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Minas vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 91-71
22-10 34-22 15-21 20-18
Position#3
Record11-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game75.3
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#19
Record3-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game85.4
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2023-24
Meetings · Minas v Brasilia
29 Oct 2026
MINA100
BRAS61
17 Feb 2026
MINA92
BRAS91
28 Jan 2025
MINA61
BRAS58
12 Oct 2024
MINA74
BRAS66
20 Dec 2023
MINA91
BRAS71
17 Feb 2023
MINA110
BRAS79
11 Mar 2022
MINA95
BRAS82
02 Dec 2020
MINA105
BRAS100
29 Dec 2019
MINA90
BRAS60
26 Mar 2019
MINA68
BRAS74
13 Mar 2017
MINA62
BRAS74
29 Mar 2016
MINA107
BRAS95
29 Jan 2015
MINA79
BRAS87
15 Mar 2014
MINA62
BRAS71
17 Jan 2013
MINA86
BRAS90
19 Jan 2012
MINA69
BRAS81
25 Mar 2011
MINA91
BRAS103
02 Jun 2009
MINA90
BRAS101
27 May 2009
MINA91
BRAS78
13 Mar 2009
MINA81
BRAS89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Mogi
#14
W
79-70
79
70
+9
75avg 81
A10/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
99-80
99
80
+19
103avg 81
H16/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
71-81
71
81
-10
67avg 81
H18/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
83-75
83
75
+8
80avg 81
A23/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
86-71
86
71
+15
80avg 81
A25/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
85-82
85
82
+3
84avg 81
H29/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
93-88 OT
93
88
+5
no box
H01/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
67-68
67
68
-1
63avg 81
H06/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
96-105
96
105
-9
93avg 81
A14/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
91-61
91
61
+30
90avg 81
A16/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-10
21-22
14-15
23-23
26-16
25-25
26-20
22-19
21-13
13-23
19-23
18-22
30-24
21-16
15-14
17-21
24-9
19-21
17-21
26-20
23-15
20-22
12-20
30-25
25-9
19-17
17-26
21-30
23-20
13-26
17-10
14-12
27-20
24-28
19-35
26-22
31-21
22-15
22-13
16-12
163.1Avg total
85.0Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)84.475.3159.7+9.179%
Season at home (5)83.079.8162.8+3.260%
Season away (9)85.272.8158.0+12.489%
Last 10 (10)85.078.1163.1+6.970%
Last 5 (5)86.480.8167.2+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)89.893.2183.0-3.333%
vs Similar (8)80.075.1155.1+4.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)85.277.4162.6+7.875%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
69-77
69
77
-8
60avg 56
H11/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
A14/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
55-92
55
92
-37
40avg 56
A16/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
54-79
54
79
-25
34avg 56
A19/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
53-84
53
84
-31
32avg 56
A24/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
81-80
81
80
+1
72avg 56
H30/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
66-92
66
92
-26
43avg 56
H04/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
77-100
77
100
-23
55avg 56
A07/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
73-82
73
82
-9
58avg 56
A09/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
69-91
69
91
-22
52avg 56
H16/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
17-22
16-20
19-20
15-21
23-32
24-15
16-21
17-25
11-23
15-26
12-18
14-12
12-19
12-28
16-20
13-21
15-20
16-24
9-19
24-19
20-20
14-18
23-23
21-17
11-24
18-30
16-21
20-32
26-19
11-28
20-21
21-16
23-17
21-19
8-30
14-17
21-21
14-32
20-21
154.1Avg total
67.5Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)71.685.4157.1-13.821%
Season at home (7)76.184.6160.7-8.429%
Season away (7)67.186.3153.4-19.114%
Last 10 (10)67.586.6154.1-19.110%
Last 5 (5)73.289.0162.2-15.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)74.390.2164.5-15.812%
vs Similar (4)76.082.5158.5-6.525%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.4+9.4Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -7.9-7.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -5.5-5.5
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.4+9.4Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -7.9-7.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -5.5-5.5
MinasBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A10/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H16/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H18/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A23/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A25/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H29/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H01/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H06/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A14/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A16/12
NBB
82.0Avg total
