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Mississippi St. vs Alabama Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#99
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game67.5
vs
Position#45
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game76.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Mississippi St. v Alabama
02 Jan 2027
MISS v ALAB
upcoming
13 Jan 2026
MISS82
ALAB97
29 Jan 2025
MISS84
ALAB88
13 Jan 2024
MISS74
ALAB82
28 Dec 2022
MISS67
ALAB78
15 Jan 2022
MISS78
ALAB76
27 Feb 2021
MISS59
ALAB64
25 Feb 2020
MISS80
ALAB73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mississippi St. win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#278
L
89-97
89
97
-8
A21/02
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
75-100
75
100
-25
A26/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
64-88
64
88
-24
H28/02
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
74-108
74
108
-34
A04/03
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
96-102
96
102
-6
H07/03
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A11/03
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#224
W
106-88
106
88
+18
H03/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#339
W
82-44
82
44
+38
H06/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#273
W
98-57
98
57
+41
H10/11
NCAA
Xavier
#7
L
63-81
63
81
-18
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-46
50-51
33-63
42-37
23-54
41-34
35-47
39-61
47-42
49-60
33-30
28-49
53-37
53-51
49-27
33-17
51-29
47-28
31-41
32-40
165.2Avg total
80.8Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.267.5154.8+19.875%
Season at home (4)87.267.5154.8+19.875%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.884.4165.2-3.630%
Last 5 (5)82.069.8151.8+12.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)74.685.2159.8-10.725%
vs Similar ◀ (7)82.673.1155.7+9.471%
vs Weaker (3)95.363.0158.3+32.3100%
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#68
L
88-98
88
98
-10
A03/03
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
96-84
96
84
+12
H08/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
79-80
79
80
-1
H13/03
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
W
90-70
90
70
+20
H20/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H23/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A27/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#226
W
96-74
96
74
+22
H04/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#229
W
101-86
101
86
+15
H07/11
NCAA
Oakland
#345
W
109-68
109
68
+41
H10/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#130
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-50
45-48
50-31
46-53
41-47
38-33
37-35
53-35
49-25
41-40
49-47
28-43
40-29
56-45
51-34
50-52
56-29
53-39
38-28
44-48
169.9Avg total
90.8Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)97.076.0173.0+21.0100%
Season at home (4)97.076.0173.0+21.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.879.1169.9+11.770%
Last 5 (5)93.078.8171.8+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.395.3171.7-19.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)91.284.9176.1+6.471%
vs Weaker (13)93.777.9171.6+15.892%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +9.9+9.92nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +1.8+1.8
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +9.9+9.92nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +1.8+1.8
Mississippi St.Alabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#278
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A21/02
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
33-63
33
63
-30
A26/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
23-54
23
54
-31
H28/02
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A04/03
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H07/03
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A11/03
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#224
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H03/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#339
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H06/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#273
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H10/11
NCAA
Xavier
#7
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H14/11
NCAA
81.0Avg total
39.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.537.775.2-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.236.373.5+0.856%-
Last 30 away (12)37.939.877.8-1.942%-
Last 10 (10)39.441.681.0-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.432.876.2+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)35.140.475.5-5.235%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.333.171.4+5.171%-
vs Weaker (3)51.031.082.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#68
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A03/03
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H08/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H13/03
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H23/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A27/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#226
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H04/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#229
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H07/11
NCAA
Oakland
#345
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H10/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#130
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H14/11
NCAA
80.9Avg total
45.4Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.837.481.3+6.467%-
Last 30 at home (20)46.835.482.2+11.480%-
Last 30 away (10)38.041.579.5-3.540%-
Last 10 (10)45.435.580.9+9.980%-
Last 5 (5)46.833.480.2+13.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.044.086.0-2.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.939.683.5+4.450%-
vs Weaker (13)44.233.677.8+10.585%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mississippi St. wins
10
Alabama wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HXavier63-81
10/11/26HJackson State98-57
06/11/26HNorthwestern St.82-44
03/11/26HTennessee Tech106-88
11/03/26AAuburn61-79
07/03/26HGeorgia96-102
04/03/26AFlorida74-108
28/02/26HMissouri64-88
26/02/26AAlabama75-100
21/02/26ASouth Carolina89-97
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSeton Hall82-76
10/11/26HOakland109-68
07/11/26HArkansas State101-86
04/11/26HSam Houston St.96-74
27/03/26AMichigan77-90
23/03/26HTexas Tech90-65
20/03/26HHofstra90-70
13/03/26HOle Miss79-80
08/03/26HAuburn96-84
03/03/26AGeorgia88-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mississippi St.
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWWL75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game87.287.2-
Allowed / game67.567.5-
Point differential+19.8+19.8-
Avg total154.8154.8-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Alabama
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game97.097.0-
Allowed / game76.076.0-
Point differential+21.0+21.0-
Avg total173.0173.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas330100%100.057.0+43.0
2 Ole Miss330100%94.056.3+37.7
3 Texas A&M440100%99.267.2+32.0
4 LSU440100%90.859.5+31.2
5 Vanderbilt440100%90.260.2+30.0
6 South Carolina440100%78.856.5+22.2
7 Alabama440100%97.076.0+21.0
8 Florida440100%82.262.5+19.8
9 Tennessee330100%81.061.3+19.7
10 Georgia440100%81.870.2+11.5
11 Mississippi St.43175%87.267.5+19.8
12 Arkansas43175%83.267.8+15.5
13 Oklahoma43175%75.863.8+12.0
14 Kentucky43175%80.275.8+4.5
15 Missouri32167%97.066.0+31.0
16 Auburn32167%78.764.0+14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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