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Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 09 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record7-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game118.8
Allowed / game112.4
vs
Position#20
Record4-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game115.4
Allowed / game116.6
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v New Orleans Pelicans
08 Mar 2027
MIN v NOP
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
MIN132
NOP126
06 Feb 2026
MIN115
NOP119
10 Jul 2025
MIN98
NOP91
21 Mar 2025
MIN134
NOP93
19 Mar 2025
MIN115
NOP119
12 Jul 2024
MIN81
NOP74
03 Jan 2024
MIN106
NOP117
08 Nov 2023
MIN122
NOP101
07 Jul 2023
MIN102
NOP88
09 Apr 2023
MIN113
NOP108
25 Oct 2021
MIN98
NOP107
23 Oct 2021
MIN96
NOP89
04 Oct 2021
MIN117
NOP114
17 Aug 2021
MIN59
NOP87
01 May 2021
MIN136
NOP140
23 Jan 2021
MIN120
NOP110
08 Mar 2020
MIN107
NOP120
18 Dec 2019
MIN99
NOP107
12 Jan 2019
MIN110
NOP106
14 Nov 2018
MIN107
NOP100
03 Feb 2018
MIN118
NOP107
06 Jan 2018
MIN116
NOP98
10 Feb 2017
MIN106
NOP122
13 Apr 2016
MIN144
NOP109
08 Feb 2016
MIN102
NOP116
13 Apr 2015
MIN88
NOP100
23 Jan 2015
MIN84
NOP92
29 Jan 2014
MIN88
NOP77
01 Jan 2014
MIN124
NOP112
17 Mar 2013
MIN97
NOP95
02 Feb 2013
MIN115
NOP86
10 Mar 2012
MIN89
NOP95
25 Feb 2011
MIN81
NOP95
27 Dec 2010
MIN113
NOP98
22 Jan 2010
MIN94
NOP96
09 Dec 2009
MIN96
NOP97
23 Jan 2009
MIN116
NOP108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
New Orleans Pelicans win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#19
W
125-124
125
124
+1
A11/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#28
W
122-104
122
104
+18
A12/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
106-128
106
128
-22
H15/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
116-133
116
133
-17
A17/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
131-106
131
106
+25
A21/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
W
115-93
115
93
+22
A23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#13
W
117-94
117
94
+23
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
114-119
114
119
-5
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
127-101
127
101
+26
H31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
36-33
31-28
34-40
30-25
32-25
28-30
32-24
38-29
20-36
24-32
24-31
28-33
32-34
28-31
28-35
34-32
35-27
30-22
32-25
26-20
31-25
29-15
29-33
32-21
23-26
35-15
27-32
31-24
29-26
26-36
27-27
23-30
25-34
33-29
33-26
34-24
35-32
29-25
29-20
232.7Avg total
119.8Scored
112.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)118.8112.4231.2+6.458%
Season at home (4)116.0110.5226.5+5.550%
Season away (8)120.2113.4233.6+6.962%
Last 10 (10)119.8112.9232.7+6.960%
Last 5 (5)119.6106.8226.4+12.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.5120.7225.2-16.233%
vs Similar (13)113.5114.4227.9-0.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)122.3112.5234.8+9.773%
This opponent (New Orleans Pelicans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Orleans PelicansUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
126-132
126
132
-6
A13/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
W
116-110
116
110
+6
A07/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
L
118-128
118
128
-10
A08/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
101-97
101
97
+4
A15/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
107-106
107
106
+1
H17/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
120-123
120
123
-3
H22/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
L
119-120
119
120
-1
A24/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
135-141 OT
135
141
-6
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
91-104
91
104
-13
H29/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
132-120
132
120
+12
H30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-34
35-39
31-24
36-35
28-34
24-33
38-26
26-17
36-33
28-40
32-20
22-35
24-18
32-27
19-18
26-34
23-17
33-34
25-19
26-36
31-38
35-18
26-30
28-37
28-31
24-31
38-24
29-34
38-24
35-33
35-32
18-37
18-37
27-20
28-22
18-25
24-30
39-31
39-27
30-32
234.6Avg total
116.5Scored
118.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)115.4116.6232.0-1.144%
Season at home (4)112.5113.2225.8-0.850%
Season away (5)117.8119.2237.0-1.440%
Last 10 (10)116.5118.1234.6-1.640%
Last 5 (5)119.4121.6241.0-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)112.0119.5231.5-7.520%
vs Similar (11)118.0117.7235.7+0.345%
vs Weaker (4)129.0119.5248.5+9.575%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -6.3-6.3
Minnesota TimberwolvesNew Orleans Pelicans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#19
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A11/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#28
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A12/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
58-65
58
65
-7
H15/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A17/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A21/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#13
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
48-64
48
64
-16
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H31/10
