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Missouri State vs Evansville Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 85-62
40-25 45-37
Position#177
Record7-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game65.4
Allowed / game61.2
vs
Position#365
Record4-11
FormWLWLL
Points / game62.0
Allowed / game72.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Missouri State v Evansville
12 Feb 2025
MISS71
EVAN54
29 Nov 2023
MISS90
EVAN78
04 Jan 2023
MISS85
EVAN62
29 Jan 2022
MISS72
EVAN58
31 Dec 2019
MISS65
EVAN52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Evansville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#103
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A26/11
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A27/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
66-51
66
51
+15
A01/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H04/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A08/12
NCAA
IPFW
#173
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H11/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A17/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
79-58
79
58
+21
H18/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
79-67
79
67
+12
A29/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-35
26-32
33-33
43-31
32-26
34-25
18-26
22-32
21-26
25-40
29-30
32-35
32-45
45-35
40-30
39-28
40-29
39-38
30-23
22-26
126.5Avg total
64.0Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)65.461.2126.6+4.150%
Season at home (6)64.854.7119.5+10.267%
Season away (8)65.866.1131.9-0.438%
Last 10 (10)64.062.5126.5+1.550%
Last 5 (5)69.663.8133.4+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)53.863.2117.0-9.525%
vs Similar (9)67.165.1132.2+2.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)76.966.1143.0+10.787%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#166
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H25/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H26/11
NCAA
Fairfield
#267
L
56-63
56
63
-7
H28/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
53-80
53
80
-27
H01/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
55-72
55
72
-17
A03/12
NCAA
Campbell
#225
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H08/12
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A10/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H22/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
63-91
63
91
-28
A30/12
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
61-78
61
78
-17
H01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-37
30-41
25-37
29-16
27-28
29-35
21-41
32-39
20-38
35-34
31-28
41-38
28-42
41-46
30-39
43-22
22-39
41-52
21-41
40-37
135.3Avg total
62.3Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)62.072.3134.3-10.327%
Season at home (8)62.168.2130.4-6.138%
Season away (7)61.977.0138.9-15.114%
Last 10 (10)62.373.0135.3-10.730%
Last 5 (5)67.676.8144.4-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)59.973.2133.1-13.320%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -10.8-10.82nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +0.1+0.1
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -10.8-10.82nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +0.1+0.1
Missouri StateEvansville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#103
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A26/11
NCAA
Oakland
#270
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A27/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A01/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
18-26
18
26
-8
H04/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
L
21-26
21
26
-5
A08/12
NCAA
IPFW
#173
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H11/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A17/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H18/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A29/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H01/01
NCAA
61.6Avg total
31.3Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.131.465.4+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.428.864.2+6.679%-
Last 30 away (16)32.933.666.5-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)31.330.361.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)34.231.465.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)25.230.055.2-4.825%-
vs Similar (9)33.830.264.0+3.656%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)35.031.866.8+3.273%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#166
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H25/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H26/11
NCAA
Fairfield
#267
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H28/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H01/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
20-38
20
38
-18
A03/12
NCAA
Campbell
#225
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H08/12
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A10/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H22/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A30/12
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H01/01
NCAA
63.2Avg total
26.2Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)26.035.161.1-9.117%-
Last 30 at home (15)25.434.459.8-9.07%-
Last 30 away (15)26.635.962.5-9.327%-
Last 10 (10)26.237.063.2-10.810%-
Last 5 (5)26.437.864.2-11.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)26.035.161.1-9.117%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Missouri State wins
1
Evansville wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/23HDrake52-49
29/12/22ANorthern Iowa79-67
18/12/22HCentral Michigan79-58
17/12/22AOral Roberts77-80
11/12/22HIPFW61-65
08/12/22ASt. Marys (CA)46-66
04/12/22HBradley40-58
01/12/22AIllinois (Chi.)66-51
27/11/22AOakland76-64
26/11/22ABall State64-67
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/23HMurray State61-78
30/12/22AIndiana State63-91
22/12/22HBellarmine73-61
10/12/22ABall State69-88
08/12/22HCampbell72-66
03/12/22ANorthern Iowa55-72
01/12/22HSouthern Illinois53-80
28/11/22HFairfield56-63
26/11/22HRobert Morris54-53
25/11/22HSouth Alabama67-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayWWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %50%67%38%
Points / game65.464.865.8
Allowed / game61.254.766.1
Point differential+4.1+10.2-0.4
Avg total126.6119.5131.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Evansville
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL27%
HomeLLWWL38%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %27%38%14%
Points / game62.062.161.9
Allowed / game72.368.277.0
Point differential-10.3-6.1-15.1
Avg total134.3130.4138.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sam Houston St.1411379%78.955.3+23.6
2 Liberty1511473%76.259.7+16.5
3 Kennesaw State1510567%72.966.7+6.1
4 Middle Tenn. St.149564%71.165.7+5.4
5 Western Kentucky138562%74.767.5+7.2
6 Delaware159660%70.770.7-0.1
7 Louisiana Tech148657%77.768.2+9.5
8 UTEP148657%70.367.2+3.1
9 Missouri State147750%65.461.2+4.1
10 New Mexico State157847%76.167.9+8.2
11 Jacksonville State157847%71.871.0+0.8
12 Florida International136746%73.475.5-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1511473%81.270.1+11.1
2 Drake1511473%73.564.0+9.5
3 Southern Illinois1511473%68.160.5+7.6
4 Bradley1510567%69.358.7+10.5
5 Belmont159660%74.171.5+2.6
6 Illinois (Chi.)159660%66.967.5-0.7
7 Murray State148657%71.468.6+2.7
8 Northern Iowa157847%69.666.1+3.5
9 Illinois State156940%66.268.3-2.1
10 Valparaiso1661038%68.273.1-4.8
11 Evansville1541127%62.072.3-10.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State404585
Evansville253762
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