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Minas vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 74-66
16-15 18-18 17-13 23-20
Position#1
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#6
Record-
FormLLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2024-25
Meetings · Minas v Brasilia
29 Oct 2026
MINA100
BRAS61
17 Feb 2026
MINA92
BRAS91
28 Jan 2025
MINA61
BRAS58
12 Oct 2024
MINA74
BRAS66
20 Dec 2023
MINA91
BRAS71
17 Feb 2023
MINA110
BRAS79
11 Mar 2022
MINA95
BRAS82
02 Dec 2020
MINA105
BRAS100
29 Dec 2019
MINA90
BRAS60
26 Mar 2019
MINA68
BRAS74
13 Mar 2017
MINA62
BRAS74
29 Mar 2016
MINA107
BRAS95
29 Jan 2015
MINA79
BRAS87
15 Mar 2014
MINA62
BRAS71
17 Jan 2013
MINA86
BRAS90
19 Jan 2012
MINA69
BRAS81
25 Mar 2011
MINA91
BRAS103
02 Jun 2009
MINA90
BRAS101
27 May 2009
MINA91
BRAS78
13 Mar 2009
MINA81
BRAS89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#11
W
84-59
84
59
+25
78avg 82
H03/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
74-105
74
105
-31
69avg 82
A06/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
84-86
84
86
-2
80avg 82
A08/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
104-79
104
79
+25
101avg 82
H11/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
98-67
98
67
+31
97avg 82
H13/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
63-87
63
87
-24
54avg 82
A17/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
80-67
80
67
+13
74avg 82
H20/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
72-82
72
82
-10
64avg 82
H22/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
83avg 82
A25/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
65avg 82
A27/05
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
17-13
25-11
17-17
15-29
22-23
19-28
18-25
16-19
25-14
26-29
17-24
32-14
22-18
21-24
29-23
22-13
22-18
28-17
26-19
14-16
13-23
16-22
20-26
23-14
18-24
27-17
12-12
16-19
16-20
15-24
25-19
21-21
16-11
16-27
18-12
24-20
13-22
19-16
20-24
163.3Avg total
82.8Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.880.5163.3+2.350%
Last 5 (5)76.881.8158.6-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)80.685.0165.6-4.429%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)86.575.0161.4+11.573%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
L
84-89
84
89
-5
69avg 59
H08/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
106-108 OT
106
108
-2
no box
H10/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
61-104
61
104
-43
44avg 59
A20/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
85-103
85
103
-18
82avg 59
A22/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
84-103
84
103
-19
66avg 59
H28/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
50-95
50
95
-45
29avg 59
A31/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
84-93
84
93
-9
74avg 59
A02/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
100-105
100
105
-5
95avg 59
H06/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
83-102
83
102
-19
68avg 59
H08/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
69-68
69
68
+1
56avg 59
H11/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
27-22
13-23
25-18
23-27
24-21
18-21
31-27
16-24
11-27
16-23
18-30
16-30
28-14
24-34
17-25
19-29
27-20
10-32
28-22
11-27
13-21
8-23
18-24
29-23
11-27
22-20
22-23
20-26
26-36
27-20
27-23
27-24
13-22
18-29
25-27
14-27
16-23
14-11
25-7
177.6Avg total
80.6Scored
97.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.697.0177.6-16.410%
Last 5 (5)77.292.6169.8-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)72.490.2162.6-17.810%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -6.9-6.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.0+1.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -6.9-6.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.0+1.0
MinasBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#11
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H03/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A06/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A08/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H11/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H13/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A17/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H20/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H22/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A25/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A27/05
NBB
76.1Avg total
39.2Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.437.680.0+4.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.333.675.9+8.773%-
Last 30 away (15)42.541.684.1+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)39.236.976.1+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)34.838.072.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)37.440.477.9-3.029%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.836.880.6+7.068%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H08/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H10/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A20/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A22/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H28/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A31/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A02/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
46-62
46
62
-16
H06/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H08/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H11/04
NBB
88.6Avg total
39.0Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.145.481.6-9.310%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.045.684.6-6.614%-
Last 30 away (16)33.645.378.9-11.76%-
Last 10 (10)39.049.688.6-10.60%-
Last 5 (5)36.051.287.2-15.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)36.145.481.6-9.310%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.517.7
49.9%
50.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.3
34.1%
33.0%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.015.9
79.5%
72.7%15.9
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.315.8
47.4%
50.9%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.010.9
34.1%
33.0%32.7
🏀 Free throws16.412.4
75.6%
72.7%12.4
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
LWLWLWWLLW
Brasilia
WLLLLLLLLL
#1
League position
#6
+2.8
Net rating
-23.4
111.0
Offensive rating
100.8
108.1
Defensive rating
124.2
50.5%
Effective FG%
49.2%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
63.0%
16.1%
Turnover %
15.0%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
19.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.1%
3-point %
34.1%
65.0%
Assist %
54.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 100.8Defence108.1 · 124.2Shooting50.5% · 49.2%3-point %34.1% · 34.1%Ball care16.1% · 15.0%Off. rebounds30.8% · 19.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Minas   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Minas wins
1
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
17/01/24Brasilia v Minas68-111
20/12/23Minas v Brasilia91-71
17/02/23Minas v Brasilia110-79
19/11/22Brasilia v Minas74-94
11/03/22Minas v Brasilia95-82
09/12/21Brasilia v Minas77-82
28/01/21Brasilia v Minas75-99
02/12/20Minas v Brasilia105-100 OT
29/12/19Minas v Brasilia90-60
26/03/19Minas v Brasilia68-74
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/05/24AFranca76-82
25/05/24AFranca93-91 OT
22/05/24HFranca72-82
20/05/24HFranca80-67
17/05/24AFranca63-87
13/05/24HSao Paulo98-67
11/05/24HSao Paulo104-79
08/05/24ASao Paulo84-86
06/05/24ASao Paulo74-105
03/05/24HSao Paulo84-59
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/24HCearense69-68
08/04/24HUnifacisa83-102
06/04/24HFranca100-105
02/04/24ASao Paulo84-93
31/03/24APaulistano50-95
28/03/24HBauru84-103
22/03/24ASao Jose85-103
20/03/24AMogi61-104
10/03/24HBotafogo106-108 OT
08/03/24HVasco84-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Brasilia
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo110100%59.050.0+9.0
2 Vasco1010%50.059.0-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas1618172374
Brasilia1518132066
← all games of the day
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