NBA
115.7Avg total
59.8Scored
55.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.756.2113.9+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.655.8114.4+2.858%-
Last 30 away (18)57.256.4113.6+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)59.855.9115.7+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)57.852.4110.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.857.3107.2-7.517%-
vs Similar (13)56.556.7113.2-0.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)63.554.9118.4+8.591%-
This opponent (New Orleans Pelicans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Orleans PelicansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A13/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
L
52-67
52
67
-15
A07/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A08/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A15/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H17/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H22/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A24/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
W
73-57
73
57
+16
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H29/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H30/10
NBA
118.8Avg total
58.6Scored
60.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.360.9119.3-2.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.758.2116.8+0.569%-
Last 30 away (17)58.163.1121.1-5.029%-
Last 10 (10)58.660.2118.8-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)59.858.6118.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)55.362.2117.5-6.927%-
vs Similar (11)59.759.2118.9+0.555%-
vs Weaker (4)65.861.0126.8+4.8100%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 118.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.526.4
52.3%
54.0%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.814.4
39.1%
34.9%43.2
🏀 Free throws31.122.5
72.3%
76.2%22.5
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New Orleans Pelicanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Orleans Pelicans: 121.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws24.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.833.1
53.6%
54.0%66.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.010.3
32.2%
34.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws31.124.5
78.8%
76.2%24.5
They take 93.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLWWWLLWW
New Orleans Pelicans
WLLLLWWLWL
#9
League position
#20
+5.0
Net rating
-1.9
106.1
Offensive rating
105.0
101.1
Defensive rating
106.9
55.0%
Effective FG%
51.8%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
14.7%
Turnover %
13.7%
47.5%
Off. rebound %
38.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.33
39.1%
3-point %
32.2%
60.0%
Assist %
55.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 105.0Defence101.1 · 106.9Shooting55.0% · 51.8%3-point %39.1% · 32.2%Ball care14.7% · 13.7%Off. rebounds47.5% · 38.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ New Orleans Pelicans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers127-101
29/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-119
26/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers125-127 OT
25/10/26HToronto Raptors117-94
23/10/26AOrlando Magic115-93
21/10/26AMiami Heat131-106
17/10/26AChicago Bulls116-133
15/10/26HDetroit Pistons106-128
12/10/26ANew York Knicks122-104
11/10/26AMiami Heat125-124
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HSacramento Kings132-120
29/10/26HDenver Nuggets91-104
25/10/26ADenver Nuggets135-141 OT
24/10/26AUtah Jazz119-120
22/10/26HIndiana Pacers120-123
17/10/26HWashington Wizards107-106
15/10/26ADallas Mavericks101-97
08/10/26AMiami Heat118-128
07/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder116-110
13/04/26AMinnesota Timberwolves126-132

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW58%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWLWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %58%50%62%
Points / game118.8116.0120.2
Allowed / game112.4110.5113.4
Point differential+6.4+5.5+6.9
Avg total231.2226.5233.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%12%
New Orleans Pelicans
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW44%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%50%40%
Points / game115.4112.5117.8
Allowed / game116.6113.2119.2
Point differential-1.1-0.8-1.4
Avg total232.0225.8237.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
2 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Atlanta Hawks117464%120.7115.7+5.0
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
9 Minnesota Timberwolves127558%118.8112.4+6.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
13 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
16 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
17 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
18 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
21 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
22 Charlotte Hornets104640%97.0108.0-11.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
28 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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