PythiaBasketballBETA
On 19 November 2026 the Milwaukee Bucks will host the Portland Trail Blazers in an NBA clash that the Pythia model deems a clear favour for Portland, rating the Blazers at 81% and the Bucks at 19% for a win. The Bucks are 1-12 this season, averaging 106.2 points and conceding 120.2, while Portland sits 9-3, scoring 119.6 and allowing 111.8. In the Bucks' seven home games they are 1-6, 108.9 points for and 123.3 against, and they have lost their last five games, including defeats to Orlando, Los Angeles and New York. Portland's seven road outings are 6-1, 123.4 points for and 114.1 against, and they have won three of their last five, notably victories over Sacramento and Oklahoma City. The teams have met ten times, with Portland winning six and the most recent meeting on 25 March 2026 ending 130-99 in Portland's favour. Pythia projects a 111-122 score, a total of 232.7, with a 4% chance of overtime, and the Blazers' line is 19% to cover the spread. The Blazers' road form and recent wins suggest they will continue their dominance in this matchup.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (13) | 106.2 | 120.2 | 226.4 | -14.1 | 8% |
| Season at home (7) | 108.9 | 123.3 | 232.1 | -14.4 | 14% |
| Season away (6) | 103.0 | 116.7 | 219.7 | -13.7 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 102.3 | 117.6 | 219.9 | -15.3 | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 100.0 | 117.0 | 217.0 | -17.0 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (23) | 104.9 | 122.1 | 227.0 | -17.3 | 9% |
| vs Similar (7) | 117.7 | 114.4 | 232.1 | +3.3 | 57% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (12) | 119.6 | 111.8 | 231.4 | +7.8 | 75% |
| Season at home (5) | 114.2 | 108.6 | 222.8 | +5.6 | 60% |
| Season away (7) | 123.4 | 114.1 | 237.6 | +9.3 | 86% |
| Last 10 (10) | 118.3 | 113.9 | 232.2 | +4.4 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 116.4 | 113.4 | 229.8 | +3.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 105.3 | 118.2 | 223.6 | -12.9 | 11% |
| vs Similar (10) | 116.8 | 110.9 | 227.7 | +5.9 | 80% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 121.5 | 102.3 | 223.7 | +19.2 | 91% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 51.2 | 59.7 | 111.0 | -8.5 | 30% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 53.8 | 60.2 | 114.0 | -6.4 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 48.7 | 59.3 | 107.9 | -10.6 | 20% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.5 | 58.0 | 102.5 | -13.5 | 10% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.2 | 56.0 | 101.2 | -10.8 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (23) | 49.3 | 60.5 | 109.8 | -11.3 | 22% | - |
| vs Similar (7) | 57.7 | 57.1 | 114.9 | +0.6 | 57% | - |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 61.4 | 56.6 | 118.0 | +4.8 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 61.7 | 53.3 | 115.0 | +8.4 | 64% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 61.1 | 59.5 | 120.6 | +1.6 | 50% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 60.3 | 57.7 | 118.0 | +2.6 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 57.6 | 55.8 | 113.4 | +1.8 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 57.2 | 59.9 | 117.1 | -2.7 | 33% | - |
| vs Similar (10) | 61.7 | 57.6 | 119.3 | +4.1 | 60% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 64.5 | 53.0 | 117.5 | +11.5 | 73% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 43.8 | 24.6 | 54.0% | 49.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 43.4 | 16.4 | 35.1% | 49.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.9 | 14.7 | 77.2% | 14.7 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.9 | 22.6 | 54.0% | 45.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 43.2 | 14.7 | 35.1% | 44.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 30.3 | 23.6 | 77.2% | 23.6 |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26/03/26 | Portland Trail Blazers v Milwaukee Bucks | 130-99 |
| 25/11/25 | Milwaukee Bucks v Portland Trail Blazers | 103-115 |
| 29/01/25 | Portland Trail Blazers v Milwaukee Bucks | 125-112 |
| 05/01/25 | Milwaukee Bucks v Portland Trail Blazers | 102-105 |
| 01/02/24 | Portland Trail Blazers v Milwaukee Bucks | 119-116 |
| 26/11/23 | Milwaukee Bucks v Portland Trail Blazers | 108-102 |
| 07/02/23 | Portland Trail Blazers v Milwaukee Bucks | 108-127 |
| 22/11/22 | Milwaukee Bucks v Portland Trail Blazers | 119-111 |
| 15/02/22 | Milwaukee Bucks v Portland Trail Blazers | 107-122 |
| 06/02/22 | Portland Trail Blazers v Milwaukee Bucks | 108-137 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | Orlando Magic | 99-107 |
