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Minas vs Franca Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 May 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 72-82
16-19 16-20 15-24 25-19
Position#3
Record34-11
FormLWWLW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game74.5
vs
Franca 🏆
Brazil
Position#1
Record37-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game75.3
BrazilNBBNBB - Semi-finals· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2023-24
Meetings · Minas v Franca
08 Mar 2026
MINA90
FRAN98
04 Nov 2025
MINA86
FRAN70
14 Jun 2025
MINA73
FRAN83
12 Jun 2025
MINA78
FRAN94
29 Dec 2024
MINA92
FRAN73
22 May 2024
MINA72
FRAN82
20 May 2024
MINA80
FRAN67
18 Nov 2023
MINA71
FRAN81
18 May 2023
MINA91
FRAN95
16 May 2023
MINA103
FRAN89
24 Oct 2022
MINA92
FRAN94
02 Dec 2021
MINA75
FRAN96
03 May 2021
MINA93
FRAN68
01 May 2021
MINA72
FRAN82
23 Dec 2020
MINA89
FRAN82
23 Nov 2019
MINA89
FRAN97
16 Feb 2019
MINA86
FRAN103
18 Feb 2018
MINA65
FRAN84
25 Mar 2017
MINA80
FRAN84
10 Nov 2015
MINA75
FRAN85
11 Dec 2014
MINA83
FRAN69
19 Dec 2013
MINA59
FRAN65
23 Mar 2013
MINA58
FRAN60
09 Feb 2012
MINA73
FRAN78
07 Feb 2011
MINA89
FRAN85
18 Mar 2009
MINA95
FRAN79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Franca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
88-78
88
78
+10
85avg 83
A12/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
83-73
83
73
+10
81avg 83
A19/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
81-73
81
73
+8
84avg 83
H23/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
84-59
84
59
+25
78avg 83
H03/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
74-105
74
105
-31
69avg 83
A06/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
84-86
84
86
-2
80avg 83
A08/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
104-79
104
79
+25
101avg 83
H11/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
98-67
98
67
+31
97avg 83
H13/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
63-87
63
87
-24
54avg 83
A17/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
80-67
80
67
+13
74avg 83
H20/05
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
29-21
17-15
21-19
27-16
19-21
19-14
18-22
20-13
15-26
21-14
25-20
25-18
17-13
25-11
17-17
15-29
22-23
19-28
18-25
16-19
25-14
26-29
17-24
32-14
22-18
21-24
29-23
22-13
22-18
28-17
26-19
14-16
13-23
16-22
20-26
23-14
18-24
27-17
12-12
161.3Avg total
83.9Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)85.674.5160.1+11.076%
Season at home (23)86.070.3156.2+15.787%
Season away (22)85.179.0164.1+6.164%
Last 10 (10)83.977.4161.3+6.570%
Last 5 (5)85.877.2163.0+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)81.883.6165.4-1.840%
vs Weaker (24)86.973.8160.8+13.175%
This opponent (Franca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrancaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFranca
Date
Competition
Mogi
#14
W
73-69
73
69
+4
65avg 86
H03/04
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
105-100
105
100
+5
105avg 86
A06/04
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
95-70
95
70
+25
99avg 86
A08/04
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
78-66
78
66
+12
71avg 86
A19/04
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
97-57
97
57
+40
110avg 86
H22/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
64-61
64
61
+3
58avg 86
H02/05
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
89-75
89
75
+14
92avg 86
A06/05
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
80-73
80
73
+7
80avg 86
A08/05
NBB
Minas
#3
W
87-63
87
63
+24
77avg 86
H17/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
67-80
67
80
-13
64avg 86
A20/05
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
25-13
17-18
12-19
26-20
36-26
20-27
23-27
19-19
23-13
28-21
25-17
18-19
26-17
20-15
14-15
23-15
27-17
21-17
26-8
15-18
18-9
21-16
10-18
21-13
33-28
21-19
14-15
21-13
18-13
27-24
14-23
16-14
23-13
22-16
26-20
14-23
24-18
17-27
12-12
154.9Avg total
83.5Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)87.175.3162.3+11.886%
Season at home (21)90.474.2164.6+16.190%
Season away (22)84.076.2160.2+7.782%
Last 10 (10)83.571.4154.9+12.190%
Last 5 (5)77.470.4147.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)80.581.2161.8-0.850%
vs Weaker (25)90.476.6167.1+13.888%
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +8.6+8.6Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.2+0.2
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +8.6+8.6Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.2+0.2
MinasFranca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A12/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A19/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H23/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H03/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A06/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A08/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H11/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H13/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A17/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H20/05
NBB
79.3Avg total
41.7Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.836.680.3+7.267%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.132.276.3+11.982%-
