Caserta vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2016

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 70-77

17-23 26-17 13-21 14-16

Position#13

Record6-9

FormLLWWL

Points / game70.2

Allowed / game73.1

Caserta

Varese 🏆

Position#8

Record6-9

FormWLWLW

Points / game72.5

Allowed / game78.5

Lega ARound 16

Domestic2015-16

Meetings · Caserta v Varese

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Varese winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Capo d'Orlando

#16

78-66

+12

H08/11

Lega A

Pistoia

84-93 OT

-9

A15/11

Lega A

Cantu

#11

71-73

-2

H22/11

Lega A

Venezia

58-65

-7

A29/11

Lega A

Pesaro

#12

73-69

H06/12

Lega A

Sassari

70-86

-16

H13/12

Lega A

Reggiana

62-87

-25

A20/12

Lega A

Avellino

70-62

A23/12

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

80-75

H27/12

Lega A

Trento

66-71

-5

A03/01

Lega A

11-13

21-14

18-30

28-9

16-25

23-22

20-13

20-19

16-17

28-26

14-16

13-14

12-19

17-18

12-14

17-14

15-16

18-17

24-17

16-19

11-19

19-27

20-23

20-17

18-23

10-15

19-28

15-21

10-24

13-20

29-9

18-9

18-20

13-13

21-19

28-23

19-22

16-12

12-13

19-24

145.9Avg total

71.2Scored

74.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	70.2	73.1	143.3	-2.9	40%
Season at home (7)	72.1	73.4	145.6	-1.3	43%
Season away (8)	68.5	72.9	141.4	-4.4	38%
Last 10 (10)	71.2	74.7	145.9	-3.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	69.6	76.2	145.8	-6.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	71.6	74.6	146.2	-3.1	36%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	73.6	73.9	147.5	-0.3	53%
vs Weaker (1)	70.0	80.0	150.0	-10.0	0%

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sodertalje

#29

76-61

+15

H02/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Avellino

81-93

-12

H07/12

Lega A

Pistoia

65-67

-2

A13/12

Lega A

Minsk

94-63

+31

H16/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Venezia

58-84

-26

A20/12

Lega A

Cremona

87-82 OT

H23/12

Lega A

Reggiana

69-86

-17

A27/12

Lega A

Cantu

#11

79-66

+13

H03/01

Lega A

AEK Larnaca

#25

61-65

-4

A06/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Gussing Knights

#35

85-81

H13/01

FIBA Europe Cup

23-21

18-20

20-14

15-6

22-31

24-24

13-20

22-18

15-11

18-18

16-12

16-26

27-17

15-21

23-10

29-15

17-18

12-20

20-28

9-18

23-9

17-11

15-22

16-29

11-27

16-12

15-33

27-14

20-21

25-13

19-18

15-14

20-10

16-13

10-20

15-22

25-16

14-18

20-16

26-31

150.3Avg total

75.5Scored

74.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	72.5	78.5	150.9	-6.0	40%
Season at home (8)	78.8	77.4	156.1	+1.4	62%
Season away (7)	65.3	79.7	145.0	-14.4	14%
Last 10 (10)	75.5	74.8	150.3	+0.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	76.2	76.0	152.2	+0.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	69.8	85.0	154.8	-15.2	17%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	77.7	75.1	152.8	+2.6	58%
vs Weaker (5)	82.8	75.6	158.4	+7.2	60%

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CasertaVarese

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	18.5	36.3	-0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.4	17.2	34.6	+0.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	19.6	37.8	-1.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.6	19.8	34.4	-5.2	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	21.6	36.8	-6.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.3	19.4	37.7	-1.1	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	16.5	17.1	33.6	-0.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	30.0	27.0	57.0	+3.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	19.4	39.9	+1.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	19.1	38.4	+0.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.1	38.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.6	36.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.7	24.2	42.8	-5.5	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	20.4	17.3	37.7	+3.1	58%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.0	20.6	40.6	-0.6	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	18.5	36.3	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	18.7	38.8	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.9	18.2	34.2	-2.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	18.4	36.2	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	17.4	31.6	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	16.7	18.6	35.4	-1.9	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.3	18.3	37.5	+1.0	53%	-
vs Weaker (1)	13.0	19.0	32.0	-6.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.1	36.9	+0.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	17.9	37.4	+1.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	18.4	36.4	-0.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	17.0	34.5	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	13.4	31.0	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.7	19.3	37.0	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.2	17.7	36.8	+1.5	37%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.6	18.4	37.0	+0.2	20%	-

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Capo d'Orlando

#16

32-27

H08/11

Lega A

Pistoia

39-47

-8

A15/11

Lega A

Cantu

#11

44-43

H22/11

Lega A

Venezia

29-37

-8

A29/11

Lega A

Pesaro

#12

33-33

H06/12

Lega A

Sassari

30-46

-16

H13/12

Lega A

Reggiana

28-38

-10

A20/12

Lega A

Avellino

23-44

-21

A23/12

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

31-33

-2

H27/12

Lega A

Trento

35-34

A03/01

Lega A

70.6Avg total

32.4Scored

38.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.7	37.0	72.6	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.5	35.9	73.4	+1.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.1	37.9	71.9	-3.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.4	38.2	70.6	-5.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.4	39.0	68.4	-9.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	35.0	38.1	73.1	-3.1	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	35.8	35.3	71.1	+0.5	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	43.0	46.0	89.0	-3.0	0%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sodertalje

