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Minsk vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 84-89
18-15 20-24 32-19 14-31
Position#8
Record6-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Varese 🏆
Position#10
Record5-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game74.2
EuropeFIBA Europe Cup
European cup2015
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinskLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vita Tbilisi
#16
W
94-74
94
74
+20
H05/12
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H10/12
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
48-92
48
92
-44
A13/12
VTB United League
Varese
#10
L
63-94
63
94
-31
A16/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Khimki M.
#4
L
88-94 OT
88
94
-6
H20/12
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
50-80
50
80
-30
A26/12
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
L
85-100
85
100
-15
A03/01
VTB United League
Gussing Knights
#35
W
96-60
96
60
+36
H06/01
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#13
W
100-77
100
77
+23
H09/01
VTB United League
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
29-22
23-12
26-25
16-25
28-20
17-20
28-26
19-15
7-28
9-28
13-21
17-27
21-15
10-23
15-29
21-30
20-20
21-20
18-10
8-15
18-23
12-20
12-22
18-30
20-15
20-35
27-20
24-14
20-24
21-8
31-14
25-24
24-20
30-15
21-18
15-29
20-20
11-14
22-10
161.6Avg total
78.1Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.179.2165.3+6.967%
Season at home (4)92.876.5169.2+16.275%
Season away (5)80.881.4162.2-0.660%
Last 10 (10)78.183.5161.6-5.430%
Last 5 (5)79.878.0157.8+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.187.1162.2-12.025%
vs Similar ◀ (5)84.687.2171.8-2.640%
vs Weaker (17)95.274.8170.0+20.482%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
L
81-93
81
93
-12
H07/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A13/12
Lega A
Minsk
#8
W
94-63
94
63
+31
H16/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#5
L
58-84
58
84
-26
A20/12
Lega A
Cremona
#4
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
H23/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A27/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H03/01
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A06/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Gussing Knights
#35
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Caserta
#13
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A17/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
24-24
13-20
22-18
15-11
18-18
16-12
16-26
27-17
15-21
23-10
29-15
17-18
12-20
20-28
9-18
23-9
17-11
15-22
16-29
11-27
16-12
15-33
27-14
20-21
25-13
19-18
15-14
20-10
16-13
10-20
15-22
25-16
14-18
20-16
26-31
23-17
17-26
21-13
16-14
151.3Avg total
75.6Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.474.2155.7+7.256%
Season at home (5)85.671.8157.4+13.880%
Season away (4)76.277.2153.5-1.025%
Last 10 (10)75.675.7151.3-0.150%
Last 5 (5)74.273.6147.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.885.0154.8-15.217%
vs Similar ◀ (19)77.774.3151.9+3.463%
vs Weaker (5)82.875.6158.4+7.260%
This opponent (Minsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.0-1.0
MinskVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vita Tbilisi
#16
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H05/12
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H10/12
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A13/12
VTB United League
Varese
#10
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A16/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Khimki M.
#4
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H20/12
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A26/12
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A03/01
VTB United League
Gussing Knights
#35
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H06/01
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#13
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H09/01
VTB United League
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
81.7Avg total
38.6Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.737.981.6+5.770%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.640.086.6+6.669%-
Last 30 away (17)41.436.477.8+5.171%-
Last 10 (10)38.643.181.7-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.442.881.2-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.141.579.6-3.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)39.242.281.4-3.040%-
