Minas vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Jan 2015

Tip-off: 22:00

Final 79-87

21-17 16-19 24-21 18-30

Position#6

Record12-6

FormWLWLW

Points / game76.7

Allowed / game72.1

Minas

Brasilia 🏆

Position#11

Record6-12

FormLLLWL

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game81.7

NBBRound 19

Other2014-15

Meetings · Minas v Brasilia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Brasilia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bauru

79-84 OT

-5

H09/12

NBB

Franca

83-69

+14

H11/12

NBB

Limeira

72-85

-13

H17/12

NBB

Rio Claro

#14

82-70

+12

H19/12

NBB

Unitri Universo

#13

75-66

H22/12

NBB

Palmeiras

#10

80-76

A06/01

NBB

Pinheiros

78-89

-11

A08/01

NBB

Sao Jose

91-76

+15

H21/01

NBB

Mogi

66-76

-10

H23/01

NBB

Cearense

#16

90-63

+27

H27/01

NBB

15-13

20-21

17-18

21-21

19-14

16-17

25-21

23-17

23-19

15-19

19-31

15-16

25-25

17-13

25-17

15-15

16-18

17-14

13-13

29-21

19-22

19-18

23-26

19-10

14-19

24-23

16-22

24-25

27-18

25-20

13-16

26-22

17-18

16-23

22-21

11-14

23-10

21-18

22-21

24-14

155.0Avg total

79.6Scored

75.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	76.7	72.1	148.8	+4.7	67%
Season at home (10)	78.9	72.8	151.7	+6.1	70%
Season away (8)	74.0	71.1	145.1	+2.9	62%
Last 10 (10)	79.6	75.4	155.0	+4.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	76.0	157.0	+5.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	71.7	77.7	149.5	-6.0	36%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	75.5	74.7	150.2	+0.8	54%
vs Weaker (6)	78.2	66.3	144.5	+11.8	83%

This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brasilia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rio Claro

#14

73-85

-12

H12/12

NBB

Flamengo

74-76

-2

A16/12

NBB

Macae

#12

86-68

+18

A18/12

NBB

Cearense

#16

81-68

+13

H22/12

NBB

Sorocabana

#15

84-76

H07/01

NBB

Paulistano

86-94

-8

H09/01

NBB

Mogi

86-88

-2

H16/01

NBB

Bauru

74-85

-11

H20/01

NBB

Franca

74-62

+12

H22/01

NBB

Unitri Universo

#13

74-91

-17

A27/01

NBB

23-24

21-10

11-27

18-24

21-19

14-19

17-20

22-18

23-14

17-18

25-17

21-19

23-17

18-19

21-13

19-19

18-25

20-16

21-19

25-16

20-17

23-26

23-25

20-26

20-21

24-17

26-23

16-27

17-26

20-25

18-16

19-18

28-22

16-12

16-14

14-14

12-18

20-22

16-29

26-22

158.5Avg total

79.2Scored

79.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	79.3	81.7	160.9	-2.4	33%
Season at home (11)	80.2	80.9	161.1	-0.7	36%
Season away (7)	77.9	82.9	160.7	-5.0	29%
Last 10 (10)	79.2	79.3	158.5	-0.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	84.0	162.8	-5.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	79.8	86.8	166.5	-7.0	12%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	79.2	81.9	161.2	-2.7	33%
vs Weaker (10)	82.6	82.4	165.0	+0.2	30%

This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MinasBrasilia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	17.0	34.6	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.2	16.6	34.8	+1.5	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.9	17.4	34.3	-0.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	17.6	37.4	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.4	37.4	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.1	17.1	34.2	+0.0	64%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	17.2	17.0	34.2	+0.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.7	16.7	36.3	+3.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.0	20.9	40.9	-0.9	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.7	19.8	38.5	-1.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.3	40.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.6	20.3	39.9	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.6	20.0	39.6	-0.4	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	17.5	34.4	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.2	17.1	35.3	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	15.2	18.0	33.2	-2.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.4	19.8	36.2	-3.5	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	16.8	17.3	34.2	-0.5	54%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.0	13.5	31.5	+4.5	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.2	38.3	-0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.7	18.4	38.1	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.4	20.2	38.5	-1.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.4	37.7	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-0.9	42%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.2	18.3	37.5	+0.9	40%	-

MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bauru

35-34

H09/12

NBB

Franca

35-31

H11/12

NBB

Limeira

38-38

H17/12

NBB

Rio Claro

#14

42-38

H19/12

NBB

Unitri Universo

#13

33-32

H22/12

NBB

Palmeiras

#10

38-40

-2

A06/01

NBB

Pinheiros

38-42

-4

A08/01

NBB

Sao Jose

52-38

+14

H21/01

NBB

Mogi

33-41

-8

H23/01

NBB

Cearense

#16

44-28

+16

H27/01

NBB

75.0Avg total

38.8Scored

36.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.5	34.4	69.0	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	36.4	33.7	70.1	+2.7	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	32.1	35.4	67.5	-3.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	36.2	75.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	37.8	78.8	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	33.5	36.9	70.4	-3.5	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	34.0	34.3	68.3	-0.3	54%	-
vs Weaker (6)	37.7	30.2	67.8	+7.5	83%	-

