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Saratov vs Minsk Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 113-66
32-15 31-11 21-20 29-20
Position#8
Record7-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game86.9
Saratov 🏆
Russia
vs
Position#13
Record2-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game84.6
RussiaVTB United League
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Saratov v Minsk
03 Mar 2024
SAR81
MIN58
03 Feb 2024
SAR105
MIN63
14 Feb 2023
SAR78
MIN70
22 Dec 2022
SAR88
MIN77
16 Oct 2021
SAR95
MIN79
28 Feb 2021
SAR113
MIN66
29 Feb 2020
SAR109
MIN90
10 Nov 2018
SAR95
MIN99
15 Apr 2018
SAR104
MIN82
02 Feb 2017
SAR88
MIN81
13 Mar 2016
SAR98
MIN85
31 Oct 2014
SAR100
MIN81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saratov winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SaratovRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaratov
Date
Competition
Enisey
#11
W
85-79
85
79
+6
81avg 73
H13/12
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#6
L
90-91
90
91
-1
81avg 73
H23/12
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
65-94
65
94
-29
57avg 73
A03/01
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
71-97
71
97
-26
56avg 73
A10/01
VTB United League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
W
87-61
87
61
+26
no box
H14/01
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
82-98
82
98
-16
68avg 73
H18/01
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#6
L
64-77
64
77
-13
60avg 73
A23/01
VTB United League
Astana
#12
W
92-83
92
83
+9
89avg 73
A31/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
97-110
97
110
-13
86avg 73
H07/02
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
80-86
80
86
-6
no box
A11/02
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
23-18
18-15
23-27
20-22
26-26
26-23
18-20
15-19
19-24
18-25
13-26
18-32
19-28
17-25
17-12
18-21
26-19
20-15
23-6
20-27
17-32
21-15
24-24
13-13
15-27
18-18
18-19
19-29
22-19
25-11
26-24
22-27
16-37
22-23
37-23
15-23
30-23
20-21
15-19
168.9Avg total
81.3Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.286.9169.1-4.644%
Season at home (9)88.087.1175.1+0.956%
Season away (7)74.986.6161.4-11.729%
Last 10 (10)81.387.6168.9-6.330%
Last 5 (5)83.090.8173.8-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.192.4170.5-14.221%
vs Similar (11)85.688.7174.4-3.136%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)91.475.4166.8+16.0100%
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinsk
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#9
L
71-75
71
75
-4
69avg 64
H15/12
Champions League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
77-83
77
83
-6
66avg 64
A20/12
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
76-77
76
77
-1
60avg 64
A23/12
VTB United League
Cholet
#28
L
71-89
71
89
-18
55avg 64
A05/01
Champions League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
W
77-76
77
76
+1
71avg 64
H09/01
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#6
L
75-80
75
80
-5
67avg 64
H17/01
VTB United League
AEK Athens
#12
L
90-95
90
95
-5
77avg 64
H20/01
Champions League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 64
H24/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
66-76
66
76
-10
55avg 64
H30/01
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
73-99
73
99
-26
60avg 64
H07/02
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
22-14
17-22
20-22
27-13
18-28
17-25
15-17
25-17
14-24
20-16
17-20
20-25
18-21
17-20
16-23
12-22
25-17
25-17
15-20
25-12
23-19
15-29
12-20
16-20
17-20
22-27
35-28
18-18
15-17
16-21
23-24
19-22
17-19
19-18
11-17
19-20
16-25
20-24
18-30
157.8Avg total
74.8Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)73.384.6157.9-11.314%
Season at home (8)69.682.8152.4-13.112%
Season away (6)78.287.0165.2-8.817%
Last 10 (10)74.883.0157.8-8.210%
Last 5 (5)75.286.0161.2-10.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)72.785.5158.2-12.77%
vs Similar (11)79.682.2161.8-2.545%
vs Weaker (3)101.753.3155.0+48.3100%
This opponent (Saratov) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -3.9-3.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -3.9-3.9
SaratovMinsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SaratovLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Enisey
#11
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H13/12
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H23/12
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A03/01
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
37-60
37
60
-23
A10/01
VTB United League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H14/01
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
37-59
37
59
-22
H18/01
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#6
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A23/01
VTB United League
Astana
#12
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A31/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
38-64
38
64
-26
H07/02
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A11/02
VTB United League
87.9Avg total
39.4Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.046.586.4-6.527%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.246.989.1-4.838%-
