Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	126.4	128.6	255.0	-2.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	123.6	122.0	245.6	+1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	120.3	131.0	251.3	-10.7	33%
vs Similar (15)	120.3	120.9	241.2	-0.7	40%
vs Weaker (12)	128.4	117.1	245.5	+11.3	75%

This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Minnesota Timberwolves USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormTimberwolves

Date

Competition

Denver Nuggets

113-96

113

+17

112avg 109

H24/04

NBA

Denver Nuggets

112-96

112

+16

105avg 109

H26/04

NBA

Denver Nuggets

113-125

113

125

-12

108avg 109

A28/04

NBA

Denver Nuggets

110-98

110

+12

102avg 109

H01/05

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

104-102

104

102

91avg 109

A05/05

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

95-133

133

-38

76avg 109

A07/05

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

108-115

108

115

-7

95avg 109

H09/05

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

114-109

114

109

103avg 109

H10/05

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

97-126

126

-29

82avg 109

A13/05

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

109-139

109

139

-30

81avg 109

H16/05

NBA

25-11

36-28

27-29

25-28

22-23

28-31

32-24

30-18

29-34

22-26

24-37

38-28

29-30

28-20

25-24

28-24

24-23

21-22

24-27

35-30

17-24

18-35

28-39

32-35

22-23

29-28

28-35

29-29

34-30

26-26

20-28

34-25

30-34

17-25

26-32

24-35

27-36

34-38

23-36

25-29

221.4Avg total

107.5Scored

113.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	107.5	113.9	221.4	-6.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	104.6	124.4	229.0	-19.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	102.7	115.4	218.1	-12.7	30%
vs Similar (16)	114.4	116.0	230.4	-1.6	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	131.8	108.8	240.5	+23.0	100%

This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Miami HeatMinnesota Timberwolves

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	32.0	29.6	61.6	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.2	30.5	64.7	+3.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	29.7	28.7	58.5	+1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.4	33.0	64.4	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.8	27.4	56.2	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	32.7	35.7	68.3	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	30.1	29.5	59.5	+0.6	47%	-
vs Weaker (12)	34.2	28.3	62.5	+5.8	92%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	27.6	27.8	55.4	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	28.3	27.8	56.1	+0.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	27.1	27.9	54.9	-0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.9	26.8	52.7	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	29.4	55.4	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	24.5	27.9	52.4	-3.4	30%	-
vs Similar (16)	27.2	28.2	55.4	-0.9	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	36.8	26.2	63.0	+10.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.4	31.6	61.0	-2.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	28.9	30.6	59.5	-1.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	29.8	32.7	62.5	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.6	32.6	62.2	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.6	32.2	62.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	28.0	32.3	60.3	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	26.9	32.1	59.1	-5.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (12)	32.8	30.8	63.6	+1.9	42%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.4	27.4	55.8	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	29.8	27.5	57.4	+2.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	27.4	27.2	54.6	+0.1	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.9	27.9	53.8	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	30.4	55.2	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	25.2	25.9	51.1	-0.7	40%	-
vs Similar (16)	30.2	28.2	58.4	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	29.2	27.8	57.0	+1.5	75%	-

Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cleveland Cavaliers

46-81

-35

A27/03

NBA

Indiana Pacers

#29

75-79

-4

A29/03

NBA

Philadelphia 76ers

#15

58-61

-3

H30/03

NBA

Boston Celtics

57-80

-23

H01/04

NBA

Washington Wizards

#30

77-57

+20

H04/04

NBA

Toronto Raptors

#11

51-64

-13

A07/04

NBA

Toronto Raptors

#11

50-69

-19

A09/04

NBA

Washington Wizards

#30

72-52

+20

A10/04

NBA

Atlanta Hawks

#12

70-61

H12/04

NBA

Charlotte Hornets

#14

54-52

A14/04

NBA

126.6Avg total

61.0Scored

65.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	61.3	61.3	122.6	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	63.1	61.1	124.3	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	59.5	61.4	120.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	61.0	65.6	126.6	-4.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	59.4	59.6	119.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	60.7	68.0	128.7	-7.3	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	57.0	61.6	118.6	-4.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (12)	66.9	59.2	126.1	+7.8	75%	-

This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Denver Nuggets

61-39

+22

H24/04

NBA

Denver Nuggets

50-54

-4

H26/04

NBA

Denver Nuggets

51-60

-9

A28/04

NBA

Denver Nuggets

57-50

H01/05

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

45-45

A05/05

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

35-59

-24

A07/05

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

51-51

H09/05

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

60-56

H10/05

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

47-59

-12

A13/05

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

61-74

-13

H16/05

NBA

106.5Avg total

51.8Scored

54.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	56.0	55.2	111.2	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	58.2	55.3	113.5	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	54.4	55.1	109.5	-0.7	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	51.8	54.7	106.5	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.8	59.8	110.6	-9.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	49.7	53.8	103.5	-4.1	30%	-
vs Similar (16)	57.5	56.4	113.9	+1.1	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	66.0	54.0	120.0	+12.0	100%	-

