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Southern Illinois vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 68-66
43-41 25-25
Position#162
Record12-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game63.4
Allowed / game59.9
vs
Position#196
Record9-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game69.2
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Southern Illinois v Missouri State
11 Jan 2025
SOUT88
MISS78
31 Jan 2024
SOUT75
MISS76
03 Mar 2023
SOUT54
MISS51
05 Feb 2023
SOUT73
MISS53
02 Feb 2022
SOUT54
MISS69
17 Feb 2021
SOUT53
MISS68
08 Feb 2020
SOUT68
MISS66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#312
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H04/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H08/01
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
48-67
48
67
-19
A12/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
48-64
48
64
-16
A17/01
NCAA
Drake
#138
W
66-49
66
49
+17
H19/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H23/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A25/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H30/01
NCAA
Drake
#138
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A01/02
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
64-60 OT
64
60
+4
A06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-19
38-36
32-28
31-22
29-26
19-41
26-31
22-33
31-23
35-26
28-26
40-40
17-23
41-32
31-33
37-30
42-29
37-43
24-22
30-32
123.0Avg total
62.9Scored
60.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)63.459.9123.3+3.467%
Season at home (9)67.954.2122.1+13.7100%
Season away (9)58.965.7124.6-6.833%
Last 10 (10)62.960.1123.0+2.880%
Last 5 (5)67.463.2130.6+4.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)59.362.8122.2-3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (6)64.760.3125.0+4.367%
vs Weaker (6)66.256.7122.8+9.583%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A05/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
W
67-63
67
63
+4
A08/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
57-80
57
80
-23
H11/01
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
78-91
78
91
-13
H16/01
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A18/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H24/01
NCAA
Drake
#138
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A26/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
66-95
66
95
-29
A30/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-27
28-35
30-25
37-38
28-48
29-32
41-51
37-40
30-35
38-23
36-16
31-44
25-37
44-34
31-51
35-44
38-46
30-32
42-26
38-34
139.6Avg total
67.8Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)68.569.2137.6-0.747%
Season at home (9)71.967.2139.1+4.767%
Season away (10)65.470.9136.3-5.530%
Last 10 (10)67.871.8139.6-4.040%
Last 5 (5)70.072.8142.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.879.8144.6-15.020%
vs Similar ◀ (8)67.172.4139.5-5.212%
vs Weaker (7)73.159.6132.7+13.6100%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -0.9-0.9
Southern IllinoisMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#312
W
29-19
29
19
+10
H04/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H08/01
NCAA
Bradley
#76
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A12/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A17/01
NCAA
Drake
#138
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H19/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H23/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
L
17-23
17
23
-6
A25/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H30/01
NCAA
Drake
#138
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A01/02
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
24-22
24
22
+2
A06/02
NCAA
54.9Avg total
28.9Scored
26.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)31.127.558.6+3.672%-
Last 30 at home (9)33.426.159.6+7.389%-
Last 30 away (9)28.828.957.7-0.156%-
Last 10 (10)28.926.054.9+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)28.426.655.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.828.359.2+2.567%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)32.829.862.7+3.067%-
vs Weaker (6)29.724.354.0+5.383%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#66
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A05/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A08/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H11/01
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H16/01
NCAA
Evansville
#338
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A18/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
W
36-16
36
16
+20
H24/01
NCAA
Drake
#138
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A30/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H06/02
NCAA
69.3Avg total
33.1Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)32.132.864.9-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (11)34.132.366.4+1.864%-
Last 30 away (11)30.133.463.5-3.336%-
Last 10 (10)33.136.269.3-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)34.435.269.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.237.066.2-7.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)32.133.665.8-1.538%-
vs Weaker (7)32.628.761.3+3.957%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Southern Illinois wins
0
Missouri State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/20AEvansville64-60 OT
01/02/20ADrake79-72
30/01/20HLoyola Chicago68-63
25/01/20AIllinois State58-55
23/01/20HNorthern Iowa68-66
19/01/20HDrake66-49
17/01/20ALoyola Chicago48-64
12/01/20ABradley48-67
08/01/20HValparaiso63-50
04/01/20HIllinois State67-55
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/20HIllinois State80-60
01/02/20HIndiana State68-78
30/01/20ANorthern Iowa66-95
26/01/20ADrake69-71
24/01/20HValparaiso67-60
18/01/20AEvansville68-58
16/01/20HBradley78-91
11/01/20HNorthern Iowa57-80
08/01/20AIllinois State67-63
05/01/20ALoyola Chicago58-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Illinois
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game63.467.958.9
Allowed / game59.954.265.7
Point differential+3.4+13.7-6.8
Avg total123.3122.1124.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%78%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Missouri State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW47%
HomeLLWLW67%
AwayLWWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%67%30%
Points / game68.571.965.4
Allowed / game69.267.270.9
Point differential-0.7+4.7-5.5
Avg total137.6139.1136.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%44%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa1815383%78.266.2+12.0
2 Indiana State1814478%70.463.2+7.2
3 Murray State1914574%76.165.8+10.3
4 Belmont2114767%78.769.7+9.0
5 Southern Illinois1812667%63.459.9+3.4
6 Drake2113862%68.767.4+1.3
7 Bradley2012860%70.165.0+5.0
8 Illinois (Chi.)22111150%69.770.0-0.2
9 Valparaiso2091145%71.572.0-0.5
10 Evansville2061430%68.076.2-8.3
11 Illinois State2051525%65.070.7-5.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2118386%68.652.3+16.3
2 New Mexico State2016480%71.358.9+12.5
3 Louisiana Tech2014670%73.063.9+9.2
4 Sam Houston St.2013765%80.573.2+7.2
5 Delaware1912763%74.273.1+1.1
6 Western Kentucky2012860%73.271.2+2.0
7 Missouri State1991047%68.569.2-0.7
8 Jacksonville State2191243%71.168.5+2.6
9 UTEP2191243%65.867.0-1.2
10 Middle Tenn. St.2031715%68.975.7-6.8
11 Kennesaw State201195%56.176.2-20.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Illinois432568
Missouri State412566
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