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Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 113-109
21-30 28-22 29-33 35-24
Position#21
Record9-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game118.2
vs
Position#3
Record17-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game118.8
Allowed / game113.2
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Detroit Pistons
18 Mar 2027
MIL v DET
upcoming
02 Mar 2027
MIL v DET
upcoming
03 Dec 2025
MIL113
DET109
22 Nov 2025
MIL116
DET129
13 Apr 2025
MIL140
DET133
13 Nov 2024
MIL127
DET120
16 Dec 2023
MIL146
DET114
08 Nov 2023
MIL120
DET118
02 Nov 2022
MIL116
DET91
31 Oct 2022
MIL110
DET108
03 Jan 2022
MIL106
DET115
24 Nov 2021
MIL114
DET93
06 Jan 2021
MIL130
DET115
04 Jan 2021
MIL125
DET115
23 Mar 2020
MIL v DET
upcoming
23 Nov 2019
MIL104
DET90
17 Apr 2019
MIL120
DET99
14 Apr 2019
MIL121
DET86
01 Jan 2019
MIL121
DET98
05 Dec 2018
MIL115
DET92
06 Dec 2017
MIL104
DET100
15 Nov 2017
MIL99
DET95
31 Mar 2017
MIL108
DET105
13 Feb 2017
MIL102
DET89
27 Feb 2016
MIL91
DET102
23 Nov 2015
MIL109
DET88
24 Jan 2015
MIL101
DET86
25 Nov 2014
MIL98
DET86
22 Jan 2014
MIL104
DET101
04 Dec 2013
MIL98
DET105
09 Feb 2013
MIL100
DET105
11 Jan 2013
MIL87
DET103
30 Jan 2012
MIL103
DET82
12 Jan 2012
MIL102
DET93
01 Mar 2011
MIL92
DET90
05 Feb 2011
MIL78
DET89
09 Feb 2010
MIL81
DET93
31 Oct 2009
MIL96
DET85
07 Feb 2009
MIL121
DET126
27 Dec 2008
MIL76
DET87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Detroit Pistons winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
147-134 OT
147
134
+13
153avg 108
H15/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
95-119
95
119
-24
82avg 108
H16/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
106-118
106
118
-12
90avg 108
A18/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
114-123 OT
114
123
-9
108avg 108
H21/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
116-129
116
129
-13
111avg 108
H23/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
103-115
103
115
-12
91avg 108
H25/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
103-106
103
106
-3
96avg 108
A27/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
109-118
109
118
-9
105avg 108
A29/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
116-99
116
99
+17
116avg 108
H30/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
126-129
126
129
-3
120avg 108
A02/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-33
27-36
42-29
26-31
18-30
16-35
38-27
23-27
33-26
24-33
31-33
18-26
20-33
37-22
24-22
25-29
26-30
26-39
33-35
31-25
27-32
26-33
21-30
29-20
27-29
20-24
30-28
26-25
37-33
25-28
26-31
21-26
32-29
39-24
28-17
17-29
34-28
32-30
28-33
32-38
232.5Avg total
113.5Scored
119.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)116.0118.2234.1-2.241%
Season at home (12)119.9118.9238.8+1.050%
Season away (10)111.2117.3228.5-6.130%
Last 10 (10)113.5119.0232.5-5.520%
Last 5 (5)111.4113.4224.8-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)112.3118.5230.8-6.327%
vs Similar (12)118.7117.8236.5+0.858%
vs Weaker (3)131.7120.0251.7+11.767%
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Detroit PistonsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistons
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
124-113
124
113
+11
116avg 109
H13/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
114-105
114
105
+9
108avg 109
H15/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
127-112
127
112
+15
123avg 109
H18/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
120-112
120
112
+8
117avg 109
A19/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
129-116
129
116
+13
128avg 109
A23/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
122-117
122
117
+5
116avg 109
A25/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
114-117
114
117
-3
103avg 109
A26/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
109-112
109
112
-3
102avg 109
H29/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
138-135
138
135
+3
134avg 109
A30/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
99-98
99
98
+1
94avg 109
H02/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-23
32-29
28-27
29-34
28-27
35-27
25-36
26-15
26-21
36-25
31-29
34-37
35-27
32-27
27-28
26-30
30-26
39-26
35-33
25-31
35-32
36-23
30-33
21-29
30-24
28-33
25-29
31-31
33-31
25-28
26-30
25-23
36-23
35-36
37-32
30-44
25-27
25-22
24-19
25-30
233.3Avg total
119.6Scored
113.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)118.8113.2232.0+5.681%
Season at home (11)117.7112.1229.8+5.682%
Season away (10)119.9114.4234.3+5.580%
Last 10 (10)119.6113.7233.3+5.980%
Last 5 (5)116.4115.8232.2+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)112.9113.3226.2-0.442%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)119.2113.1232.3+6.183%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -3.2-3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -3.2-3.2
Milwaukee BucksDetroit Pistons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H15/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
34-65
34
65
-31
H16/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A18/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H21/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
52-69
52
69
-17
H23/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
53-65
53
65
-12
H25/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A27/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A29/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H30/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A02/12
NBA
116.7Avg total
56.0Scored
60.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.959.7116.6-2.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.559.9118.4-1.456%-