Last 30 away (13)43.342.385.6+1.046%-
Last 10 (10)41.737.679.3+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.434.676.0+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)41.041.482.4-0.440%-
vs Weaker (24)44.235.679.9+8.671%-
This opponent (Franca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrancaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H03/04
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
62-46
62
46
+16
A06/04
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A08/04
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A19/04
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H22/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H02/05
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A06/05
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A08/05
NBB
Minas
#3
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H17/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A20/05
NBB
78.5Avg total
44.5Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.039.586.5+7.580%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.340.286.5+6.180%-
Last 30 away (15)47.638.886.4+8.880%-
Last 10 (10)44.534.078.5+10.590%-
Last 5 (5)40.632.473.0+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)42.242.084.2+0.250%-
vs Weaker (25)47.738.986.6+8.884%-
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.717.5
51.9%
51.8%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.3
35.4%
33.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws22.917.4
76.0%
72.6%17.4
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Francatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Franca: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.6
57.0%
51.8%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.2
35.1%
33.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.015.7
78.5%
72.6%15.7
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WLWWLLWWWW
Franca
LWWWWWWWWW
#3
League position
#1
+8.4
Net rating
+16.3
114.6
Offensive rating
115.3
106.2
Defensive rating
98.9
52.5%
Effective FG%
55.1%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
16.9%
Turnover %
17.2%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.4%
3-point %
35.1%
67.6%
Assist %
64.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 115.3Defence106.2 · 98.9Shooting52.5% · 55.1%3-point %35.4% · 35.1%Ball care16.9% · 17.2%Off. rebounds32.4% · 31.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Minas   ■ Franca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Minas wins
7
Franca wins
DateGameScore
20/05/24Minas v Franca80-67
17/05/24Franca v Minas87-63
29/02/24Franca v Minas95-94
18/11/23Minas v Franca71-81
23/05/23Franca v Minas93-79
21/05/23Franca v Minas90-93
18/05/23Minas v Franca91-95
16/05/23Minas v Franca103-89
13/05/23Franca v Minas112-98
21/03/23Franca v Minas94-90
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/05/24HFranca80-67
17/05/24AFranca63-87
13/05/24HSao Paulo98-67
11/05/24HSao Paulo104-79
08/05/24ASao Paulo84-86
06/05/24ASao Paulo74-105
03/05/24HSao Paulo84-59
23/04/24HUniao Corinthians81-73
19/04/24AUniao Corinthians83-73
12/04/24AUniao Corinthians88-78
Francalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/05/24AMinas67-80
17/05/24HMinas87-63
08/05/24APaulistano80-73
06/05/24APaulistano89-75
02/05/24HPaulistano64-61
22/04/24HMogi97-57
19/04/24AMogi78-66
08/04/24ACerrado95-70
06/04/24ABrasilia105-100
03/04/24HMogi73-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW76%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayWWLLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452322
Win %76%87%64%
Points / game85.686.085.1
Allowed / game74.570.379.0
Point differential+11.0+15.7+6.1
Avg total160.1156.2164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%61%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)75% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %4%4%5%
Franca
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL86%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWWWL82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432122
Win %86%90%82%
Points / game87.190.484.0
Allowed / game75.374.276.2
Point differential+11.8+16.1+7.7
Avg total162.3164.6160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%57%59%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)83% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo4338588%85.172.2+12.9
2 Franca4337686%87.175.3+11.8
3 Minas45341176%85.674.5+11.0
4 Vasco43281565%75.673.2+2.4
5 Bauru45291664%80.678.5+2.1
6 Unifacisa39241562%85.280.8+4.3
7 Paulistano41241759%75.470.7+4.7
8 Cearense41221954%78.377.2+1.0
9 Corinthians Paulista38191950%80.980.0+0.9
10 Sao Jose38191950%78.778.2+0.4
11 Sao Paulo44222250%79.881.2-1.5
12 Pato38172145%77.779.5-1.8
13 Pinheiros38152339%73.777.4-3.7
14 Mogi38102826%72.979.8-6.8
15 Botafogo38102826%78.988.0-9.1
16 Uniao Corinthians38102826%74.783.8-9.2
17 Cerrado3682822%74.978.0-3.1
18 Caxias do Sul3682822%72.581.5-9.0
19 Brasilia3653114%73.588.9-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas1616152572
Franca1920241982
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