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Missouri State vs Evansville Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 71-54
36-26 35-28
Position#334
Record8-17
FormLLWLL
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game72.1
vs
Position#319
Record9-16
FormWWWLL
Points / game66.3
Allowed / game70.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Missouri State v Evansville
12 Feb 2025
MISS71
EVAN54
29 Nov 2023
MISS90
EVAN78
04 Jan 2023
MISS85
EVAN62
29 Jan 2022
MISS72
EVAN58
31 Dec 2019
MISS65
EVAN52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Evansville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
63-80
63
80
-17
H08/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
78-88 OT
78
88
-10
A12/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
51-73
51
73
-22
H16/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A18/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A22/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
62-69 OT
62
69
-7
H25/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A30/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
77-56
77
56
+21
H01/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H06/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
68-85
68
85
-17
A08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-36
36-44
27-35
45-37
18-35
33-38
31-25
37-49
31-37
37-42
25-35
30-20
36-25
31-47
43-19
34-37
30-34
31-32
44-45
24-40
140.5Avg total
66.3Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)69.472.1141.5-2.732%
Season at home (13)71.270.2141.4+1.146%
Season away (12)67.474.2141.7-6.817%
Last 10 (10)66.374.2140.5-7.910%
Last 5 (5)67.069.6136.6-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)65.070.4135.4-5.425%
vs Similar ◀ (16)71.574.1145.6-2.631%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Evansville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#141
W
69-51
69
51
+18
H09/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
40-63
40
63
-23
A11/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
56-73
56
73
-17
A15/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H18/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H23/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A25/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H30/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
80-75
80
75
+5
A02/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H06/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H09/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-30
35-21
20-25
20-38
18-32
38-41
37-39
45-46
32-47
35-31
44-26
34-42
20-25
58-49
37-38
43-37
23-38
36-30
25-43
49-37
139.8Avg total
68.3Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)66.370.6136.9-4.436%
Season at home (14)72.969.4142.3+3.643%
Season away (11)57.872.3130.1-14.527%
Last 10 (10)68.371.5139.8-3.240%
Last 5 (5)73.873.0146.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)63.574.3137.7-10.822%
vs Similar ◀ (4)60.853.5114.2+7.275%
vs Weaker (2)97.065.0162.0+32.0100%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: -5.3-5.32nd half2nd half: -4.8-4.82nd half: +2.1+2.1
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: -5.3-5.32nd half2nd half: -4.8-4.82nd half: +2.1+2.1
Missouri StateEvansville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H08/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A12/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
18-35
18
35
-17
H16/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A18/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A22/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H25/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A30/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
43-19
43
19
+24
H01/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H06/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A08/02
NCAA
63.8Avg total
31.2Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.632.263.7-0.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.531.763.2-0.243%-
Last 30 away (16)31.632.664.2-0.931%-
Last 10 (10)31.232.663.8-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)35.631.667.2+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)31.732.263.8-0.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)31.332.964.2-1.638%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Evansville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#141
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H09/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
20-25
20
25
-5
A11/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
18-32
18
32
-14
A15/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H18/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H23/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A25/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
20-25
20
25
-5
H30/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A02/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
23-38
23
38
-15
H06/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H09/02
NCAA
63.3Avg total
29.0Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.133.263.3-3.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.632.566.1+1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)26.633.960.5-7.320%-
Last 10 (10)29.034.363.3-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)29.834.063.8-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)29.034.963.9-6.030%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)28.227.555.8+0.875%-
vs Weaker (2)47.027.074.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Missouri State wins
2
Evansville wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25ABelmont68-85
06/02/25HNorthern Iowa61-66
01/02/25HMurray State77-56
30/01/25AIndiana State67-72
25/01/25HDrake62-69 OT
22/01/25ANorthern Iowa68-79
18/01/25AIllinois State68-74
16/01/25HSouthern Illinois51-73
12/01/25ASouthern Illinois78-88 OT
08/01/25HIllinois (Chi.)63-80
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25HBradley74-80
06/02/25HSouthern Illinois59-68
02/02/25ABelmont80-75
30/01/25HMurray State78-74
25/01/25AValparaiso78-68
23/01/25HIllinois (Chi.)67-78
18/01/25HBelmont82-85
15/01/25ANorthern Iowa56-73
11/01/25ADrake40-63
09/01/25HIllinois State69-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL32%
HomeLLLWL46%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %32%46%17%
Points / game69.471.267.4
Allowed / game72.170.274.2
Point differential-2.7+1.1-6.8
Avg total141.5141.4141.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %16%15%17%
Evansville
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL36%
HomeLLWLL43%
AwayWLLWW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %36%43%27%
Points / game66.372.957.8
Allowed / game70.669.472.3
Point differential-4.4+3.6-14.5
Avg total136.9142.3130.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%36%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2419579%77.061.8+15.3
2 Jacksonville State2417771%76.869.1+7.7
3 Louisiana Tech2417771%75.268.5+6.8
4 UTEP2316770%72.968.4+4.5
5 Middle Tenn. St.2416867%75.870.7+5.1
6 Kennesaw State24141058%77.974.0+4.0
7 Western Kentucky24141058%77.875.2+2.6
8 New Mexico State23121152%71.068.2+2.9
9 Delaware25121348%77.077.2-0.2
10 Sam Houston St.2481633%76.076.5-0.5
11 Florida International2481633%72.172.7-0.5
12 Missouri State2581732%69.472.1-2.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2422292%71.258.5+12.8
2 Bradley2620677%79.269.4+9.8
3 Belmont2517868%81.578.3+3.2
4 Northern Iowa2617965%74.967.5+7.4
5 Illinois State25151060%76.571.8+4.7
6 Illinois (Chi.)26151158%79.574.6+4.9
7 Murray State26131350%72.269.0+3.2
8 Indiana State26121446%79.879.4+0.3
9 Southern Illinois26121446%72.873.5-0.7
10 Valparaiso25101540%75.474.8+0.7
11 Evansville2591636%66.370.6-4.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State363571
Evansville262854
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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