vs Weaker (17)47.635.082.6+12.694%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H07/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A13/12
Lega A
Minsk
#8
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H16/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#5
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A20/12
Lega A
Cremona
#4
W
40-20
40
20
+20
H23/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A27/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H03/01
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A06/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Gussing Knights
#35
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Caserta
#13
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A17/01
Lega A
73.0Avg total
37.7Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.137.376.4+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.937.377.2+2.650%-
Last 30 away (14)38.137.375.4+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)37.735.373.0+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)37.434.672.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.343.579.8-7.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)40.134.974.9+5.263%-
vs Weaker (5)38.639.077.6-0.440%-
This opponent (Minsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Minsk wins
1
Varese wins
DateGameScore
16/12/15Varese v Minsk94-63
Minsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/16AAEK Larnaca68-73
09/01/16HBC Kalev/Cramo100-77
06/01/16HGussing Knights96-60
03/01/16ANizhny Novgorod85-100
26/12/15ALokomotiv Kuban50-80
20/12/15HKhimki M.88-94 OT
16/12/15AVarese63-94
13/12/15ACSKA Moscow48-92
10/12/15HEnisey89-91
05/12/15HVita Tbilisi94-74
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/16ACaserta77-70
13/01/16HGussing Knights85-81
06/01/16AAEK Larnaca61-65
03/01/16HCantu79-66
27/12/15AReggiana69-86
23/12/15HCremona87-82 OT
20/12/15AVenezia58-84
16/12/15HMinsk94-63
13/12/15APistoia65-67
07/12/15HAvellino81-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minsk
FIBA Europe Cup 2015
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game86.192.880.8
Allowed / game79.276.581.4
Point differential+6.9+16.2-0.6
Avg total165.3169.2162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
FIBA Europe Cup 2015
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW56%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game81.485.676.2
Allowed / game74.271.877.2
Point differential+7.2+13.8-1.0
Avg total155.7157.4153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Frankfurt990100%77.964.0+13.9
2 Khimik990100%77.664.9+12.7
3 Chalon/Saone109190%88.274.0+14.2
4 Antwerp Giants109190%82.574.0+8.5
5 Ventspils109190%83.275.2+8.0
6 Turk Telekom98189%93.272.8+20.4
7 Lyon-Villeurbanne97278%85.370.8+14.6
8 Oostende97278%81.171.0+10.1
9 Gaziantep107370%75.665.4+10.2
10 Minsk96367%86.179.2+6.9
11 ASC Targu Jiu96367%83.878.2+5.6
12 Maccabi Rishon96367%79.074.2+4.8
13 Le Havre96367%81.377.7+3.7
14 Bakken Bears96367%74.372.7+1.7
15 Enisey106460%81.380.2+1.1
16 Varese95456%81.474.2+7.2
17 AEK Larnaca95456%77.373.2+4.1
18 Kataja95456%85.884.3+1.4
19 KK Krka Novo mesto95456%75.675.1+0.4
20 Cibona95456%83.084.9-1.9
21 Nymburk105550%84.166.8+17.3
22 Juventus105550%81.172.3+8.8
23 Siauliai63350%84.781.5+3.2
24 Belfius Mons105550%78.275.8+2.4
25 Cantu105550%85.384.2+1.1
26 Academic105550%73.976.9-3.0
27 Pieno Zvaigzdes94544%83.686.6-3.0
28 Gussing Knights94544%75.479.9-4.4
29 Sodertalje94544%71.676.4-4.9
30 Boras94544%81.388.1-6.8
31 Slask Wroclaw94544%72.981.1-8.2
32 HydroTruck Radom104640%77.577.0+0.5
33 Benfica62433%77.874.5+3.3
34 FC Porto62433%71.871.0+0.8
35 Tajfun Sentjur62433%73.375.3-2.0
36 Den Bosch62433%70.274.8-4.7
37 Kapfenberg Bulls62433%76.281.2-5.0
38 Rilski Sportist62433%83.789.5-5.8
39 Turow Zgorzelec62433%75.781.5-5.8
40 Astana62433%76.383.0-6.7
41 Z-Mobile Prishtina62433%74.281.3-7.2
42 Kormend62433%73.883.2-9.3
43 Zlatorog Lasko62433%71.781.0-9.3
44 Donar Groningen62433%69.079.5-10.5
45 Szombathely62433%69.280.5-11.3
46 Tartu Ulikool103730%71.575.3-3.8
47 Helios Domzale61517%71.576.3-4.8
48 Kumanovo61517%77.386.0-8.7
49 MBK Komarno61517%76.786.7-10.0
50 Soproni KC61517%68.280.0-11.8
51 Inter Bratislava61517%78.390.8-12.5
52 KTP Kotka Basket61517%71.394.5-23.2
53 BC Kalev/Cramo6060%76.280.8-4.7
54 Leiden6060%58.575.2-16.7
55 ETHA Engomi6060%62.885.8-23.0
56 Hibernia6060%57.598.0-40.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 56 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minsk1820321484
Varese1524193189
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