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Minnesota vs UTSA Roadrunners Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 30 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#53
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game58.5
vs
Position#167
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game74.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Minnesota v UTSA Roadrunners
29 Dec 2026
MINN v UTSA
upcoming
10 Nov 2023
MINN102
UTSA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
UTSA Roadrunners win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinnesotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H21/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A25/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
47-77
47
77
-30
A04/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H12/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#326
W
85-50
85
50
+35
H03/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#251
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#108
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A10/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
91-61
91
61
+30
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-23
44-38
28-32
39-45
40-41
38-32
28-43
19-34
39-29
28-37
31-29
36-43
41-25
44-25
40-22
36-40
30-30
33-31
46-26
45-35
138.1Avg total
72.1Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.858.5137.2+20.2100%
Season at home (3)84.057.7141.7+26.3100%
Season away (1)63.061.0124.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.166.0138.1+6.170%
Last 5 (5)76.461.2137.6+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)67.675.5143.2-7.931%
vs Similar (6)70.567.5138.0+3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)73.559.2132.7+14.473%
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Carolina
#310
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A12/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A15/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H19/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
74-100
74
100
-26
A22/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H26/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
67-84
67
84
-17
H02/03
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A08/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#279
L
74-95
74
95
-21
A02/11
NCAA
VMI
#177
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H07/11
NCAA
Seattle
#286
W
86-59
86
59
+27
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-46
41-42
38-44
50-35
28-26
24-34
37-53
37-47
43-34
38-48
29-41
38-43
32-45
39-35
27-45
47-50
31-35
39-33
41-22
45-37
153.0Avg total
73.5Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.774.0150.7+2.767%
Season at home (1)70.068.0138.0+2.0100%
Season away (2)80.077.0157.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)73.579.5153.0-6.030%
Last 5 (5)73.677.2150.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)67.682.7150.3-15.115%
vs Similar (1)74.095.0169.0-21.00%
vs Weaker (2)94.564.5159.0+30.0100%
This opponent (Minnesota) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: -5.4-5.42nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: -0.6-0.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: -5.4-5.42nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: -0.6-0.6
MinnesotaUTSA Roadrunners
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MinnesotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A25/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A04/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H08/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H12/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#326
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H03/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#251
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H07/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#108
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A10/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H13/11
NCAA
65.9Avg total
35.9Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.730.364.0+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.929.365.2+6.679%-
Last 30 away (11)29.832.161.9-2.318%-
Last 10 (10)35.930.065.9+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.626.464.0+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.232.364.5-0.138%-
vs Similar (6)34.031.765.7+2.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)35.227.262.4+8.082%-
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Carolina
#310
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A12/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A15/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H19/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A22/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H26/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H02/03
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A08/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#279
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A02/11
NCAA
VMI
#177
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H07/11
NCAA
Seattle
#286
W
41-22
41
22
+19
A12/11
NCAA
72.8Avg total
33.7Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.139.972.0-7.823%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.436.769.1-4.331%-
Last 30 away (17)31.942.474.3-10.518%-
Last 10 (10)33.739.172.8-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)32.037.669.6-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)31.240.771.9-9.519%-
vs Similar (1)27.045.072.0-18.00%-
vs Weaker (2)47.027.574.5+19.5100%-
This opponent (Minnesota) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Minnesota wins
0
UTSA Roadrunners wins
DateGameScore
11/11/23Minnesota v UTSA Roadrunners102-76
Minnesotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HSouthern Univ.91-61
10/11/26ACincinnati63-61
07/11/26HSt. Thomas (Minn.)76-62
03/11/26HNorth Dakota85-50
12/03/26HRutgers67-72
08/03/26HNorthwestern67-66
04/03/26AIndiana47-77
28/02/26HUCLA78-73
25/02/26AMichigan67-77
21/02/26HRutgers80-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ASeattle86-59
07/11/26HVMI70-68
02/11/26ASan Jose State74-95
08/03/26ARice71-80
02/03/26HWichita State67-84
26/02/26HEast Carolina81-82
22/02/26ATulsa74-100
19/02/26HFlorida Atlantic52-60
15/02/26ACharlotte88-79
12/02/26AEast Carolina72-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game78.884.063.0
Allowed / game58.557.761.0
Point differential+20.2+26.3+2.0
Avg total137.2141.7124.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UTSA Roadrunners
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game76.770.080.0
Allowed / game74.068.077.0
Point differential+2.7+2.0+3.0
Avg total150.7138.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa330100%90.765.3+25.3
2 North Texas43175%84.064.5+19.5
3 Wichita State43175%88.570.0+18.5
4 East Carolina43175%75.565.8+9.8
5 Florida Atlantic43175%79.577.5+2.0
6 UTSA Roadrunners32167%76.774.0+2.7
7 Memphis32167%83.389.7-6.3
8 South Florida42250%82.874.8+8.0
9 Rice42250%81.274.0+7.2
10 Tulane42250%81.278.2+3.0
11 UAB42250%77.074.2+2.8
12 Charlotte42250%69.267.8+1.5
13 Temple31233%67.375.3-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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