This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	32.6	29.7	62.3	+3.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	32.3	28.9	61.3	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.9	30.4	63.3	+2.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.2	30.5	65.7	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.2	31.2	62.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	34.7	32.0	66.7	+2.7	67%	-
vs Similar (15)	31.3	30.7	62.0	+0.7	60%	-
vs Weaker (12)	33.8	27.8	61.6	+5.9	83%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.9	30.6	57.5	-3.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	25.6	27.6	53.2	-2.0	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	27.9	32.9	60.8	-4.9	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.7	31.1	56.8	-5.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	34.0	59.0	-9.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	24.3	31.3	55.6	-7.0	10%	-
vs Similar (16)	26.6	31.2	57.8	-4.6	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	34.8	26.5	61.2	+8.2	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.2	29.0	58.2	+0.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	30.7	29.4	60.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	27.7	28.7	56.3	-1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.0	31.2	60.2	-2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.6	28.6	59.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	25.0	31.0	56.0	-6.0	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	31.1	27.8	58.9	+3.3	73%	-
vs Weaker (12)	27.8	30.1	57.8	-2.3	42%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.3	28.6	57.9	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	28.2	26.9	55.1	+1.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	30.2	29.9	60.1	+0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	30.0	28.1	58.1	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.8	30.6	59.4	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	28.7	30.3	59.0	-1.6	30%	-
vs Similar (16)	29.3	27.6	56.9	+1.7	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	31.0	28.2	59.2	+2.8	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	61.8	58.7	120.5	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	63.0	58.3	121.3	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	60.6	59.1	119.7	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	64.2	61.7	125.9	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	61.8	59.8	121.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	59.7	63.0	122.7	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	62.5	58.5	120.9	+4.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (12)	61.5	57.9	119.4	+3.6	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	56.3	59.2	115.5	-2.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	53.8	54.5	108.3	-0.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	58.2	62.8	120.9	-4.6	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	55.7	59.2	114.9	-3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	53.8	64.6	118.4	-10.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	53.0	61.6	114.6	-8.6	30%	-
vs Similar (16)	55.9	58.8	114.8	-2.9	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	65.8	54.8	120.5	+11.0	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 126.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.1 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	52.9	30.5	57.7%	54.0%	61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	40.3	15.7	39.0%	35.0%	47.1
🏀 Free throws	23.2	18.3	78.9%	76.6%	18.3

They take 93.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 107.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	61.0	29.4	48.2%	54.0%	58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.6	10.1	33.0%	35.0%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	24.0	18.4	76.7%	76.6%	18.4

They take 91.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	57.7	32.3	56.0%	54.0%	64.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	39.1	16.1	41.2%	35.0%	48.3
🏀 Free throws	19.8	15.7	79.3%	76.6%	15.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	53.2	29.4	55.3%	54.0%	58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.0	10.8	33.8%	35.0%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	28.3	22.7	80.2%	76.6%	22.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	52.5	29.7	56.5%	54.0%	59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	40.0	14.6	36.4%	35.0%	43.7
🏀 Free throws	25.7	20.4	79.6%	76.6%	20.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	55.4	28.8	52.0%	54.0%	57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.4	11.9	34.6%	35.0%	35.7
🏀 Free throws	24.0	18.3	76.2%	76.6%	18.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	55.1	30.0	54.5%	54.0%	60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	37.9	14.2	37.6%	35.0%	42.7
🏀 Free throws	22.1	17.7	80.1%	76.6%	17.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	56.5	29.9	53.0%	54.0%	59.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.5	10.7	32.9%	35.0%	32.1
🏀 Free throws	26.9	21.7	80.9%	76.6%	21.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Miami Heat

LWWLLWLWLL

Minnesota Timberwolves

LLWLLWWLWW

#21

League position

-2.1

Net rating

-6.3

120.8

Offensive rating

105.7

122.9

Defensive rating

112.0

58.0%

Effective FG%

48.6%

58.3%

Opp. effective FG%

53.5%

10.9%

Turnover %

13.0%

26.0%

Off. rebound %

27.4%

0.25

Free-throw rate

0.26

39.0%

3-point %

33.0%

67.3%

Assist %

57.7%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Miami Heat ■ Minnesota Timberwolves

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Miami Heat wins

Minnesota Timberwolves wins

Date	Game	Score
07/01/26	Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat	122-94
03/01/26	Miami Heat v Minnesota Timberwolves	115-125
08/03/25	Miami Heat v Minnesota Timberwolves	104-106
11/11/24	Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat	94-95
19/12/23	Miami Heat v Minnesota Timberwolves	108-112
29/10/23	Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat	106-90
27/12/22	Miami Heat v Minnesota Timberwolves	113-110
22/11/22	Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat	105-101
13/03/22	Miami Heat v Minnesota Timberwolves	104-113
25/11/21	Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat	113-101

Miami Heatlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/04/26	A	Charlotte Hornets	126-127 OT
12/04/26	H	Atlanta Hawks	143-117
10/04/26	A	Washington Wizards	140-117
09/04/26	A	Toronto Raptors	114-128
07/04/26	A	Toronto Raptors	95-121
04/04/26	H	Washington Wizards	152-136
01/04/26	H	Boston Celtics	129-147
30/03/26	H	Philadelphia 76ers	119-109
29/03/26	A	Indiana Pacers	118-135
27/03/26	A	Cleveland Cavaliers	128-149

Minnesota Timberwolveslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/05/26	H	San Antonio Spurs	109-139
13/05/26	A	San Antonio Spurs	97-126
10/05/26	H	San Antonio Spurs	114-109
09/05/26	H	San Antonio Spurs	108-115
07/05/26	A	San Antonio Spurs	95-133
05/05/26	A	San Antonio Spurs	104-102
01/05/26	H	Denver Nuggets	110-98
28/04/26	A	Denver Nuggets	113-125
26/04/26	H	Denver Nuggets	112-96
24/04/26	H	Denver Nuggets	113-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat

NBA 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Minnesota Timberwolves

NBA 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Miami Heat	23	33	28	40	124
Minnesota Timberwolves	24	36	31	34	125

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Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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