88-84
88
84
+4
A24/03
NIT
UC Irvine
#2
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
A27/03
NIT
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
106-55
106
55
+51
H04/11
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
70-94
70
94
-24
A08/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H12/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
W
91-74
91
74
+17
H15/11
NCAA
Rhodes Lynx
#534
W
112-56
112
56
+56
H18/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A24/11
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H25/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
37-44
0-0
51-40
0-0
36-31
0-0
33-38
0-0
59-22
0-0
47-33
0-0
33-41
0-0
37-53
0-0
35-36
0-0
39-41
0-0
35-38
0-0
56-36
0-0
60-34
0-0
52-22
0-0
36-26
0-0
44-46
0-0
36-35
0-0
45-38
0-0
37-34
0-0
38-25
157.9Avg total
85.4Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.170.0156.1+16.175%
Season at home (6)89.765.5155.2+24.283%
Season away (2)75.583.5159.0-8.050%
Last 10 (10)85.472.5157.9+12.970%
Last 5 (5)87.866.8154.6+21.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)89.579.0168.5+10.5100%
vs Similar ◀ (13)75.978.4154.3-2.554%
vs Weaker (14)87.072.6159.6+14.486%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.0+7.01st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +7.0+7.0
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.0+7.01st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +7.0+7.0
Middle Tenn. St.UAB
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H14/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A14/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#1
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H19/03
NIT
Milligan
#639
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H05/11
NCAA
Webster Gorloks
#620
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H09/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A13/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A19/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H24/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A25/11
NCAA
74.8Avg total
40.9Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.134.071.1+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.433.572.9+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)34.534.669.1-0.143%-
Last 10 (10)40.933.974.8+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)36.836.273.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.937.372.1-2.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.734.570.2+1.254%-
vs Weaker (9)39.729.869.4+9.967%-
This opponent (UAB) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UABLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#9
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A24/03
NIT
UC Irvine
#2
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A27/03
NIT
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
59-22
59
22
+37
H04/11
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A08/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H12/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H15/11
NCAA
Rhodes Lynx
#534
W
60-34
60
34
+26
H18/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A24/11
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H25/11
NCAA
74.5Avg total
40.4Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.734.273.9+5.577%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.333.475.7+8.980%-
Last 30 away (15)37.134.972.1+2.273%-
Last 10 (10)40.434.174.5+6.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.833.474.2+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.041.077.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.035.172.1+1.977%-
vs Weaker (14)43.332.475.7+10.993%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Middle Tenn. St. wins
8
UAB wins
DateGameScore
01/12/24UAB v Middle Tenn. St.69-76
22/11/23Middle Tenn. St. v UAB57-58
11/02/23UAB v Middle Tenn. St.92-69
17/01/23Middle Tenn. St. v UAB74-73 OT
11/03/22Middle Tenn. St. v UAB98-102 OT
05/02/22UAB v Middle Tenn. St.97-75
31/01/21UAB v Middle Tenn. St.63-52
29/01/21Middle Tenn. St. v UAB59-70
15/02/20Middle Tenn. St. v UAB66-79
13/02/20UAB v Middle Tenn. St.83-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/25AMcNeese State62-72
24/11/25HGeorge Washington79-92
24/11/25HMurray State90-87
19/11/25AMichigan61-86
13/11/25AEvansville77-72
09/11/25HWebster Gorloks109-56
05/11/25HMilligan100-51
19/03/25HChattanooga Mocs103-109 OT
14/03/25AJacksonville State68-70
14/03/25HLouisiana Tech77-75 OT
UABlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/25HUTEP75-59
24/11/25ASouthern Illinois81-73
22/11/25HSouth Alabama80-72
18/11/25HRhodes Lynx112-56
15/11/25HHigh Point91-74
12/11/25HAlabama State74-77
08/11/25ANC State70-94
04/11/25HMiss. Valley St.106-55
27/03/25AUC Irvine77-81 OT
24/03/25ASanta Clara88-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL57%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game82.694.566.7
Allowed / game73.771.576.7
Point differential+8.9+23.0-10.0
Avg total156.3166.0143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UAB
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %75%83%50%
Points / game86.189.775.5
Allowed / game70.065.583.5
Point differential+16.1+24.2-8.0
Avg total156.1155.2159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico State660100%74.762.2+12.5
2 Kennesaw State75271%95.977.9+18.0
3 Liberty75271%83.766.4+17.3
4 Sam Houston St.75271%87.473.6+13.9
5 Western Kentucky75271%86.478.3+8.1
6 Louisiana Tech64267%70.059.0+11.0
7 Middle Tenn. St.74357%82.673.7+8.9
8 Missouri State74357%79.370.4+8.9
9 Florida International63350%83.077.3+5.7
10 Jacksonville State73443%77.463.3+14.1
11 UTEP73443%74.372.0+2.3
12 Delaware72529%68.476.0-7.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa76186%83.068.4+14.6
2 UAB86275%86.170.0+16.1
3 North Texas86275%71.263.9+7.4
4 Tulane75271%77.678.3-0.7
5 Florida Atlantic85362%78.171.8+6.4
6 Wichita State84450%76.866.9+9.9
7 South Florida84450%91.482.5+8.9
8 UTSA Roadrunners84450%74.867.9+6.9
9 Temple84450%76.476.2+0.1
10 Charlotte83538%71.872.6-0.9
11 Rice93633%75.673.3+2.2
12 Memphis62433%74.075.3-1.3
13 East Carolina72529%67.780.6-12.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Middle Tenn. St.324476
UAB332861
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.