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Mississippi St. vs Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 71-67
34-29 37-38
Position#130
Record16-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game67.4
vs
Position#224
Record12-12
FormLWLWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game78.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mississippi St. v Arkansas
07 Feb 2026
MISS68
ARKA88
17 Feb 2024
MISS71
ARKA67
29 Dec 2021
MISS81
ARKA68
22 Jan 2020
MISS77
ARKA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mississippi St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#33
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H11/01
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H14/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A18/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
68-55
68
55
+13
H20/01
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A25/01
NCAA
Auburn
#22
W
64-58
64
58
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
82-86
82
86
-4
A31/01
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
67-99
67
99
-32
A04/02
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H08/02
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
75-51
75
51
+24
A11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-22
42-50
38-40
36-42
29-47
48-43
36-21
32-34
34-43
36-36
21-21
43-37
39-39
43-47
24-47
43-52
36-28
39-34
30-26
45-25
146.3Avg total
72.9Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)74.267.4141.6+6.967%
Season at home (15)76.363.5139.8+12.787%
Season away (9)70.973.8144.7-2.933%
Last 10 (10)72.973.4146.3-0.550%
Last 5 (5)72.671.2143.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.873.0139.8-6.250%
vs Similar (15)72.770.3143.0+2.347%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)74.361.5135.8+12.791%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#197
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A11/01
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
68-90
68
90
-22
A13/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H17/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H20/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
51-77
51
77
-26
A25/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H27/01
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A01/02
NCAA
LSU
#182
L
74-95
74
95
-21
A03/02
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H10/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
63-92
63
92
-29
H15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
24-34
42-42
33-46
35-44
46-32
32-45
27-39
37-38
26-38
25-39
26-24
31-39
47-28
44-56
30-45
44-50
34-29
44-46
40-46
23-46
149.6Avg total
69.0Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)75.578.4153.9-3.050%
Season at home (16)77.575.6153.1+1.969%
Season away (8)71.484.0155.4-12.612%
Last 10 (10)69.080.6149.6-11.630%
Last 5 (5)72.681.8154.4-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)72.780.8153.5-8.133%
vs Similar (14)75.774.5150.2+1.264%
vs Weaker (1)86.077.0163.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: -8.8-8.8
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: -8.8-8.8
Mississippi St.Arkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#33
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H11/01
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H14/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A18/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H20/01
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A25/01
NCAA
Auburn
#22
D
21-21
21
21
+0
H27/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A31/01
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A04/02
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A11/02
NCAA
65.6Avg total
32.2Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.531.464.9+2.055%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.028.164.1+7.976%-
Last 30 away (12)29.936.266.1-6.225%-
Last 10 (10)32.233.465.6-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)30.032.262.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)26.532.859.2-6.225%-
vs Similar (14)32.933.666.6-0.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)36.728.264.9+8.582%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#197
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A11/01
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A13/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H17/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H20/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A25/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H27/01
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A01/02
NCAA
LSU
#182
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A03/02
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H10/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H15/02
NCAA
69.4Avg total
33.3Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.434.769.1-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.733.268.8+2.567%-
Last 30 away (12)32.637.069.6-4.433%-
Last 10 (10)33.336.169.4-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)35.434.469.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)34.537.672.1-3.147%-
vs Similar (14)34.231.966.1+2.457%-
vs Weaker (1)37.031.068.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Mississippi St. wins
2
Arkansas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24AMissouri75-51
08/02/24HGeorgia75-62
04/02/24AAlabama67-99
31/01/24AOle Miss82-86
27/01/24HAuburn64-58
25/01/24AFlorida70-79
20/01/24HVanderbilt68-55
18/01/24AKentucky77-90
14/01/24HAlabama74-82
11/01/24HTennessee77-72
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/24HTennessee63-92
10/02/24HGeorgia78-75
03/02/24ALSU74-95
01/02/24AMissouri91-84
27/01/24HKentucky57-63
25/01/24AOle Miss51-77
20/01/24HSouth Carolina64-77
17/01/24HTexas A&M78-77
13/01/24AFlorida68-90
11/01/24AGeorgia66-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mississippi St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeWLWWW87%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %67%87%33%
Points / game74.276.370.9
Allowed / game67.463.573.8
Point differential+6.9+12.7-2.9
Avg total141.6139.8144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arkansas
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWLLWL69%
AwayLLLWL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24168
Win %50%69%12%
Points / game75.577.571.4
Allowed / game78.475.684.0
Point differential-3.0+1.9-12.6
Avg total153.9153.1155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Carolina2521484%72.165.4+6.7
2 Auburn2520580%83.166.9+16.2
3 Tennessee2418675%80.067.8+12.3
4 Ole Miss2418675%75.871.6+4.2
5 Alabama2518772%90.776.8+13.9
6 Oklahoma2518772%76.766.6+10.1
7 Florida2518772%84.876.8+7.9
8 Kentucky2417771%88.978.1+10.8
9 Mississippi St.2416867%74.267.4+6.9
10 Texas2516964%76.268.4+7.8
11 Texas A&M25151060%74.269.4+4.8
12 Georgia25141156%76.174.4+1.7
13 LSU24121250%77.874.8+3.0
14 Arkansas24121250%75.578.4-3.0
15 Missouri2481633%72.074.3-2.3
16 Vanderbilt2471729%66.973.7-6.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mississippi St.343771
Arkansas293867
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