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Missouri State vs Southern Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 65-53
24-21 41-32
Position#50
Record11-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game68.4
vs
Position#211
Record9-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game69.8
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Missouri State v Southern Illinois
15 Jan 2025
MISS51
SOUT73
21 Jan 2023
MISS57
SOUT61
12 Jan 2022
MISS81
SOUT76
10 Feb 2021
MISS65
SOUT53
21 Jan 2021
MISS v SOUT
upcoming
29 Feb 2020
MISS84
SOUT59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#122
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H03/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A09/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A10/01
NCAA
Missouri S&T
#460
W
94-49
94
49
+45
H17/01
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
61-68
61
68
-7
H27/01
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H28/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
46-72
46
72
-26
H31/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
50-70
50
70
-20
H02/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
W
74-67
74
67
+7
A06/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-29
38-37
41-37
40-31
38-29
40-39
39-25
55-24
41-26
20-42
35-44
38-34
16-41
30-31
26-42
24-28
36-36
38-31
42-34
30-28
136.7Avg total
69.9Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)74.368.4142.7+5.969%
Season at home (10)73.068.5141.5+4.560%
Season away (6)76.568.2144.7+8.383%
Last 10 (10)69.966.8136.7+3.160%
Last 5 (5)63.069.8132.8-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)59.276.6135.8-17.40%
vs Similar (12)75.869.2144.9+6.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)79.368.5147.7+10.891%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#277
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H27/12
NCAA
Evansville
#277
L
72-84
72
84
-12
H28/12
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
55-73
55
73
-18
A03/01
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
55-86
55
86
-31
A05/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A26/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
L
62-74
62
74
-12
H30/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#234
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A06/02
NCAA
Bradley
#234
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-19
35-38
39-35
33-49
30-39
25-34
21-41
34-45
33-34
33-35
29-31
30-40
30-27
32-47
37-24
34-44
31-32
35-42
37-43
32-25
136.2Avg total
63.8Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)70.069.8139.8+0.256%
Season at home (8)73.465.5138.9+7.975%
Season away (8)66.674.1140.8-7.538%
Last 10 (10)63.872.4136.2-8.630%
Last 5 (5)65.471.0136.4-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)62.969.3132.2-6.440%
vs Similar (14)66.769.9136.6-3.150%
vs Weaker (6)73.557.2130.7+16.3100%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: -7.6-7.6
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: -7.6-7.6
Missouri StateSouthern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#122
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A09/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A10/01
NCAA
Missouri S&T
#460
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H17/01
NCAA
Drake
#11
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H27/01
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H28/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
16-41
16
41
-25
H31/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H02/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A06/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A07/02
NCAA
68.9Avg total
34.6Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.033.570.5+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.831.168.8+6.771%-
Last 30 away (13)35.936.772.6-0.846%-
Last 10 (10)34.634.368.9+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)31.039.470.4-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.840.870.6-11.020%-
vs Similar (12)37.833.671.3+4.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.532.171.6+7.582%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#277
W
28-19
28
19
+9
H27/12
NCAA
Evansville
#277
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H28/12
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A03/01
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A05/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A26/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A26/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H30/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#234
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A06/02
NCAA
Bradley
#234
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A07/02
NCAA
64.0Avg total
31.5Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.331.063.3+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.430.966.3+4.580%-
Last 30 away (15)29.231.160.3-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)31.532.564.0-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)32.831.464.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)30.433.964.3-3.540%-
vs Similar (14)33.030.763.7+2.357%-
vs Weaker (6)33.826.860.7+7.083%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Missouri State wins
1
Southern Illinois wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/21AIllinois State72-62
06/02/21AIllinois State74-67
02/02/21HLoyola Chicago50-70
31/01/21HLoyola Chicago46-72
28/01/21HDrake73-78
27/01/21HDrake61-68
17/01/21HMissouri S&T94-49
10/01/21AValparaiso78-68
09/01/21AValparaiso81-68
03/01/21HIndiana State70-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/21ABradley69-68
06/02/21ABradley66-74
31/01/21HNorthern Iowa71-68
30/01/21HNorthern Iowa62-74
26/01/21AIndiana State59-71
26/01/21AIndiana State66-69
05/01/21ADrake55-86
03/01/21ADrake55-73
28/12/20HEvansville72-84
27/12/20HEvansville63-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW69%
HomeWLLLL60%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %69%60%83%
Points / game74.373.076.5
Allowed / game68.468.568.2
Point differential+5.9+4.5+8.3
Avg total142.7141.5144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%30%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Southern Illinois
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW56%
HomeWWLLW75%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%75%38%
Points / game70.073.466.6
Allowed / game69.865.574.1
Point differential+0.2+7.9-7.5
Avg total139.8138.9140.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Western Kentucky1713476%74.169.5+4.5
2 Liberty2015575%73.858.2+15.6
3 Sam Houston St.2115671%80.471.0+9.4
4 Louisiana Tech2115671%72.365.9+6.4
5 Missouri State1611569%74.368.4+5.9
6 Jacksonville State1912763%74.468.9+5.5
7 Delaware147750%67.066.4+0.6
8 UTEP1881044%70.470.3+0.1
9 New Mexico State73443%71.967.7+4.1
10 Middle Tenn. St.1651131%61.366.6-5.2
11 Kennesaw State1831517%64.668.8-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont2221195%83.068.3+14.7
2 Drake2019195%81.363.0+18.4
3 Indiana State1911858%67.467.4+0.0
4 Southern Illinois169756%70.069.8+0.2
5 Illinois (Chi.)179853%68.770.9-2.2
6 Murray State189950%77.167.3+9.8
7 Bradley22111150%71.064.1+6.9
8 Evansville1881044%63.767.3-3.7
9 Valparaiso2071335%67.070.2-3.1
10 Northern Iowa1961332%68.972.1-3.2
11 Illinois State1951426%72.676.6-4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State244165
Southern Illinois213253
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