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Penn State vs Minnesota Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 61-69
25-21 36-48
Position#185
Record13-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game72.6
vs
Position#226
Record11-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game69.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Penn State v Minnesota
01 Feb 2026
PENN77
MINN75
04 Feb 2025
PENN61
MINN69
27 Jan 2024
PENN74
MINN83
09 Mar 2022
PENN60
MINN51
17 Feb 2022
PENN67
MINN46
03 Mar 2021
PENN84
MINN65
08 Feb 2020
PENN83
MINN77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn
#331
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H29/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H03/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H05/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
52-91
52
91
-39
A09/01
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H12/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A16/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H20/01
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A25/01
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A27/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
64-83
64
83
-19
H30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-31
52-35
37-34
47-46
29-29
42-48
21-45
31-46
34-41
47-41
36-46
49-44
37-35
43-37
38-43
37-33
35-35
37-41
33-43
31-40
154.3Avg total
75.0Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.372.6155.0+9.759%
Season at home (15)87.369.7157.0+17.580%
Season away (7)71.778.9150.6-7.114%
Last 10 (10)75.079.3154.3-4.330%
Last 5 (5)75.279.4154.6-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.880.5153.2-7.825%
vs Similar (15)75.777.1152.8-1.540%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.063.8151.8+24.291%
This opponent (Minnesota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinnesotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morgan State
#258
W
90-68
90
68
+22
H29/12
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
61-81
61
81
-20
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
88-89 OT
88
89
-1
H07/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
59-80
59
80
-21
A11/01
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A13/01
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
H17/01
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A22/01
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H25/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
51-73
51
73
-22
A29/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
55-37
35-31
27-28
34-53
28-27
36-37
29-30
30-50
35-32
36-45
31-40
40-31
32-28
40-39
44-38
33-31
16-36
35-37
30-40
38-31
147.7Avg total
72.1Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)68.869.0137.8-0.250%
Season at home (16)71.467.6139.1+3.862%
Season away (6)61.872.7134.5-10.817%
Last 10 (10)72.175.6147.7-3.540%
Last 5 (5)70.472.2142.6-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)68.774.5143.2-5.838%
vs Similar (12)69.968.1138.0+1.850%
vs Weaker (1)58.070.0128.0-12.00%
This opponent (Penn State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.8-4.81st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -2.8-2.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.8-4.81st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -2.8-2.8
Penn StateMinnesota
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn
#331
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H29/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H05/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
21-45
21
45
-24
A09/01
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H12/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A16/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/01
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A25/01
NCAA
Michigan
#44
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A27/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H30/01
NCAA
71.6Avg total
33.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.134.771.8+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.332.671.9+6.674%-
Last 30 away (11)33.338.371.5-5.018%-
Last 10 (10)33.438.271.6-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)35.840.476.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.840.073.8-6.20%-
vs Similar (15)35.336.371.5-1.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.730.671.4+10.191%-
This opponent (Minnesota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinnesotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morgan State
#258
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H29/12
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H07/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A11/01
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A13/01
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H17/01
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A22/01
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H25/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
16-36
16
36
-20
A29/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H01/02
NCAA
66.3Avg total
32.7Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.833.464.2-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (18)30.431.662.0-1.133%-
Last 30 away (12)31.336.267.5-4.833%-
Last 10 (10)32.733.666.3-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)30.636.467.0-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)29.634.163.8-4.531%-
vs Similar (12)32.432.364.8+0.142%-
vs Weaker (1)25.030.055.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Penn State wins
4
Minnesota wins
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/25HOhio State64-83
27/01/25AMichigan72-76
25/01/25AIowa75-76
20/01/25HRutgers80-72
16/01/25AMichigan State85-90
12/01/25HOregon81-82
09/01/25AIllinois52-91
05/01/25HIndiana71-77
03/01/25HNorthwestern84-80
29/12/24HPenn86-66
Minnesotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25HWashington68-71
29/01/25AMichigan State51-73
25/01/25HOregon77-69
22/01/25AIowa72-67
17/01/25HMichigan84-81 OT
13/01/25AMaryland71-77
11/01/25AWisconsin59-80
07/01/25HOhio State88-89 OT
03/01/25HPurdue61-81
29/12/24HMorgan State90-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL59%
HomeWLLWL80%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22157
Win %59%80%14%
Points / game82.387.371.7
Allowed / game72.669.778.9
Point differential+9.7+17.5-7.1
Avg total155.0157.0150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)50% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minnesota
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeLLWWL62%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22166
Win %50%62%17%
Points / game68.871.461.8
Allowed / game69.067.672.7
Point differential-0.2+3.8-10.8
Avg total137.8139.1134.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (8)100% (1)
Overtime %14%19%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State2118386%80.467.3+13.1
2 Maryland2217577%83.065.5+17.5
3 Wisconsin2217577%81.570.5+11.0
4 Purdue2217577%77.767.9+9.8
5 Michigan2116576%82.370.3+12.0
6 UCLA2216673%76.064.5+11.5
7 Oregon2216673%76.471.0+5.5
8 Illinois2215768%85.370.4+14.9
9 Nebraska2214864%75.671.1+4.5
10 Indiana2214864%77.173.5+3.6
11 Iowa2113862%85.778.5+7.2
12 USC2113862%76.772.4+4.3
13 Penn State2213959%82.372.6+9.7
14 Ohio State2213959%80.071.4+8.5
15 Northwestern22121055%73.969.6+4.2
16 Rutgers22111150%76.074.6+1.3
17 Minnesota22111150%68.869.0-0.2
18 Washington20101050%71.472.1-0.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State253661
Minnesota214869
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