Last 30 away (14)37.445.983.4-8.514%-
Last 10 (10)39.448.587.9-9.120%-
Last 5 (5)37.851.489.2-13.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.948.484.3-12.47%-
vs Similar (11)43.946.690.5-2.736%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.640.883.4+1.860%-
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#9
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H15/12
Champions League
Unics Kazan
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A20/12
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A23/12
VTB United League
Cholet
#28
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A05/01
Champions League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H09/01
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#6
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H17/01
VTB United League
AEK Athens
#12
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H20/01
Champions League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H24/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H30/01
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H07/02
VTB United League
76.8Avg total
37.8Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.178.6+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.636.173.7+1.450%-
Last 30 away (12)42.443.686.0-1.233%-
Last 10 (10)37.839.076.8-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.475.4-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.241.779.9-3.527%-
vs Similar (11)39.840.179.9-0.345%-
vs Weaker (3)48.026.374.3+21.7100%-
This opponent (Saratov) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Saratovtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saratov: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.2
51.5%
52.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.7
33.9%
37.2%23.1
🏀 Free throws21.917.0
77.6%
75.7%17.0
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minsk: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.718.4
48.8%
52.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.0
35.6%
37.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws14.510.6
73.1%
75.7%10.6
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saratov
LLWLLWLLLW
Minsk
LLLLLWLLLL
#8
League position
#13
-8.2
Net rating
-10.0
107.9
Offensive rating
103.2
116.0
Defensive rating
113.2
51.3%
Effective FG%
50.6%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
18.2%
Turnover %
19.5%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.9%
3-point %
35.6%
59.5%
Assist %
49.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 103.2Defence116.0 · 113.2Shooting51.3% · 50.6%3-point %33.9% · 35.6%Ball care18.2% · 19.5%Off. rebounds30.2% · 31.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Saratov   ■ Minsk
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Saratov wins
3
Minsk wins
DateGameScore
07/11/20Minsk v Saratov69-86
29/02/20Saratov v Minsk109-90
12/01/20Minsk v Saratov88-80
05/01/19Minsk v Saratov86-93
10/11/18Saratov v Minsk95-99
15/04/18Saratov v Minsk104-82
19/11/17Minsk v Saratov82-85
02/02/17Saratov v Minsk88-81
16/10/16Minsk v Saratov89-83
13/03/16Saratov v Minsk98-85
Saratovlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/21ANizhny Novgorod80-86
07/02/21HUnics Kazan97-110
31/01/21AAstana92-83
23/01/21AZielona Gora64-77
18/01/21HCSKA Moscow82-98
14/01/21HBC Kalev/Cramo87-61
10/01/21AZenit Petersburg71-97
03/01/21AUnics Kazan65-94
23/12/20HZielona Gora90-91
13/12/20HEnisey85-79
Minsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/21HZenit Petersburg73-99
30/01/21HUnics Kazan66-76
24/01/21HBC Kalev/Cramo72-80
20/01/21HAEK Athens90-95
17/01/21HZielona Gora75-80
09/01/21HNizhny Novgorod77-76
05/01/21ACholet71-89
23/12/20ALokomotiv Kuban76-77
20/12/20AUnics Kazan77-83
15/12/20HHapoel Holon71-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saratov
VTB United League 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL44%
HomeWLWLL56%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %44%56%29%
Points / game82.288.074.9
Allowed / game86.987.186.6
Point differential-4.6+0.9-11.7
Avg total169.1175.1161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%22%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %6%11%0%
Minsk
VTB United League 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL14%
HomeWLLLL12%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %14%12%17%
Points / game73.369.678.2
Allowed / game84.682.887.0
Point differential-11.3-13.1-8.8
Avg total157.9152.4165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zenit Petersburg1715288%84.970.8+14.1
2 Unics Kazan1814478%82.474.6+7.8
3 CSKA Moscow1611569%92.176.1+16.0
4 Lokomotiv Kuban1711665%85.480.1+5.3
5 Zielona Gora1810856%85.785.4+0.3
6 Nizhny Novgorod158753%79.782.7-3.0
7 Khimki M.147750%86.083.3+2.7
8 Parma Perm157847%79.179.6-0.5
9 Saratov167944%82.286.9-4.6
10 Astana1541127%76.887.9-11.1
11 Enisey1641225%75.985.6-9.8
12 BC Kalev/Cramo1531220%71.982.7-10.8
13 Minsk1421214%73.384.6-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saratov32312129113
Minsk1511202066
← all games of the day
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