#29

41-41

H02/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Avellino

46-55

-9

H07/12

Lega A

Pistoia

33-29

A13/12

Lega A

Minsk

42-38

H16/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Venezia

29-38

-9

A20/12

Lega A

Cremona

40-20

+20

H23/12

Lega A

Reggiana

27-39

-12

A27/12

Lega A

Cantu

#11

45-34

+11

H03/01

Lega A

AEK Larnaca

#25

36-23

+13

A06/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Gussing Knights

#35

39-34

H13/01

FIBA Europe Cup

72.9Avg total

37.8Scored

35.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	37.4	76.1	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.9	37.3	77.2	+2.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.4	37.4	74.8	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	35.1	72.9	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	30.0	67.4	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	36.3	43.5	79.8	-7.2	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	39.5	35.0	74.5	+4.5	63%	-
vs Weaker (5)	38.6	39.0	77.6	-0.4	40%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	18.8	36.5	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	20.1	38.1	-2.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.2	17.8	35.0	-0.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	18.2	37.1	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.9	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	17.3	18.3	35.6	-1.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	13.0	21.0	34.0	-8.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.4	38.4	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	16.9	36.8	+3.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	22.2	40.4	-4.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	19.3	36.4	-2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	21.8	37.6	-6.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.5	25.0	42.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	18.8	18.1	36.8	+0.7	53%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.0	17.6	39.6	+4.4	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	17.9	36.5	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.8	17.8	36.6	+1.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	18.0	36.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	16.9	36.3	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.2	17.4	35.6	+0.9	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.3	18.7	38.0	+0.5	47%	-
vs Weaker (1)	14.0	13.0	27.0	+1.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.1	38.7	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	20.4	40.1	-0.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.5	19.7	37.2	-2.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.3	38.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.0	41.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.0	16.5	32.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	18.6	21.5	40.1	-2.9	32%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.2	19.0	41.2	+3.2	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.2	36.7	73.0	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.9	37.9	74.7	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.7	35.8	71.4	-0.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	35.1	73.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	37.2	77.4	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	36.6	36.6	73.1	+0.0	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	36.5	37.1	73.6	-0.5	47%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	34.0	61.0	-7.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	39.4	77.2	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.6	37.2	76.8	+2.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.6	41.9	77.6	-6.3	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	38.6	74.7	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	43.8	79.4	-8.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	33.5	41.5	75.0	-8.0	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	37.4	39.5	76.9	-2.2	32%	-
vs Weaker (5)	44.2	36.6	80.8	+7.6	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Caserta wins

Varese wins

Date	Game	Score
04/10/15	Varese v Caserta	51-58
12/04/15	Varese v Caserta	84-80
21/12/14	Caserta v Varese	78-82
06/04/14	Varese v Caserta	72-67
22/12/13	Caserta v Varese	86-80
03/03/13	Varese v Caserta	74-62
04/11/12	Caserta v Varese	56-73
26/02/12	Caserta v Varese	87-91
06/11/11	Varese v Caserta	85-82
03/04/11	Varese v Caserta	92-77

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/01/16	A	Trento	66-71
27/12/15	H	Brindisi	80-75
23/12/15	A	Avellino	70-62
20/12/15	A	Reggiana	62-87
13/12/15	H	Sassari	70-86
06/12/15	H	Pesaro	73-69
29/11/15	A	Venezia	58-65
22/11/15	H	Cantu	71-73
15/11/15	A	Pistoia	84-93 OT
08/11/15	H	Capo d'Orlando	78-66

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/01/16	H	Gussing Knights	85-81
06/01/16	A	AEK Larnaca	61-65
03/01/16	H	Cantu	79-66
27/12/15	A	Reggiana	69-86
23/12/15	H	Cremona	87-82 OT
20/12/15	A	Venezia	58-84
16/12/15	H	Minsk	94-63
13/12/15	A	Pistoia	65-67
07/12/15	H	Avellino	81-93
02/12/15	H	Sodertalje	76-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	40%
Home	WLWLW	43%
Away	LLLWL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	40%	43%	38%
Points / game	70.2	72.1	68.5
Allowed / game	73.1	73.4	72.9
Point differential	-2.9	-1.3	-4.4
Avg total	143.3	145.6	141.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	14%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	50% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	13%	0%	25%

Varese

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	40%
Home	WWLWW	62%
Away	LLLLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	40%	62%	14%
Points / game	72.5	78.8	65.3
Allowed / game	78.5	77.4	79.7
Point differential	-6.0	+1.4	-14.4
Avg total	150.9	156.1	145.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	13%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	7%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	16	12	4	75%	81.9	69.6	+12.3
2	Reggiana	15	11	4	73%	79.4	72.0	+7.4
3	Pistoia	15	10	5	67%	79.1	76.7	+2.4
4	Cremona	15	10	5	67%	76.1	73.9	+2.3
5	Trento	16	10	6	62%	76.7	73.7	+3.0
6	Sassari	15	9	6	60%	82.9	79.8	+3.1
7	Venezia	15	8	7	53%	77.1	74.1	+3.0
8	Brindisi	15	7	8	47%	78.0	78.3	-0.3
9	Avellino	15	7	8	47%	75.5	76.4	-0.9
10	Cantu	15	6	9	40%	81.7	82.5	-0.8
11	Caserta	15	6	9	40%	70.2	73.1	-2.9
12	Varese	15	6	9	40%	72.5	78.5	-6.0
13	Virtus Bologna	15	5	10	33%	72.1	77.1	-4.9
14	Torino	15	5	10	33%	75.9	81.5	-5.7
15	Pesaro	15	5	10	33%	72.7	78.5	-5.8
16	Capo d'Orlando	15	4	11	27%	66.8	74.0	-7.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Caserta	17	26	13	14	70
Varese	23	17	21	16	77

← all games of the day

Caserta vs Varese Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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