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Missouri State vs Evansville Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 90-78
44-30 46-48
Position#198
Record5-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game65.3
vs
Position#225
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game61.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Missouri State v Evansville
12 Feb 2025
MISS71
EVAN54
29 Nov 2023
MISS90
EVAN78
04 Jan 2023
MISS85
EVAN62
29 Jan 2022
MISS72
EVAN58
31 Dec 2019
MISS65
EVAN52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Evansville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#182
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H22/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A26/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H03/03
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A04/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A07/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H14/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A18/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H20/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H21/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
46-34
38-35
34-25
32-37
34-30
40-27
30-25
21-29
30-24
29-43
39-27
45-42
42-29
28-32
33-27
23-25
45-37
42-32
44-32
48-42
135.7Avg total
72.3Scored
63.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.765.3140.0+9.383%
Season at home (4)79.866.0145.8+13.8100%
Season away (2)64.564.0128.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)72.363.4135.7+8.980%
Last 5 (5)77.865.0142.8+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)60.663.6124.1-3.057%
vs Similar ◀ (14)67.265.4132.6+1.850%
vs Weaker (9)73.364.4137.8+8.978%
This opponent (Evansville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#182
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A18/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H23/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
53-72
53
72
-19
A26/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
58-97
58
97
-39
A02/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H07/11
NCAA
St. Louis College of Pharmacy
#698
W
116-46
116
46
+70
H10/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
76-57
76
57
+19
A16/11
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
74-50
74
50
+24
H18/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
W
85-77 OT
85
77
+8
A24/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
93-74
93
74
+19
A25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
24-27
34-47
32-40
44-42
28-31
25-41
28-46
30-51
32-34
40-30
61-29
55-17
39-28
37-29
30-27
44-23
36-40
34-30
51-29
42-45
145.4Avg total
76.1Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.061.3147.3+24.7100%
Season at home (3)87.353.3140.7+34.0100%
Season away (3)84.769.3154.0+15.3100%
Last 10 (10)76.169.3145.4+6.860%
Last 5 (5)88.860.8149.6+28.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)64.377.3141.7-13.019%
vs Similar ◀ (1)72.064.0136.0+8.0100%
vs Weaker (3)95.059.0154.0+36.0100%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.7+8.71st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +3.0+3.0
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.7+8.71st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +3.0+3.0
Missouri StateEvansville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#182
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A26/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H03/03
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A04/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A07/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H14/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A18/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H20/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H21/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H25/11
NCAA
66.7Avg total
37.7Scored
29.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.730.964.7+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.630.466.1+5.275%-
Last 30 away (14)31.631.563.1+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)37.729.066.7+8.7100%-
Last 5 (5)40.630.471.0+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)28.431.660.0-3.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.031.767.7+4.364%-
vs Weaker (9)34.329.263.6+5.178%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#182
L
24-27
24
27
-3
A18/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H23/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A26/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A02/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H07/11
NCAA
St. Louis College of Pharmacy
#698
W
61-29
61
29
+32
H10/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A16/11
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H18/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A24/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A25/11
NCAA
69.2Avg total
36.1Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.236.667.8-5.423%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.635.468.0-2.827%-
Last 30 away (15)29.837.767.5-7.920%-
Last 10 (10)36.133.169.2+3.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.430.674.0+12.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)29.037.666.5-8.615%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)32.034.066.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker (3)50.328.779.0+21.7100%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Missouri State wins
1
Evansville wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23HSouth Carolina St92-74
21/11/23HAbilene Christian87-69
20/11/23HKent State56-52
18/11/23AFlorida Gulf Coast70-61
14/11/23HOral Roberts84-69
07/11/23AWest Virginia59-67
04/03/23ASouthern Illinois51-54
03/03/23HIllinois (Chi.)74-57
26/02/23AIndiana State66-62
22/02/23HMurray State84-69
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23ASoutheast Missouri State93-74
24/11/23AChattanooga Mocs85-77 OT
18/11/23HBall State74-50
16/11/23ASoutheast Missouri State76-57
10/11/23HSt. Louis College of Pharmacy116-46
07/11/23HMiami (FL)72-64
02/03/23AIndiana State58-97
26/02/23AIllinois State53-72
23/02/23HIllinois (Chi.)76-82
18/02/23AMurray State58-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%100%50%
Points / game74.779.864.5
Allowed / game65.366.064.0
Point differential+9.3+13.8+0.5
Avg total140.0145.8128.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Evansville
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.087.384.7
Allowed / game61.353.369.3
Point differential+24.7+34.0+15.3
Avg total147.3140.7154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty660100%85.860.8+25.0
2 Louisiana Tech65183%81.561.2+20.3
3 Missouri State65183%74.765.3+9.3
4 UTEP75271%83.469.1+14.3
5 Delaware75271%76.768.1+8.6
6 Kennesaw State74357%86.377.1+9.1
7 Western Kentucky74357%78.374.0+4.3
8 Sam Houston St.74357%75.172.3+2.9
9 Middle Tenn. St.84450%65.164.2+0.9
10 New Mexico State94544%72.971.2+1.7
11 Jacksonville State73443%70.963.9+7.0
12 Florida International92722%71.877.4-5.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Evansville660100%86.061.3+24.7
2 Bradley660100%75.567.7+7.8
3 Indiana State76186%87.473.0+14.4
4 Drake65183%80.272.7+7.5
5 Illinois (Chi.)75271%75.961.7+14.1
6 Southern Illinois64267%75.865.5+10.3
7 Valparaiso64267%71.366.3+5.0
8 Belmont74357%81.983.7-1.9
9 Illinois State63350%66.266.2+0.0
10 Murray State52340%77.673.2+4.4
11 Northern Iowa62433%74.070.2+3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State444690
Evansville304878
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