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Minsk vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 78-80
24-24 16-19 11-19 27-18
Position#13
Record2-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game86.8
vs
Astana 🏆
Russia
Position#12
Record4-13
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game86.5
RussiaVTB United League
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Minsk v Astana
27 Mar 2024
MIN60
AST58
07 Dec 2023
MIN84
AST89
26 Mar 2023
MIN84
AST69
25 Dec 2022
MIN65
AST76
13 Mar 2022
MIN66
AST60
21 Mar 2021
MIN78
AST80
02 Feb 2020
MIN96
AST77
13 Oct 2018
MIN86
AST93
22 Oct 2017
MIN75
AST66
19 Feb 2017
MIN70
AST80
05 Mar 2016
MIN87
AST83
05 Apr 2015
MIN94
AST86
17 Nov 2013
MIN82
AST68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinskRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinsk
Date
Competition
Cholet
#28
L
71-89
71
89
-18
55avg 63
A05/01
Champions League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
W
77-76
77
76
+1
71avg 63
H09/01
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#6
L
75-80
75
80
-5
67avg 63
H17/01
VTB United League
AEK Athens
#12
L
90-95
90
95
-5
77avg 63
H20/01
Champions League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 63
H24/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
66-76
66
76
-10
55avg 63
H30/01
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
73-99
73
99
-26
60avg 63
H07/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#8
L
66-113
66
113
-47
50avg 63
A28/02
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
67-101
67
101
-34
55avg 63
A07/03
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
57-78
57
78
-21
45avg 63
A14/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
18-21
17-20
16-23
12-22
25-17
25-17
15-20
25-12
23-19
15-29
12-20
16-20
17-20
22-27
35-28
18-18
15-17
16-21
23-24
19-22
17-19
19-18
11-17
19-20
16-25
20-24
18-30
15-32
11-31
20-21
20-29
16-27
13-22
18-29
20-23
13-17
14-20
13-23
17-18
160.1Avg total
71.4Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)71.586.8158.4-15.312%
Season at home (8)69.682.8152.4-13.112%
Season away (9)73.290.4163.7-17.211%
Last 10 (10)71.488.7160.1-17.310%
Last 5 (5)65.893.4159.2-27.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)70.687.2157.8-16.66%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.082.7160.7-4.740%
vs Weaker (3)101.753.3155.0+48.3100%
This opponent (Astana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstana
Date
Competition
Almaty
#4
W
98-61
98
61
+37
no box
H27/01
National League
Saratov
#8
L
83-92
83
92
-9
77avg 67
H31/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
L
60-78
60
78
-18
55avg 67
H04/02
VTB United League
Aktobe
#6
W
109-68
109
68
+41
no box
A06/02
National League
Aktobe
#6
W
102-80
102
80
+22
no box
A07/02
National League
Khimki M.
#7
L
77-82
77
82
-5
69avg 67
H12/02
VTB United League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
L
61-77
61
77
-16
51avg 67
H01/03
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
73-75
73
75
-2
69avg 67
A07/03
VTB United League
Atyrau
#2
W
73-56
73
56
+17
no box
H09/03
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
88-56
88
56
+32
no box
H10/03
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-13
19-13
26-21
24-14
29-19
19-22
11-25
24-26
17-16
16-17
11-16
16-29
36-13
30-22
22-14
21-19
24-10
26-17
37-33
15-20
11-22
16-25
31-15
19-20
23-18
5-25
15-21
18-13
16-13
31-15
16-23
10-24
20-23
26-8
15-12
12-13
29-13
25-11
16-15
18-17
154.9Avg total
82.4Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.686.5162.2-10.924%
Season at home (8)70.882.5153.2-11.812%
Season away (9)80.090.1170.1-10.133%
Last 10 (10)82.472.5154.9+9.950%
Last 5 (5)74.469.2143.6+5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.685.0160.6-9.422%
vs Similar ◀ (4)72.279.2151.5-7.025%
vs Weaker (17)97.463.4160.8+34.1100%
This opponent (Minsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +7.4+7.4Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -1.8-1.8
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +7.4+7.4Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -1.8-1.8
MinskAstana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cholet
#28
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A05/01
Champions League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H09/01
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#6
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H17/01
VTB United League
AEK Athens
#12
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H20/01
Champions League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H24/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H30/01
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H07/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#8
L
26-63
26
63
-37
A28/02
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A07/03
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A14/03
VTB United League
76.8Avg total
34.2Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.839.778.5-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.835.373.1+2.456%-
Last 30 away (14)39.944.884.7-4.929%-
Last 10 (10)34.242.676.8-8.410%-
Last 5 (5)30.647.077.6-16.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.042.979.9-5.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.739.979.6-0.250%-
vs Weaker (3)48.026.374.3+21.7100%-
This opponent (Astana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Almaty
#4
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H27/01
National League
Saratov
#8
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H31/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H04/02
VTB United League
Aktobe
#6
W
66-35
66
35
+31
A06/02
National League
Aktobe
#6
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A07/02
National League
Khimki M.
