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Minnesota vs Northwestern Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 75-66 (OT)
27-27 34-34 14-5
Position#163
Record13-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game68.3
vs
Position#86
Record15-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game69.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Minnesota v Northwestern
07 Mar 2026
MINN67
NORT66
12 Mar 2025
MINN64
NORT72
25 Feb 2025
MINN63
NORT75
03 Feb 2024
MINN75
NORT66
19 Feb 2022
MINN77
NORT60
25 Feb 2021
MINN59
NORT67
11 Mar 2020
MINN74
NORT57
05 Jan 2020
MINN77
NORT68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinnesotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IUPUI
#360
W
101-65
101
65
+36
H13/12
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H22/12
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H30/12
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A05/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H07/01
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A12/01
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H15/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A18/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H24/01
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
57-27
44-38
39-27
41-36
41-28
39-34
33-37
40-34
22-29
43-33
31-41
31-33
32-39
45-47
32-37
34-39
24-34
35-27
31-45
52-29
144.0Avg total
74.6Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.568.3144.8+8.265%
Season at home (14)79.665.1144.7+14.679%
Season away (6)69.375.8145.2-6.533%
Last 10 (10)74.669.4144.0+5.260%
Last 5 (5)69.474.2143.6-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)64.575.9140.4-11.518%
vs Similar ◀ (9)73.370.1143.4+3.256%
vs Weaker (10)81.365.9147.2+15.480%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#253
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H30/12
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
66-96
66
96
-30
A03/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H08/01
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A10/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A13/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H18/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A20/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
96-91 OT
96
91
+5
H25/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
83-58
83
58
+25
H28/01
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
96-105 OT
96
105
-9
A31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-33
35-30
29-46
37-50
46-31
42-43
32-40
44-32
25-32
38-39
32-28
40-41
35-39
34-36
34-32
42-44
41-30
42-28
39-47
42-34
155.7Avg total
78.3Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)75.469.9145.3+5.571%
Season at home (13)79.768.5148.2+11.292%
Season away (8)68.572.1140.6-3.638%
Last 10 (10)78.377.4155.7+0.960%
Last 5 (5)83.279.6162.8+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.689.6172.2-7.040%
vs Similar ◀ (16)69.666.8136.4+2.856%
vs Weaker (9)72.859.7132.4+13.189%
This opponent (Minnesota) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +5.4+5.42nd half: +1.9+1.9
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +5.4+5.42nd half: +1.9+1.9
MinnesotaNorthwestern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MinnesotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IUPUI
#360
W
57-27
57
27
+30
H13/12
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H22/12
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H30/12
NCAA
Michigan
#347
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A05/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
22-29
22
29
-7
H07/01
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A12/01
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H15/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A18/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H24/01
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A27/01
NCAA
68.6Avg total
34.2Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.434.969.2-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.832.869.7+4.058%-
Last 30 away (11)30.138.468.5-8.39%-
Last 10 (10)34.234.468.6-0.230%-
Last 5 (5)30.039.269.2-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)30.037.067.0-7.018%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)30.934.965.8-4.022%-
vs Weaker (10)42.332.574.8+9.880%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#253
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H30/12
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A03/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H08/01
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A10/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A13/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H18/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A20/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H25/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H28/01
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A31/01
NCAA
71.0Avg total
35.2Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.331.265.5+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.330.666.9+5.783%-
Last 30 away (12)31.332.163.4-0.833%-
Last 10 (10)35.235.871.0-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.235.271.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.840.071.8-8.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)34.028.862.8+5.275%-
vs Weaker (9)36.230.766.9+5.667%-
This opponent (Minnesota) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Minnesota wins
3
Northwestern wins
Minnesotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24APenn State83-74
24/01/24HWisconsin59-61
18/01/24AMichigan State66-76
15/01/24HIowa77-86
12/01/24AIndiana62-74
07/01/24HMaryland65-62
05/01/24AMichigan73-71
30/12/23HMaine Black Bears80-62
22/12/23HBall State80-63
13/12/23HIUPUI101-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24APurdue96-105 OT
28/01/24HOhio State83-58
25/01/24HIllinois96-91 OT
20/01/24ANebraska69-75
18/01/24HMaryland72-69
13/01/24AWisconsin63-71
10/01/24APenn State76-72
08/01/24HMichigan State88-74
03/01/24AIllinois66-96
30/12/23HJackson State74-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW65%
HomeWWWLL79%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20146
Win %65%79%33%
Points / game76.579.669.3
Allowed / game68.365.175.8
Point differential+8.2+14.6-6.5
Avg total144.8144.7145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northwestern
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL71%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21138
Win %71%92%38%
Points / game75.479.768.5
Allowed / game69.968.572.1
Point differential+5.5+11.2-3.6
Avg total145.3148.2140.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%54%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)83% (6)100% (1)
Overtime %14%15%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue2220291%85.870.0+15.8
2 Illinois2116576%82.369.0+13.4
3 Wisconsin2116576%75.867.5+8.3
4 Nebraska2216673%77.470.2+7.1
5 Northwestern2115671%75.469.9+5.5
6 Oregon2115671%78.272.7+5.5
7 Minnesota2013765%76.568.3+8.2
8 Michigan State2113862%76.065.8+10.1
9 Maryland2113862%70.363.4+6.9
10 Iowa2213959%84.277.3+6.9
11 Ohio State2213959%75.269.5+5.7
12 Indiana2213959%73.574.3-0.8
13 Washington2112957%81.176.7+4.4
14 Penn State22111150%76.073.3+2.7
15 Rutgers20101050%66.866.3+0.5
16 UCLA21101148%65.563.8+1.7
17 USC2181338%74.274.9-0.7
18 Michigan2171433%77.979.3-1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Minnesota27341475
Northwestern2734566
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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