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Mississippi St. vs Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 78-76
37-41 41-35
Position#171
Record11-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game63.9
vs
Position#147
Record11-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game74.4
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Mississippi St. v Alabama
02 Jan 2027
MISS v ALAB
upcoming
13 Jan 2026
MISS82
ALAB97
29 Jan 2025
MISS84
ALAB88
13 Jan 2024
MISS74
ALAB82
28 Dec 2022
MISS67
ALAB78
15 Jan 2022
MISS78
ALAB76
27 Feb 2021
MISS59
ALAB64
25 Feb 2020
MISS80
ALAB73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mississippi St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#92
W
82-71 OT
82
71
+11
H27/11
NCAA
Lamar
#365
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H03/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H05/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A11/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
W
79-50
79
50
+29
H15/12
NCAA
Furman
#105
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H18/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#53
W
84-63
84
63
+21
H22/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H29/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#263
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A09/01
NCAA
Georgia
#353
W
88-72
88
72
+16
H13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-29
30-37
38-30
37-30
32-35
44-46
29-27
34-39
43-22
36-28
35-24
34-42
47-28
37-35
33-31
48-37
36-50
36-32
35-36
53-36
144.8Avg total
76.9Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)75.463.9139.3+11.573%
Season at home (13)76.662.4139.0+14.285%
Season away (2)67.574.0141.5-6.50%
Last 10 (10)76.967.9144.8+9.070%
Last 5 (5)78.870.2149.0+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)60.874.5135.3-13.717%
vs Similar ◀ (14)73.162.3135.4+10.879%
vs Weaker (9)73.365.9139.2+7.467%
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#58
W
96-64
96
64
+32
H28/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A05/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H12/12
NCAA
Memphis
#78
L
78-92
78
92
-14
A15/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#73
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H19/12
NCAA
Davidson
#17
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H22/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H30/12
NCAA
Florida
#131
W
83-70
83
70
+13
A06/01
NCAA
Missouri
#288
L
86-92
86
92
-6
A08/01
NCAA
Auburn
#11
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-30
63-34
51-35
40-47
44-41
39-41
32-37
46-55
29-28
36-31
35-41
43-38
33-33
40-35
36-39
47-31
43-40
43-52
35-40
42-41
157.9Avg total
81.0Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.174.4156.6+7.769%
Season at home (10)82.871.2154.0+11.680%
Season away (6)81.079.8160.8+1.250%
Last 10 (10)81.076.9157.9+4.160%
Last 5 (5)79.478.0157.4+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.675.9159.4+7.778%
vs Similar ◀ (9)77.271.6148.8+5.767%
vs Weaker (12)81.671.8153.4+9.875%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +3.4+3.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +3.4+3.4
Mississippi St.Alabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#92
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H27/11
NCAA
Lamar
#365
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H03/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H05/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A11/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
W
43-22
43
22
+21
H15/12
NCAA
Furman
#105
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H18/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#53
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H22/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H29/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#263
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A09/01
NCAA
Georgia
#353
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H13/01
NCAA
67.6Avg total
36.4Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.031.565.5+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.530.766.2+4.863%-
Last 30 away (11)31.532.864.3-1.455%-
Last 10 (10)36.431.267.6+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)37.233.871.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)28.234.562.7-6.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.328.965.1+7.486%-
vs Weaker (9)34.434.168.6+0.344%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#58
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H28/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A05/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H12/12
NCAA
Memphis
#78
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A15/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#73
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H19/12
NCAA
Davidson
#17
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H22/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H30/12
NCAA
Florida
#131
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A06/01
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A08/01
NCAA
Auburn
#11
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H12/01
NCAA
73.5Avg total
37.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.034.271.3+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.633.871.4+3.868%-
Last 30 away (11)36.135.071.1+1.155%-
Last 10 (10)37.136.473.5+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)36.438.675.0-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.035.874.8+3.256%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)34.433.968.3+0.656%-
vs Weaker (12)37.533.370.8+4.275%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mississippi St. wins
4
Alabama wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/22HGeorgia88-72
09/01/22AOle Miss72-82
29/12/21HArkansas81-68
22/12/21HWinthrop84-63
18/12/21HFurman69-66
15/12/21HGeorgia State79-50
11/12/21AColorado State63-66
05/12/21HMinnesota76-81
03/12/21HLamar75-60
27/11/21HRichmond Spiders82-71 OT
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/22HAuburn77-81
08/01/22AMissouri86-92
06/01/22AFlorida83-70
30/12/21HTennessee73-68
22/12/21HDavidson78-79
19/12/21HJacksonville State65-59
15/12/21AMemphis78-92
12/12/21HHouston83-82
05/12/21AGonzaga91-82
28/11/21HMiami (FL)96-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mississippi St.
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW73%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15132
Win %73%85%0%
Points / game75.476.667.5
Allowed / game63.962.474.0
Point differential+11.5+14.2-6.5
Avg total139.3139.0141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%77%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %7%8%0%
Alabama
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL69%
HomeWWLWL80%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %69%80%50%
Points / game82.182.881.0
Allowed / game74.471.279.8
Point differential+7.7+11.6+1.2
Avg total156.6154.0160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Auburn1615194%80.665.6+15.0
2 LSU1715288%75.157.0+18.1
3 Texas A&M1715288%76.062.9+13.1
4 Kentucky1714382%84.063.1+20.9
5 Texas1713476%70.454.5+15.8
6 Mississippi St.1511473%75.463.9+11.5
7 Oklahoma1712571%72.462.1+10.3
8 Arkansas1712571%79.669.4+10.2
9 Tennessee1611569%75.563.6+11.9
10 Alabama1611569%82.174.4+7.7
11 Florida1610662%72.563.4+9.1
12 South Carolina1610662%71.967.6+4.4
13 Vanderbilt159660%70.063.5+6.5
14 Ole Miss159660%69.264.4+4.8
15 Missouri167944%66.672.4-5.9
16 Georgia1651131%71.175.2-4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mississippi St.374178
Alabama413576
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