#7
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H12/02
VTB United League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H01/03
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A07/03
VTB United League
Atyrau
#2
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H09/03
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
54-24
54
24
+30
H10/03
National League
78.2Avg total
44.7Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.935.580.4+9.470%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.433.175.5+9.457%-
Last 30 away (16)47.137.684.7+9.481%-
Last 10 (10)44.733.578.2+11.270%-
Last 5 (5)40.434.675.0+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.842.180.9-3.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)35.837.072.8-1.250%-
vs Weaker (17)50.331.681.9+18.694%-
This opponent (Minsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minsk: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.818.1
47.9%
52.9%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.2
33.7%
37.2%24.6
🏀 Free throws13.810.0
72.5%
75.7%10.0
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.016.4
46.9%
52.9%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.6
35.6%
37.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.913.6
72.0%
75.7%13.6
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minsk
LLLLLLLLWL
Astana
WWLLLWWLLW
#13
League position
#12
-22.3
Net rating
-10.0
94.7
Offensive rating
103.3
117.0
Defensive rating
113.4
49.0%
Effective FG%
49.7%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
21.7%
Turnover %
17.3%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.7%
3-point %
35.6%
46.8%
Assist %
71.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence94.7 · 103.3Defence117.0 · 113.4Shooting49.0% · 49.7%3-point %33.7% · 35.6%Ball care21.7% · 17.3%Off. rebounds26.8% · 27.1%Free throws0.22 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Minsk   ■ Astana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Minsk wins
6
Astana wins
DateGameScore
02/02/20Minsk v Astana96-77
09/11/19Astana v Minsk91-89
17/03/19Astana v Minsk101-71
13/10/18Minsk v Astana86-93
04/03/18Astana v Minsk77-59
22/10/17Minsk v Astana75-66
19/02/17Minsk v Astana70-80
04/12/16Astana v Minsk84-67
05/03/16Minsk v Astana87-83
14/11/15Astana v Minsk92-93 OT
Minsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/21ANizhny Novgorod57-78
07/03/21ACSKA Moscow67-101
28/02/21ASaratov66-113
07/02/21HZenit Petersburg73-99
30/01/21HUnics Kazan66-76
24/01/21HBC Kalev/Cramo72-80
20/01/21HAEK Athens90-95
17/01/21HZielona Gora75-80
09/01/21HNizhny Novgorod77-76
05/01/21ACholet71-89
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/21HAtyrau88-56
09/03/21HAtyrau73-56
07/03/21ANizhny Novgorod73-75
01/03/21HBC Kalev/Cramo61-77
12/02/21HKhimki M.77-82
07/02/21AAktobe102-80
06/02/21AAktobe109-68
04/02/21HEnisey60-78
31/01/21HSaratov83-92
27/01/21HAlmaty98-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minsk
VTB United League 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeWLLLL12%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %12%12%11%
Points / game71.569.673.2
Allowed / game86.882.890.4
Point differential-15.3-13.1-17.2
Avg total158.4152.4163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Astana
VTB United League 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeWLLLL12%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %24%12%33%
Points / game75.670.880.0
Allowed / game86.582.590.1
Point differential-10.9-11.8-10.1
Avg total162.2153.2170.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zenit Petersburg2017385%84.772.0+12.8
2 Unics Kazan1915479%82.173.3+8.8
3 CSKA Moscow1813572%92.675.4+17.2
4 Lokomotiv Kuban1913668%86.479.9+6.4
5 Zielona Gora2213959%88.386.3+2.0
6 Nizhny Novgorod1710759%79.380.6-1.3
7 Khimki M.178947%85.484.4+1.0
8 Saratov1981142%83.986.6-2.6
9 Parma Perm1871139%79.581.3-1.8
10 BC Kalev/Cramo1961332%72.881.2-8.3
11 Astana1741324%75.686.5-10.9
12 Enisey1841422%75.887.3-11.5
13 Minsk1721512%71.586.8-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minsk2416112778
Astana2419191880
← all games of the day
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