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Mississippi St. vs Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 68-88
30-43 38-45
Position#257
Record12-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#36
Record16-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game77.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mississippi St. v Arkansas
07 Feb 2026
MISS68
ARKA88
17 Feb 2024
MISS71
ARKA67
29 Dec 2021
MISS81
ARKA68
22 Jan 2020
MISS77
ARKA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama State
#330
W
94-56
94
56
+38
H30/12
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
101-98 OT
101
98
+3
A03/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H08/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
68-92
68
92
-24
A11/01
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
82-97
82
97
-15
H14/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H18/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A22/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
56-88
56
88
-32
H24/01
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
80-66
80
66
+14
A29/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
49-31
45-25
48-43
38-43
27-27
45-26
39-44
29-48
34-36
48-61
30-27
37-41
33-44
35-44
30-51
26-37
44-21
36-45
35-42
44-42
155.7Avg total
76.7Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.577.5156.0+1.155%
Season at home (13)77.773.2150.8+4.562%
Season away (9)79.883.7163.4-3.944%
Last 10 (10)76.779.0155.7-2.340%
Last 5 (5)70.078.8148.8-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)77.183.8160.9-6.733%
vs Similar (12)80.477.4157.8+3.050%
vs Weaker (3)86.064.3150.3+21.7100%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#169
W
103-74
103
74
+29
H30/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H03/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
94-87
94
87
+7
A08/01
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
73-95
73
95
-22
A10/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
108-74
108
74
+34
H15/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
76-90
76
90
-14
A17/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
93-68
93
68
+25
H21/01
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H24/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A28/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
48-28
55-46
37-36
49-39
42-32
52-55
34-49
39-46
50-38
58-36
32-45
44-45
46-35
47-33
33-37
52-44
44-48
39-31
35-42
42-43
168.6Avg total
87.8Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)88.777.6166.3+11.173%
Season at home (17)91.875.7167.5+16.182%
Season away (5)78.484.0162.4-5.640%
Last 10 (10)87.880.8168.6+7.070%
Last 5 (5)82.880.6163.4+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.581.2159.8-2.825%
vs Similar (14)84.478.2162.6+6.271%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)90.175.2165.2+14.983%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +5.9+5.9
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +5.9+5.9
Mississippi St.Arkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama State
#330
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H30/12
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A03/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H08/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A11/01
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H14/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H18/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A22/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H24/01
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
44-21
44
21
+23
A29/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A31/01
NCAA
73.5Avg total
36.9Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.536.873.3-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.934.470.3+1.553%-
Last 30 away (13)37.339.977.2-2.631%-
Last 10 (10)36.936.673.5+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)34.437.071.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.538.875.3-2.333%-
vs Similar (12)35.935.371.2+0.650%-
vs Weaker (3)39.032.771.7+6.367%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#169
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H30/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H03/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A08/01
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A10/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H15/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A17/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H21/01
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H24/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A28/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H31/01
NCAA
79.1Avg total
40.1Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.336.978.2+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (19)44.035.779.7+8.374%-
Last 30 away (11)36.538.975.5-2.455%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.079.1+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.479.4-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.238.275.5-1.050%-
vs Similar (14)41.340.181.4+1.164%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.632.775.2+9.975%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mississippi St. wins
3
Arkansas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26AMissouri79-84
29/01/26ALSU80-66
24/01/26HVanderbilt56-88
22/01/26ATexas A&M68-88
18/01/26HOle Miss67-68
14/01/26HAlabama82-97
11/01/26AKentucky68-92
08/01/26HOklahoma72-53
03/01/26ATexas101-98 OT
30/12/25HAlabama State94-56
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HKentucky77-85
28/01/26AOklahoma83-79
24/01/26HLSU85-81
21/01/26HVanderbilt93-68
17/01/26AGeorgia76-90
15/01/26HSouth Carolina108-74
10/01/26AAuburn73-95
08/01/26AOle Miss94-87
03/01/26HTennessee86-75
30/12/25HJames Madison103-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mississippi St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL55%
HomeWWLLL62%
AwayWLLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %55%62%44%
Points / game78.577.779.8
Allowed / game77.573.283.7
Point differential+1.1+4.5-3.9
Avg total156.0150.8163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%31%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %14%15%11%
Arkansas
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL73%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22175
Win %73%82%40%
Points / game88.791.878.4
Allowed / game77.675.784.0
Point differential+11.1+16.1-5.6
Avg total166.3167.5162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%53%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt2219386%88.872.9+15.9
2 Texas A&M2217577%92.077.7+14.3
3 Florida2216673%86.371.4+14.9
4 Georgia2216673%92.377.6+14.7
5 Tennessee2216673%82.269.6+12.6
6 Arkansas2216673%88.777.6+11.1
7 Kentucky2316770%81.971.3+10.6
8 Alabama2215768%91.683.0+8.6
9 Missouri2215768%80.474.0+6.4
10 LSU2214864%82.874.4+8.5
11 Auburn2214864%84.477.6+6.7
12 Texas2314961%85.574.9+10.6
13 Mississippi St.22121055%78.577.5+1.1
14 Ole Miss22111150%74.171.8+2.3
15 Oklahoma23111248%82.677.1+5.5
16 South Carolina23111248%77.375.3+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mississippi St.303868
Arkansas434588
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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