44.8Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.939.383.2+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.438.481.7+5.071%-
Last 30 away (16)44.440.184.5+4.256%-
Last 10 (10)44.837.282.0+7.680%-
Last 5 (5)45.438.684.0+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)48.046.594.5+1.533%-
vs Similar (8)39.835.675.4+4.175%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.438.482.9+6.069%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H11/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A14/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A16/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A19/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A24/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H30/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H04/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A07/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A09/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H16/12
NBB
76.7Avg total
35.5Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.444.782.1-7.423%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.342.982.2-3.631%-
Last 30 away (14)35.146.982.0-11.714%-
Last 10 (10)35.541.276.7-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.480.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)37.145.282.3-8.119%-
vs Similar (4)39.241.881.0-2.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.417.8
53.3%
51.8%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.8
38.4%
33.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws19.214.2
74.0%
72.6%14.2
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 66.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.214.7
39.5%
51.8%29.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.4
31.6%
33.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.211.9
65.4%
72.6%11.9
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WLLWWWWLWW
Brasilia
LLLLWLLLLL
#3
League position
#19
+9.7
Net rating
-25.7
114.4
Offensive rating
88.0
104.6
Defensive rating
113.7
55.3%
Effective FG%
42.8%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
58.8%
16.7%
Turnover %
18.1%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.4%
3-point %
31.6%
69.9%
Assist %
50.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 88.0Defence104.6 · 113.7Shooting55.3% · 42.8%3-point %38.4% · 31.6%Ball care16.7% · 18.1%Off. rebounds31.0% · 22.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Minas   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Minas wins
3
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
17/02/23Minas v Brasilia110-79
19/11/22Brasilia v Minas74-94
11/03/22Minas v Brasilia95-82
09/12/21Brasilia v Minas77-82
28/01/21Brasilia v Minas75-99
02/12/20Minas v Brasilia105-100 OT
29/12/19Minas v Brasilia90-60
26/03/19Minas v Brasilia68-74
10/12/18Brasilia v Minas88-77
13/03/17Minas v Brasilia62-74
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23APinheiros91-61
14/12/23ACorinthians Paulista96-105
06/12/23HCerrado67-68
01/12/23HCearense93-88 OT
29/11/23HUnifacisa85-82
25/11/23APaulistano86-71
23/11/23ASao Paulo83-75
18/11/23HFranca71-81
16/11/23HBauru99-80
10/11/23AMogi79-70
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HPaulistano69-91
09/12/23ABauru73-82
07/12/23AFranca77-100
04/12/23HSao Jose66-92
30/11/23HMogi81-80
24/11/23ACerrado53-84
19/11/23AVasco54-79
16/11/23AFlamengo55-92
14/11/23ABotafogo78-89
11/11/23HCaxias do Sul69-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW79%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayWWWLW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1459
Win %79%60%89%
Points / game84.483.085.2
Allowed / game75.379.872.8
Point differential+9.1+3.2+12.4
Avg total159.7162.8158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%20%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %7%20%0%
Brasilia
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL21%
HomeLLWLL29%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %21%29%14%
Points / game71.676.167.1
Allowed / game85.484.686.3
Point differential-13.8-8.4-19.1
Avg total157.1160.7153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1210283%83.072.3+10.7
2 Minas1411379%84.475.3+9.1
3 Franca1310377%87.075.5+11.5
4 Sao Jose139469%81.672.7+8.9
5 Vasco1611569%72.968.6+4.2
6 Paulistano1611569%73.169.8+3.4
7 Unifacisa138562%77.574.5+2.9
8 Cearense138562%78.075.5+2.5
9 Bauru169756%78.876.8+2.1
10 Corinthians Paulista147750%80.680.7-0.1
11 Pinheiros146843%76.679.2-2.6
12 Sao Paulo146843%77.180.3-3.1
13 Uniao Corinthians135838%72.579.8-7.4
14 Caxias do Sul145936%72.279.6-7.4
15 Pato1551033%74.778.8-4.1
16 Botafogo1651131%77.283.5-6.2
17 Cerrado1541127%72.673.6-1.0
18 Brasilia1431121%71.685.4-13.8
19 Mogi1521313%74.280.7-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas2234152091
Brasilia1022211871
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