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Minnesota vs Northwestern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 67-66
39-29 28-37
Position#235
Record14-16
FormWWLWL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game68.5
vs
Position#251
Record13-17
FormLWWWL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game72.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Minnesota v Northwestern
07 Mar 2026
MINN67
NORT66
12 Mar 2025
MINN64
NORT72
25 Feb 2025
MINN63
NORT75
03 Feb 2024
MINN75
NORT66
19 Feb 2022
MINN77
NORT60
25 Feb 2021
MINN59
NORT67
11 Mar 2020
MINN74
NORT57
05 Jan 2020
MINN77
NORT68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinnesotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A29/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A01/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H05/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H08/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A15/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A18/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H21/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A25/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
47-77
47
77
-30
A04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-17
28-50
31-41
44-36
32-21
44-52
33-32
29-35
26-39
31-30
22-17
39-27
36-23
44-38
28-32
39-45
40-41
38-32
28-43
19-34
135.1Avg total
66.6Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)70.268.5138.7+1.747%
Season at home (19)73.465.2138.6+8.263%
Season away (11)64.774.2138.9-9.518%
Last 10 (10)66.668.5135.1-1.940%
Last 5 (5)66.666.4133.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)67.675.5143.2-7.931%
vs Similar ◀ (8)69.170.5139.6-1.438%
vs Weaker (9)75.056.6131.6+18.478%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#298
W
94-73
94
73
+21
H30/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
62-76
62
76
-14
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
44-84
44
84
-40
A05/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A08/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
75-87
75
87
-12
H12/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
49-68
49
68
-19
A14/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H19/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A25/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H28/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
45-40
49-33
27-39
35-37
19-47
25-37
35-39
35-37
44-35
31-52
27-28
22-40
35-34
43-40
33-42
39-26
29-36
34-26
34-25
32-45
141.1Avg total
67.3Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)73.472.4145.8+1.043%
Season at home (18)77.770.9148.6+6.856%
Season away (12)67.074.7141.7-7.725%
Last 10 (10)67.373.8141.1-6.540%
Last 5 (5)65.668.4134.0-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)67.576.4143.9-8.914%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.570.0144.5+4.560%
vs Weaker (6)85.567.0152.5+18.583%
This opponent (Minnesota) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: -3.7-3.72nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: -2.8-2.8
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: -3.7-3.72nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: -2.8-2.8
MinnesotaNorthwestern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MinnesotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
W
35-17
35
17
+18
A29/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A01/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H05/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H08/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A15/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
22-17
22
17
+5
A18/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A25/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A04/03
NCAA
61.7Avg total
31.1Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.230.163.2+3.150%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.128.863.9+6.368%-
Last 30 away (11)29.832.362.1-2.518%-
Last 10 (10)31.130.661.7+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)30.831.262.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.232.364.5-0.138%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)30.631.862.4-1.125%-
vs Weaker (9)36.825.362.1+11.489%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#298
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H30/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
19-47
19
47
-28
A05/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A08/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H12/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A14/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A25/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H28/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H05/03
NCAA
69.3Avg total
32.8Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.134.869.9+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.532.770.2+4.872%-
Last 30 away (12)31.637.869.4-6.325%-
Last 10 (10)32.836.569.3-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)31.633.064.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.137.170.2-4.136%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.332.868.1+2.560%-
vs Weaker (6)39.732.572.2+7.283%-
This opponent (Minnesota) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Minnesota wins
6
Northwestern wins
Minnesotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26AIndiana47-77
28/02/26HUCLA78-73
25/02/26AMichigan67-77
21/02/26HRutgers80-61
18/02/26AOregon61-44
15/02/26AWashington57-69
08/02/26HMaryland62-67
05/02/26HMichigan State76-73
01/02/26APenn State75-77
29/01/26AWisconsin63-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26HPurdue66-70
28/02/26HOregon63-62
25/02/26AIndiana72-68
19/02/26HMaryland78-74
14/02/26ANebraska49-68
12/02/26HMichigan75-87
08/02/26AIowa70-76
05/02/26AIllinois44-84
01/02/26HWashington62-76
30/01/26HPenn State94-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL47%
HomeLWLWW63%
AwayLLWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301911
Win %47%63%18%
Points / game70.273.464.7
Allowed / game68.565.274.2
Point differential+1.7+8.2-9.5
Avg total138.7138.6138.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%37%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)43% (7)0% (2)
Overtime %10%11%9%
Northwestern
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL43%
HomeLLWWL56%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %43%56%25%
Points / game73.477.767.0
Allowed / game72.470.974.7
Point differential+1.0+6.8-7.7
Avg total145.8148.6141.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%39%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %3%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan3028293%88.468.7+19.7
2 Nebraska3025583%77.765.7+12.0
3 Michigan State3025583%78.767.0+11.7
4 Illinois3023777%84.569.0+15.4
5 Purdue3123874%82.370.7+11.6
6 Wisconsin3122971%83.375.6+7.7
7 Iowa30201067%75.465.2+10.2
8 UCLA30201067%77.671.0+6.6
9 Ohio State31201165%80.573.0+7.5
10 USC30181260%78.977.4+1.5
11 Indiana31181358%78.772.1+6.6
12 Washington30151550%76.772.7+4.0
13 Minnesota30141647%70.268.5+1.7
14 Northwestern30131743%73.472.4+1.0
15 Rutgers30121840%70.875.9-5.1
16 Penn State30121840%74.379.6-5.3
17 Oregon30111937%70.773.9-3.2
18 Maryland30111937%69.877.1-7.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Minnesota392867
Northwestern293766
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