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Missouri State vs Southern Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 81-76
36-34 45-42
Position#49
Record11-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game67.8
vs
Position#187
Record9-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game64.9
Allowed / game59.4
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Missouri State v Southern Illinois
15 Jan 2025
MISS51
SOUT73
21 Jan 2023
MISS57
SOUT61
12 Jan 2022
MISS81
SOUT76
10 Feb 2021
MISS65
SOUT53
21 Jan 2021
MISS v SOUT
upcoming
29 Feb 2020
MISS84
SOUT59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#56
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H04/12
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
81-55
81
55
+26
A09/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#119
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H11/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#7
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H16/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#294
W
106-70
106
70
+36
H19/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#35
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A23/12
NCAA
Evangel
#594
W
103-56
103
56
+47
H30/12
NCAA
Drake
#64
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H03/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-35
41-39
42-28
39-27
27-25
42-35
40-33
35-30
45-30
61-40
36-33
22-42
52-30
51-26
23-29
38-27
41-33
30-36
34-33
50-52
143.9Avg total
77.6Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.867.8146.6+10.965%
Season at home (11)80.568.5149.1+12.064%
Season away (6)75.566.5142.0+9.067%
Last 10 (10)77.666.3143.9+11.370%
Last 5 (5)75.468.2143.6+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)59.572.8132.2-13.20%
vs Similar (8)70.062.2132.2+7.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)78.068.1146.1+9.971%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Creighton
#82
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H22/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#192
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H27/11
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A02/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#346
W
66-41
66
41
+25
H05/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#292
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A11/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
80-55
80
55
+25
H16/12
NCAA
Maryville
#415
W
75-55
75
55
+20
H18/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#61
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A22/12
NCAA
Grambling St.
#282
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H29/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-32
36-34
22-36
40-23
32-17
22-35
32-23
34-18
33-41
32-28
29-23
51-32
37-25
38-30
26-36
26-28
41-25
34-39
32-22
31-38
124.1Avg total
65.6Scored
58.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)64.959.4124.3+5.664%
Season at home (8)67.856.8124.5+11.075%
Season away (6)61.262.8124.0-1.750%
Last 10 (10)65.658.5124.1+7.170%
Last 5 (5)69.059.6128.6+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)58.366.7125.0-8.322%
vs Similar (11)63.566.4129.8-2.945%
vs Weaker (10)66.357.8124.1+8.570%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +5.5+5.52nd half: +3.9+3.9
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +5.5+5.52nd half: +3.9+3.9
Missouri StateSouthern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#56
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H04/12
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A09/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#119
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H11/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#7
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H16/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#294
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H19/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#35
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A23/12
NCAA
Evangel
#594
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H30/12
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H03/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A06/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H08/01
NCAA
67.6Avg total
36.7Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.231.667.7+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.531.566.0+3.061%-
Last 30 away (12)38.731.770.3+7.075%-
Last 10 (10)36.730.967.6+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)37.231.668.8+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.541.870.2-13.20%-
vs Similar (8)33.628.862.4+4.975%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)38.230.668.8+7.676%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Creighton
#82
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H22/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#192
L
22-36
22
36
-14
H27/11
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
32-17
32
17
+15
A02/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#346
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H05/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#292
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A11/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H16/12
NCAA
Maryville
#415
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H18/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#61
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A22/12
NCAA
Grambling St.
#282
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H29/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A09/01
NCAA
59.2Avg total
31.2Scored
28.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.829.659.5+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.128.358.4+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)29.630.860.4-1.238%-
Last 10 (10)31.228.059.2+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)33.026.259.2+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)26.933.960.8-7.011%-
vs Similar (11)31.428.559.8+2.964%-
vs Weaker (10)30.827.157.9+3.760%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Missouri State wins
1
Southern Illinois wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/22HNorthern Iowa84-85
06/01/22ABradley71-69
03/01/22HDrake61-56
30/12/21HEvangel103-56
23/12/21ASt. Marys (CA)58-75
19/12/21HCentral Arkansas106-70
16/12/21HSouth Dakota St.75-63
11/12/21HOral Roberts69-60
09/12/21AUALR81-55
04/12/21HBrigham Young68-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/22AValparaiso63-60
29/12/21HGrambling St.75-64
22/12/21ASan Francisco52-64
18/12/21HMaryville75-55
16/12/21HSoutheast Missouri State80-55
11/12/21ATulsa65-69
05/12/21HSouthern Miss66-41
02/12/21AEvansville54-52
27/11/21HAlcorn State62-59
22/11/21HCreighton64-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL65%
HomeWWWWL64%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %65%64%67%
Points / game78.880.575.5
Allowed / game67.868.566.5
Point differential+10.9+12.0+9.0
Avg total146.6149.1142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%45%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%17%
Southern Illinois
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %64%75%50%
Points / game64.967.861.2
Allowed / game59.456.862.8
Point differential+5.6+11.0-1.7
Avg total124.3124.5124.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico State1513287%77.268.1+9.1
2 Louisiana Tech1613381%79.068.1+10.9
3 Delaware1611569%74.869.8+4.9
4 Liberty1711665%72.459.8+12.6
5 Missouri State1711665%78.867.8+10.9
6 Jacksonville State159660%76.167.1+8.9
7 Western Kentucky159660%77.368.5+8.8
8 Middle Tenn. St.159660%75.167.0+8.1
9 UTEP158753%69.464.9+4.5
10 Sam Houston St.178947%72.567.3+5.2
11 Kennesaw State135838%78.671.7+6.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State1412286%84.666.9+17.6
2 Belmont1512380%82.070.0+12.0
3 Drake1611569%74.664.0+10.6
4 Southern Illinois149564%64.959.4+5.6
5 Northern Iowa158753%75.069.5+5.5
6 Indiana State158753%75.771.0+4.7
7 Illinois State158753%80.477.9+2.5
8 Valparaiso178947%73.269.2+4.0
9 Bradley167944%71.767.9+3.8
10 Illinois (Chi.)135838%68.070.4-2.4
11 Evansville1441029%61.566.6-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State364581
Southern Illinois344276
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