| 12/11/26 | H | Los Angeles Lakers | 112-123 |
| 11/11/26 | A | New York Knicks | 85-117 |
| 09/11/26 | H | Boston Celtics | 97-117 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Toronto Raptors | 107-121 |
| 05/11/26 | A | Boston Celtics | 102-109 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Minnesota Timberwolves | 100-112 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Cleveland Cavaliers | 111-136 |
| 29/10/26 | H | Houston Rockets | 100-132 |
| 27/10/26 | H | Indiana Pacers | 110-102 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | Sacramento Kings | 120-107 |
| 12/11/26 | H | Oklahoma City Thunder | 118-108 |
| 11/11/26 | H | Oklahoma City Thunder | 123-103 |
| 08/11/26 | H | San Antonio Spurs | 103-125 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Los Angeles Lakers | 118-124 |
| 05/11/26 | A | Phoenix Suns | 132-119 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Denver Nuggets | 118-110 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Utah Jazz | 112-90 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Memphis Grizzlies | 103-124 |
| 28/10/26 | A | Los Angeles Lakers | 136-129 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 8% |
| Home | LLLLL | 14% |
| Away | LLLLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 13 | 7 | 6 |
| Win % | 8% | 14% | 0% |
| Points / game | 106.2 | 108.9 | 103.0 |
| Allowed / game | 120.2 | 123.3 | 116.7 |
| Point differential | -14.1 | -14.4 | -13.7 |
| Avg total | 226.4 | 232.1 | 219.7 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWWW | 75% |
| Home | WLLWW | 60% |
| Away | WWWLW | 86% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 12 | 5 | 7 |
| Win % | 75% | 60% | 86% |
| Points / game | 119.6 | 114.2 | 123.4 |
| Allowed / game | 111.8 | 108.6 | 114.1 |
| Point differential | +7.8 | +5.6 | +9.3 |
| Avg total | 231.4 | 222.8 | 237.6 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 60% | 43% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  San Antonio Spurs | 13 | 11 | 2 | 85% | 119.5 | 106.2 | +13.2 |
| 2 |  Los Angeles Lakers | 13 | 11 | 2 | 85% | 122.2 | 114.2 | +7.9 |
| 3 |  Boston Celtics | 12 | 10 | 2 | 83% | 114.2 | 103.1 | +11.2 |
| 4 |  Houston Rockets | 13 | 10 | 3 | 77% | 116.2 | 107.4 | +8.8 |
| 5 |  Philadelphia 76ers | 13 | 10 | 3 | 77% | 111.2 | 109.4 | +1.8 |
| 6 |  Minnesota Timberwolves | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 119.3 | 105.9 | +13.4 |
| 7 | Portland Trail Blazers | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 119.6 | 111.8 | +7.8 |
| 8 |  Detroit Pistons | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 115.5 | 107.8 | +7.7 |
| 9 |  Memphis Grizzlies | 12 | 8 | 4 | 67% | 119.9 | 111.8 | +8.1 |
| 10 |  Golden State Warriors | 13 | 8 | 5 | 62% | 116.7 | 112.4 | +4.3 |
| 11 |  Oklahoma City Thunder | 13 | 8 | 5 | 62% | 111.2 | 107.4 | +3.8 |
| 12 |  Denver Nuggets | 10 | 6 | 4 | 60% | 114.5 | 113.3 | +1.2 |
| 13 |  Dallas Mavericks | 12 | 7 | 5 | 58% | 113.2 | 112.2 | +1.0 |
| 14 |  Atlanta Hawks | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 118.2 | 116.8 | +1.3 |
| 15 |  New York Knicks | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50% | 109.8 | 103.7 | +6.1 |
| 16 |  Miami Heat | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50% | 117.2 | 120.1 | -2.9 |
| 17 |  Cleveland Cavaliers | 13 | 6 | 7 | 46% | 116.8 | 115.8 | +1.0 |
| 18 |  Phoenix Suns | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45% | 111.7 | 116.1 | -4.4 |
| 19 |  Toronto Raptors | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42% | 114.2 | 112.8 | +1.4 |
| 20 |  Orlando Magic | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42% | 108.3 | 112.8 | -4.4 |
| 21 |  Indiana Pacers | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38% | 111.2 | 113.2 | -2.1 |
| 22 |  Charlotte Hornets | 12 | 4 | 8 | 33% | 98.6 | 109.6 | -11.0 |
| 23 |  Washington Wizards | 13 | 4 | 9 | 31% | 110.0 | 115.8 | -5.8 |
| 24 |  New Orleans Pelicans | 13 | 4 | 9 | 31% | 116.5 | 125.6 | -9.2 |
| 25 |  Brooklyn Nets | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27% | 110.2 | 115.3 | -5.1 |
| 26 |  Los Angeles Clippers | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27% | 112.3 | 117.5 | -5.3 |
| 27 |  Chicago Bulls | 11 | 2 | 9 | 18% | 114.4 | 127.7 | -13.4 |
| 28 |  Sacramento Kings | 12 | 1 | 11 | 8% | 108.2 | 120.9 | -12.8 |
| 29 |  Utah Jazz | 13 | 1 | 12 | 8% | 107.5 | 118.6 | -11.2 |
| 30 | Milwaukee Bucks | 13 | 1 | 12 | 8% | 106.2 | 120.2 | -14.1 |
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