This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rio Claro

#14

44-34

+10

H12/12

NBB

Flamengo

35-38

-3

A16/12

NBB

Macae

#12

40-32

A18/12

NBB

Cearense

#16

41-36

H22/12

NBB

Sorocabana

#15

38-41

-3

H07/01

NBB

Paulistano

43-43

H09/01

NBB

Mogi

44-38

H16/01

NBB

Bauru

37-51

-14

H20/01

NBB

Franca

44-34

+10

H22/01

NBB

Unitri Universo

#13

32-40

-8

A27/01

NBB

78.5Avg total

39.8Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	39.6	78.1	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.7	39.3	79.0	+0.4	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.1	39.9	77.0	-2.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	38.7	78.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	41.2	81.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	39.4	41.2	80.6	-1.9	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	37.8	39.5	77.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	38.8	38.3	77.1	+0.5	40%	-

This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.6	39.1	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.5	18.8	39.2	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.1	20.8	38.8	-2.7	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.6	40.1	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.1	20.5	39.6	-1.5	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	54%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.0	17.2	35.2	+0.8	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.7	40.8	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.2	20.2	40.4	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.0	21.3	41.3	-1.3	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.3	39.7	-0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.4	41.2	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.8	23.8	43.5	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.5	18.9	38.4	+0.6	58%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.2	20.3	41.5	+0.9	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.2	39.1	+0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.1	19.6	38.6	-0.5	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.1	18.7	39.8	+2.4	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	17.5	38.2	+3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	17.0	37.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.2	17.9	35.1	-0.7	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.1	20.4	41.5	+0.7	38%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.5	19.0	41.5	+3.5	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	22.5	43.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.2	23.5	44.6	-2.3	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.8	21.2	43.0	+0.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.1	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.0	21.9	42.9	-0.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.6	23.8	46.4	-1.2	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	38.8	78.2	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.5	38.4	77.9	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.2	39.5	78.6	-0.3	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	38.1	78.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	38.2	78.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	36.3	38.5	74.7	-2.2	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	41.5	40.4	81.8	+1.1	54%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.5	36.2	76.7	+4.3	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	43.2	84.7	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.4	43.6	85.1	-2.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.8	42.5	84.3	-0.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	40.6	80.0	-1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	42.8	81.6	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	40.4	45.5	85.9	-5.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	40.5	40.8	81.3	-0.3	58%	-
vs Weaker (10)	43.8	44.1	87.9	-0.3	40%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Minas wins

Brasilia wins

Date	Game	Score
30/11/14	Brasilia v Minas	75-77
15/03/14	Minas v Brasilia	62-71
07/01/14	Brasilia v Minas	82-54
07/04/13	Brasilia v Minas	81-86
17/01/13	Minas v Brasilia	86-90
06/04/12	Brasilia v Minas	87-57
19/01/12	Minas v Brasilia	69-81
25/03/11	Minas v Brasilia	91-103
14/01/11	Brasilia v Minas	82-76
02/06/09	Minas v Brasilia	90-101

Minaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/01/15	H	Cearense	90-63
23/01/15	H	Mogi	66-76
21/01/15	H	Sao Jose	91-76
08/01/15	A	Pinheiros	78-89
06/01/15	A	Palmeiras	80-76
22/12/14	H	Unitri Universo	75-66
19/12/14	H	Rio Claro	82-70
17/12/14	H	Limeira	72-85
11/12/14	H	Franca	83-69
09/12/14	H	Bauru	79-84 OT

Brasilialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/01/15	A	Unitri Universo	74-91
22/01/15	H	Franca	74-62
20/01/15	H	Bauru	74-85
16/01/15	H	Mogi	86-88
09/01/15	H	Paulistano	86-94
07/01/15	H	Sorocabana	84-76
22/12/14	H	Cearense	81-68
18/12/14	A	Macae	86-68
16/12/14	A	Flamengo	74-76
12/12/14	H	Rio Claro	73-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas

NBB 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	67%
Home	WWWLW	70%
Away	WWWWL	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	10	8
Win %	67%	70%	62%
Points / game	76.7	78.9	74.0
Allowed / game	72.1	72.8	71.1
Point differential	+4.7	+6.1	+2.9
Avg total	148.8	151.7	145.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	50%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	50% (2)	100% (3)
Overtime %	6%	10%	0%

Brasilia

NBB 2014-15

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	33%
Home	WLLLW	36%
Away	LLLWL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	11	7
Win %	33%	36%	29%
Points / game	79.3	80.2	77.9
Allowed / game	81.7	80.9	82.9
Point differential	-2.4	-0.7	-5.0
Avg total	160.9	161.1	160.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	18%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	20% (5)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bauru	19	17	2	89%	89.5	75.5	+13.9
2	Limeira	18	16	2	89%	82.7	74.7	+7.9
3	Flamengo	16	11	5	69%	89.3	82.3	+7.0
4	Mogi	19	13	6	68%	82.7	79.8	+2.8
5	Minas	18	12	6	67%	76.7	72.1	+4.7
6	Franca	17	10	7	59%	78.1	76.5	+1.6
7	Palmeiras	18	9	9	50%	77.6	76.6	+0.9
8	Sao Jose	18	9	9	50%	76.2	77.6	-1.4
9	Paulistano	19	9	10	47%	81.2	80.7	+0.5
10	Pinheiros	18	8	10	44%	80.4	83.1	-2.6
11	Macae	18	7	11	39%	78.0	81.9	-3.9
12	Brasilia	18	6	12	33%	79.3	81.7	-2.4
13	Unitri Universo	18	6	12	33%	77.6	83.8	-6.3
14	Rio Claro	18	5	13	28%	77.6	81.3	-3.7
15	Cearense	18	4	14	22%	74.2	84.9	-10.7
16	Sorocabana	18	2	16	11%	76.4	84.9	-8.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Minas	21	16	24	18	79
Brasilia	17	19	21	30	87

← all games of the day

Minas vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature