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Minas vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 92-91
31-20 26-28 26-16 9-27
Position#3
Record19-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game80.5
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#5
Record19-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game71.4
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2025-26
Meetings · Minas v Brasilia
29 Oct 2026
MINA100
BRAS61
17 Feb 2026
MINA92
BRAS91
28 Jan 2025
MINA61
BRAS58
12 Oct 2024
MINA74
BRAS66
20 Dec 2023
MINA91
BRAS71
17 Feb 2023
MINA110
BRAS79
11 Mar 2022
MINA95
BRAS82
02 Dec 2020
MINA105
BRAS100
29 Dec 2019
MINA90
BRAS60
26 Mar 2019
MINA68
BRAS74
13 Mar 2017
MINA62
BRAS74
29 Mar 2016
MINA107
BRAS95
29 Jan 2015
MINA79
BRAS87
15 Mar 2014
MINA62
BRAS71
17 Jan 2013
MINA86
BRAS90
19 Jan 2012
MINA69
BRAS81
25 Mar 2011
MINA91
BRAS103
02 Jun 2009
MINA90
BRAS101
27 May 2009
MINA91
BRAS78
13 Mar 2009
MINA81
BRAS89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
92-74
92
74
+18
81avg 77
A08/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
76-90
76
90
-14
64avg 77
A10/01
NBB
Boca Juniors
#2
L
77-92
77
92
-15
no box
A15/01
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#11
W
95-75
95
75
+20
no box
H16/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#9
W
95-91
95
91
+4
no box
A19/01
NBB
Pato
#17
W
75-67
75
67
+8
70avg 77
H21/01
NBB
Aguada
#11
W
94-62
94
62
+32
100avg 77
H04/02
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#2
L
67-77
67
77
-10
52avg 77
H06/02
Champions League Americas
Bauru
#10
L
90-105
90
105
-15
89avg 77
A10/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
82-100
82
100
-18
73avg 77
A12/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
23-17
36-18
15-10
24-34
19-14
16-25
17-17
13-21
23-25
18-27
23-19
24-21
28-15
21-19
22-20
28-27
29-17
17-21
21-26
17-27
23-18
17-4
18-18
30-25
20-16
24-8
20-13
12-24
20-10
22-18
13-25
21-28
33-27
20-28
16-22
24-20
24-35
20-23
14-22
167.6Avg total
84.3Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)86.580.5167.0+6.076%
Season at home (12)84.476.8161.2+7.683%
Season away (13)88.483.9172.3+4.569%
Last 10 (10)84.383.3167.6+1.050%
Last 5 (5)81.682.2163.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.480.0158.4-1.640%
vs Similar ◀ (7)83.078.0161.0+5.043%
vs Weaker (18)88.779.3167.9+9.494%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Pato
#17
W
84-69
84
69
+15
80avg 71
H23/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
84-92
84
92
-8
75avg 71
A27/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
71-66
71
66
+5
69avg 71
A29/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
78-60
78
60
+18
72avg 71
A09/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
77-65
77
65
+12
80avg 71
H12/01
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
96-64
96
64
+32
no box
A16/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
no box
A19/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
64-70
64
70
-6
53avg 71
A21/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
89-64
89
64
+25
84avg 71
H03/02
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
84-61
84
61
+23
88avg 71
H07/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
20-18
19-8
25-25
21-16
15-27
21-17
27-32
23-10
13-20
24-21
11-15
18-20
29-6
13-17
18-17
7-15
19-12
34-22
17-16
25-23
22-14
21-12
28-15
16-16
14-25
21-18
21-13
17-21
12-18
30-18
5-13
23-19
23-22
15-10
28-13
25-12
16-20
20-16
23-13
150.2Avg total
80.8Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)81.571.4152.9+10.173%
Season at home (12)83.868.9152.8+14.992%
Season away (14)79.573.5153.0+6.057%
Last 10 (10)80.869.4150.2+11.470%
Last 5 (5)82.868.4151.2+14.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.092.0176.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)71.872.2144.0-0.542%
vs Weaker (17)85.570.1155.5+15.488%
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.1+3.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.1+3.1
MinasBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A08/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A10/01
NBB
Boca Juniors
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A15/01
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#11
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H16/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#9
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A19/01
NBB
Pato
#17
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H21/01
NBB
Aguada
#11
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H04/02
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#2
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H06/02
Champions League Americas
Bauru
#10
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A10/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A12/02
NBB
90.3Avg total
45.3Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.340.984.2+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.338.883.1+5.564%-
Last 30 away (16)42.542.785.2-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)45.345.090.3+0.330%-
Last 5 (5)44.846.090.8-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.841.879.6-4.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.942.985.7+0.043%-
vs Weaker (18)45.139.884.9+5.261%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#17
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H23/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A27/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A29/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
47-26
47
26
+21
A09/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H12/01
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A16/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A19/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A21/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H03/02
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H07/02
NBB
73.0Avg total
37.8Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.636.575.1+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.436.576.9+3.971%-
Last 30 away (16)37.036.573.5+0.544%-
Last 10 (10)37.835.273.0+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.076.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.043.079.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)33.236.970.1-3.825%-
vs Weaker (17)42.635.878.4+6.882%-
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.4
49.7%
52.2%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.2
34.7%
32.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws24.818.1
73.0%
72.8%18.1
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.715.0
52.3%
52.2%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.1
32.3%
32.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.215.6
73.6%
72.8%15.6
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
LLLWWWWLLW
Brasilia
WWLLWWWWLW
#3
League position
#5
+1.0
Net rating
+9.8
97.7
Offensive rating
95.4
96.7
Defensive rating
85.6
50.8%
Effective FG%
50.2%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
15.4%
Turnover %
18.4%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.7%
3-point %
32.3%
71.3%
Assist %
69.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.7 · 95.4Defence96.7 · 85.6Shooting50.8% · 50.2%3-point %34.7% · 32.3%Ball care15.4% · 18.4%Off. rebounds33.9% · 25.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Minas   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Minas wins
1
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
10/11/25Brasilia v Minas80-78
01/04/25Brasilia v Minas63-77
28/01/25Minas v Brasilia61-58
12/10/24Minas v Brasilia74-66
17/01/24Brasilia v Minas68-111
20/12/23Minas v Brasilia91-71
17/02/23Minas v Brasilia110-79
19/11/22Brasilia v Minas74-94
11/03/22Minas v Brasilia95-82
09/12/21Brasilia v Minas77-82
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26AFranca82-100
10/02/26ABauru90-105
06/02/26HBoca Juniors67-77
04/02/26HAguada94-62
21/01/26HPato75-67
19/01/26ASao Jose95-91
16/01/26HAguada95-75
15/01/26ABoca Juniors77-92
10/01/26AMogi76-90
08/01/26ACorinthians Paulista92-74
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26HVasco84-61
03/02/26HUniao Corinthians89-64
21/01/26APinheiros64-70
19/01/26APaulistano81-83 OT
16/01/26AOsasco96-64
12/01/26HCaxias do Sul77-65
09/01/26ARio Claro78-60
29/12/25ABauru71-66
27/12/25AFranca84-92
23/12/25HPato84-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL76%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWLWLL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %76%83%69%
Points / game86.584.488.4
Allowed / game80.576.883.9
Point differential+6.0+7.6+4.5
Avg total167.0161.2172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%25%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)60% (5)80% (5)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Brasilia
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW73%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %73%92%57%
Points / game81.583.879.5
Allowed / game71.468.973.5
Point differential+10.1+14.9+6.0
Avg total152.9152.8153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%67%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca2621581%89.475.0+14.5
2 Pinheiros2621581%86.274.7+11.5
3 Flamengo2621581%87.176.7+10.4
4 Minas2519676%86.580.5+6.0
5 Brasilia2619773%81.571.4+10.1
6 Corinthians Paulista2618869%83.277.5+5.7
7 Sao Jose27171063%82.379.1+3.2
8 Paulistano26161062%80.776.6+4.1
9 Bauru27151256%78.978.1+0.8
10 Mogi26141254%75.869.4+6.4
11 Unifacisa26131350%80.079.7+0.4
12 Uniao Corinthians26131350%79.081.5-2.5
13 Caxias do Sul26111542%72.277.2-5.1
14 Cruzeiro2581732%78.385.1-6.8
15 Rio Claro2581732%76.686.7-10.0
16 Pato2671927%74.179.9-5.8
17 Botafogo2552020%72.082.8-10.8
18 Cearense2652119%77.587.9-10.4
19 Osasco2542116%75.087.5-12.5
20 Vasco2742315%69.379.4-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas312626992
Brasilia2028162791
← all games of the day
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