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Mississippi St. vs Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 81-68
33-31 48-37
Position#171
Record9-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game61.4
Mississippi St. 🏆
USA
vs
Arkansas
USA
Position#39
Record10-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game69.8
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Mississippi St. v Arkansas
07 Feb 2026
MISS68
ARKA88
17 Feb 2024
MISS71
ARKA67
29 Dec 2021
MISS81
ARKA68
22 Jan 2020
MISS77
ARKA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mississippi St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit
#215
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H18/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
W
66-46
66
46
+20
H21/11
NCAA
Louisville
#265
L
58-72
58
72
-14
H26/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
W
82-71 OT
82
71
+11
H27/11
NCAA
Lamar
#365
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H03/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H05/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A11/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
W
79-50
79
50
+29
H15/12
NCAA
Furman
#105
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H18/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#53
W
84-63
84
63
+21
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-31
38-33
29-28
37-18
25-41
33-31
36-29
30-37
38-30
37-30
32-35
44-46
29-27
34-39
43-22
36-28
35-24
34-42
47-28
37-35
136.8Avg total
72.9Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)74.261.4135.6+12.875%
Season at home (11)75.261.0136.2+14.282%
Season away (1)63.066.0129.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)72.963.9136.8+9.070%
Last 5 (5)74.265.2139.4+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)61.473.0134.4-11.612%
vs Similar ◀ (13)72.561.8134.3+10.677%
vs Weaker (8)74.461.9136.2+12.575%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#110
W
93-80
93
80
+13
H18/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#231
W
72-64
72
64
+8
A23/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#174
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H24/11
NCAA
Penn
#247
W
76-60
76
60
+16
H28/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#294
W
97-60
97
60
+37
H02/12
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H04/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#169
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H08/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#172
L
66-88
66
88
-22
H11/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#85
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H19/12
NCAA
Elon
#313
W
81-55
81
55
+26
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-38
53-42
42-24
30-40
26-30
47-37
37-26
39-34
41-35
56-25
49-34
44-44
41-31
45-35
33-39
33-49
32-40
49-49
38-26
43-29
152.5Avg total
81.8Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.569.8151.2+11.883%
Season at home (11)82.470.3152.6+12.182%
Season away (1)72.064.0136.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.870.7152.5+11.180%
Last 5 (5)81.475.2156.6+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.574.5153.0+4.050%
vs Similar ◀ (6)79.276.3155.5+2.867%
vs Weaker (22)79.968.4148.3+11.591%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +5.5+5.5
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +5.5+5.5
Mississippi St.Arkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit
#215
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H18/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H21/11
NCAA
Louisville
#265
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H26/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H27/11
NCAA
Lamar
#365
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H03/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H05/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A11/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
W
43-22
43
22
+21
H15/12
NCAA
Furman
#105
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H18/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#53
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H22/12
NCAA
64.8Avg total
35.3Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.930.764.6+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.130.266.3+5.967%-
Last 30 away (12)30.731.462.1-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)35.329.564.8+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)37.227.264.4+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)28.434.162.5-5.812%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.528.765.2+7.885%-
vs Weaker (8)35.431.166.5+4.262%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#110
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H18/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#231
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A23/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#174
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H24/11
NCAA
Penn
#247
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H28/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#294
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H02/12
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H04/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#169
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H08/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#172
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H11/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#85
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H19/12
NCAA
Elon
#313
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H22/12
NCAA
70.2Avg total
37.9Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.433.870.2+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (23)35.633.469.0+2.157%-
Last 30 away (7)39.335.074.3+4.357%-
Last 10 (10)37.932.370.2+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)38.634.072.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.039.576.5-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)36.535.371.8+1.267%-
vs Weaker (22)36.432.969.2+3.555%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mississippi St. wins
1
Arkansas wins
DateGameScore
03/02/21Arkansas v Mississippi St.61-45
15/02/20Arkansas v Mississippi St.77-78
23/01/20Mississippi St. v Arkansas77-70
Mississippi St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/21HWinthrop84-63
18/12/21HFurman69-66
15/12/21HGeorgia State79-50
11/12/21AColorado State63-66
05/12/21HMinnesota76-81
03/12/21HLamar75-60
27/11/21HRichmond Spiders82-71 OT
26/11/21HLouisville58-72
21/11/21HMorehead State66-46
18/11/21HDetroit77-64
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/21HElon81-55
19/12/21HHofstra81-89
11/12/21HOklahoma66-88
08/12/21HCharlotte86-66
04/12/21HUALR93-78
02/12/21HCentral Arkansas97-60
28/11/21HPenn76-60
24/11/21HCincinnati73-67
23/11/21AKansas State72-64
18/11/21HNorthern Iowa93-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mississippi St.
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW75%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12111
Win %75%82%0%
Points / game74.275.263.0
Allowed / game61.461.066.0
Point differential+12.8+14.2-3.0
Avg total135.6136.2129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%73%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%9%0%
Arkansas
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW83%
HomeWWLLW82%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12111
Win %83%82%100%
Points / game81.582.472.0
Allowed / game69.870.364.0
Point differential+11.8+12.1+8.0
Avg total151.2152.6136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%73%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LSU12120100%79.654.1+25.5
2 Auburn1211192%81.164.9+16.2
3 Texas1210283%72.151.3+20.8
4 Oklahoma1210283%74.859.3+15.4
5 Texas A&M1210283%75.561.2+14.2
6 Arkansas1210283%81.569.8+11.8
7 Kentucky119282%83.362.0+21.3
8 Tennessee119282%78.459.3+19.1
9 Florida129375%74.059.9+14.1
10 Mississippi St.129375%74.261.4+12.8
11 Alabama129375%82.973.3+9.6
12 South Carolina129375%75.366.1+9.2
13 Vanderbilt128467%69.960.7+9.2
14 Ole Miss128467%70.463.4+7.0
15 Missouri126650%67.569.7-2.2
16 Georgia125742%70.872.1-1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mississippi St.334881
Arkansas313768
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