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Missouri State vs Evansville Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 72-58
28-21 44-37
Position#49
Record15-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game67.9
vs
Position#349
Record5-14
FormLLLWL
Points / game59.3
Allowed / game68.4
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Missouri State v Evansville
12 Feb 2025
MISS71
EVAN54
29 Nov 2023
MISS90
EVAN78
04 Jan 2023
MISS85
EVAN62
29 Jan 2022
MISS72
EVAN58
31 Dec 2019
MISS65
EVAN52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Evansville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Marys (CA)
#35
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A23/12
NCAA
Evangel
#594
W
103-56
103
56
+47
H30/12
NCAA
Drake
#64
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H03/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H08/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H13/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
74-57
74
57
+17
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
88-63
88
63
+25
H20/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A22/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A26/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-33
22-42
52-30
51-26
23-29
38-27
41-33
30-36
34-33
50-52
36-34
45-42
34-26
40-31
44-34
44-29
35-33
44-36
29-41
43-35
145.3Avg total
77.1Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.867.9146.7+10.968%
Season at home (13)81.268.7149.8+12.569%
Season away (9)75.366.8142.1+8.667%
Last 10 (10)77.168.2145.3+8.970%
Last 5 (5)78.868.2147.0+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)69.071.0140.0-2.00%
vs Similar (9)71.063.0134.0+8.078%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)78.768.4147.1+10.368%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#187
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H02/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H04/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A09/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
61-83
61
83
-22
A02/01
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H08/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
L
47-79
47
79
-32
A13/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
48-77
48
77
-29
H19/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
L
56-94
56
94
-38
A22/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H23/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
59-64
59
64
-5
H27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
17-32
35-22
28-23
31-28
38-40
35-35
33-40
28-43
33-27
26-33
24-36
23-43
24-30
24-47
34-44
22-50
19-25
37-28
27-35
32-29
126.0Avg total
57.0Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)59.368.4127.7-9.126%
Season at home (11)57.359.9117.2-2.636%
Season away (8)62.180.0142.1-17.912%
Last 10 (10)57.069.0126.0-12.020%
Last 5 (5)53.273.4126.6-20.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)60.672.5133.0-11.912%
vs Similar (3)66.052.3118.3+13.7100%
vs Weaker (1)60.040.0100.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: -5.5-5.52nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: -6.5-6.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: -5.5-5.52nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: -6.5-6.5
Missouri StateEvansville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Marys (CA)
#35
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A23/12
NCAA
Evangel
#594
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H30/12
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H03/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A06/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H08/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H13/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H20/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A22/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A26/01
NCAA
69.0Avg total
36.4Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.930.667.5+6.377%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.729.966.6+6.876%-
Last 30 away (13)37.231.568.8+5.777%-
Last 10 (10)36.432.669.0+3.880%-
Last 5 (5)35.633.669.2+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.040.077.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (9)33.829.263.0+4.678%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)37.630.868.4+6.879%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#187
L
17-32
17
32
-15
H02/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H04/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A09/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A02/01
NCAA
Drake
#64
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H08/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A13/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H19/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A22/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
L
19-25
19
25
-6
H23/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H27/01
NCAA
60.9Avg total
27.7Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.832.861.5-4.030%-
Last 30 at home (16)28.230.758.9-2.538%-
Last 30 away (14)29.435.164.6-5.721%-
Last 10 (10)27.733.260.9-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)25.634.059.6-8.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)28.233.862.0-5.620%-
vs Similar (3)33.028.061.0+5.067%-
vs Weaker (1)23.019.042.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Missouri State wins
1
Evansville wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/22AIndiana State72-76
22/01/22ALoyola Chicago79-69
20/01/22HIllinois State88-63
15/01/22AValparaiso74-57
13/01/22HSouthern Illinois81-76
08/01/22HNorthern Iowa84-85
06/01/22ABradley71-69
03/01/22HDrake61-56
30/12/21HEvangel103-56
23/12/21ASt. Marys (CA)58-75
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/22HNorthern Iowa59-64
23/01/22HIllinois State56-53
22/01/22AIllinois State56-94
19/01/22HLoyola Chicago48-77
13/01/22ABradley47-79
08/01/22HDrake59-60
02/01/22ANorthern Iowa61-83
09/12/21ASoutheast Missouri State73-75
04/12/21HTennessee Tech59-51
02/12/21HSouthern Illinois52-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL68%
HomeWWLWW69%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %68%69%67%
Points / game78.881.275.3
Allowed / game67.968.766.8
Point differential+10.9+12.5+8.6
Avg total146.7149.8142.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%46%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Evansville
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL26%
HomeWLLWL36%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %26%36%12%
Points / game59.357.362.1
Allowed / game68.459.980.0
Point differential-9.1-2.6-17.9
Avg total127.7117.2142.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%18%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico State1916384%75.166.9+8.2
2 Louisiana Tech2116576%78.067.5+10.5
3 Jacksonville State2115671%75.967.4+8.5
4 Middle Tenn. St.2014670%74.766.2+8.4
5 Missouri State2215768%78.867.9+10.9
6 Delaware2215768%75.771.1+4.6
7 Liberty2114767%73.160.5+12.7
8 UTEP2012860%68.564.8+3.7
9 Sam Houston St.23131057%70.464.7+5.7
10 Western Kentucky21101148%76.370.7+5.6
11 Kennesaw State2091145%75.569.0+6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State2220291%82.163.5+18.5
2 Belmont2217577%81.369.9+11.4
3 Drake2115671%75.366.8+8.5
4 Northern Iowa2011955%74.569.9+4.7
5 Bradley21111052%72.166.5+5.6
6 Southern Illinois21101148%63.060.4+2.6
7 Valparaiso21101148%72.170.2+2.0
8 Indiana State1991047%73.570.5+3.0
9 Illinois State22101245%78.076.7+1.3
10 Illinois (Chi.)1971237%70.473.0-2.6
11 Evansville1951426%59.368.4-9.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State284472
Evansville213758
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