Last 30 away (14)55.159.5114.6-4.436%-
Last 10 (10)56.060.7116.7-4.740%-
Last 5 (5)59.858.0117.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)54.361.7116.1-7.427%-
vs Similar (12)57.758.4116.1-0.858%-
vs Weaker (3)66.755.0121.7+11.7100%-
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Detroit PistonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
67-52
67
52
+15
H13/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H15/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
62-46
62
46
+16
H18/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A19/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
69-52
69
52
+17
A23/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
71-55
71
55
+16
A25/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A26/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H29/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
71-59
71
59
+12
A30/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H02/12
NBA
117.3Avg total
63.6Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.657.3115.8+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.757.9115.6-0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)59.656.5116.1+3.164%-
Last 10 (10)63.653.7117.3+9.990%-
Last 5 (5)61.655.8117.4+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)56.158.6114.7-2.542%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)60.256.4116.6+3.867%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 113.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers50.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.925.1
53.5%
54.8%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.516.8
43.6%
35.8%50.4
🏀 Free throws18.112.9
71.3%
78.1%12.9
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Detroit Pistonstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Detroit Pistons: 119.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.333.0
58.6%
54.8%66.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.2
36.4%
35.8%33.6
🏀 Free throws26.320.0
76.0%
78.1%20.0
They take 87.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LWLLLLLLLW
Detroit Pistons
WWLLWWWWWW
#21
League position
#3
-5.4
Net rating
+5.7
112.2
Offensive rating
115.9
117.6
Defensive rating
110.2
58.9%
Effective FG%
57.2%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
15.0%
Turnover %
16.4%
18.5%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.30
43.6%
3-point %
36.4%
66.6%
Assist %
59.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 115.9Defence117.6 · 110.2Shooting58.9% · 57.2%3-point %43.6% · 36.4%Ball care15.0% · 16.4%Off. rebounds18.5% · 30.5%Free throws0.21 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Detroit Pistons
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Milwaukee Bucks wins
1
Detroit Pistons wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/25AWashington Wizards126-129
30/11/25HBrooklyn Nets116-99
29/11/25ANew York Knicks109-118
27/11/25AMiami Heat103-106
25/11/25HPortland Trail Blazers103-115
23/11/25HDetroit Pistons116-129
21/11/25HPhiladelphia 76ers114-123 OT
18/11/25ACleveland Cavaliers106-118
16/11/25HLos Angeles Lakers95-119
15/11/25HCharlotte Hornets147-134 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/25HAtlanta Hawks99-98
30/11/25AMiami Heat138-135
29/11/25HOrlando Magic109-112
26/11/25ABoston Celtics114-117
25/11/25AIndiana Pacers122-117
23/11/25AMilwaukee Bucks129-116
19/11/25AAtlanta Hawks120-112
18/11/25HIndiana Pacers127-112
15/11/25HPhiladelphia 76ers114-105
13/11/25HChicago Bulls124-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL41%
HomeLLLLW50%
AwayLLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %41%50%30%
Points / game116.0119.9111.2
Allowed / game118.2118.9117.3
Point differential-2.2+1.0-6.1
Avg total234.1238.8228.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %9%17%0%
Detroit Pistons
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW81%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %81%82%80%
Points / game118.8117.7119.9
Allowed / game113.2112.1114.4
Point differential+5.6+5.6+5.5
Avg total232.0229.8234.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%45%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)67% (3)67% (6)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder2221195%122.3107.0+15.3
2 Detroit Pistons2117481%118.8113.2+5.6
3 Los Angeles Lakers2015575%119.0115.8+3.2
4 Houston Rockets1813572%121.8111.2+10.6
5 Denver Nuggets2115671%125.1116.0+9.0
6 San Antonio Spurs2115671%119.0113.8+5.2
7 Toronto Raptors2215768%117.7113.1+4.6
8 New York Knicks2114767%120.2113.0+7.2
9 Miami Heat2114767%124.3118.4+5.9
10 Minnesota Timberwolves2113862%120.6115.4+5.1
11 Orlando Magic2213959%119.2114.3+4.9
12 Phoenix Suns2213959%117.0113.7+3.4
13 Boston Celtics2112957%115.3111.2+4.1
14 Cleveland Cavaliers23131057%119.1116.0+3.1
15 Atlanta Hawks23131057%116.8115.7+1.1
16 Philadelphia 76ers2011955%118.3118.0+0.3
17 Golden State Warriors22111150%114.4114.0+0.4
18 Chicago Bulls2091145%120.0123.2-3.2
19 Milwaukee Bucks2291341%116.0118.2-2.2
20 Portland Trail Blazers2291341%118.4120.6-2.2
21 Memphis Grizzlies2291341%113.6117.0-3.3
22 Utah Jazz2071335%118.5125.3-6.9
23 Dallas Mavericks2271532%111.1116.1-5.0
24 Los Angeles Clippers2261627%112.5117.5-5.1
25 Charlotte Hornets2261627%114.7119.9-5.2
26 Sacramento Kings2151624%111.8122.9-11.1
27 Brooklyn Nets2041620%108.8118.5-9.7
28 Indiana Pacers2241818%110.6120.1-9.5
29 Washington Wizards2031715%112.8127.2-14.4
30 New Orleans Pelicans2231914%112.6123.3-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks21282935113
Detroit Pistons30223324109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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