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Missouri State vs Southern Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 84-59
39-31 45-28
Position#196
Record12-13
FormWWLWL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game69.4
vs
Position#162
Record14-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game62.7
Allowed / game61.0
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Missouri State v Southern Illinois
15 Jan 2025
MISS51
SOUT73
21 Jan 2023
MISS57
SOUT61
12 Jan 2022
MISS81
SOUT76
10 Feb 2021
MISS65
SOUT53
21 Jan 2021
MISS v SOUT
upcoming
29 Feb 2020
MISS84
SOUT59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#138
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A26/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
66-95
66
95
-29
A30/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H06/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A09/02
NCAA
Drake
#138
W
97-62
97
62
+35
H13/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
W
71-58
71
58
+13
A16/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
79-83 OT
79
83
-4
A20/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
L
74-89
74
89
-15
A26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-37
44-34
31-51
35-44
38-46
30-32
42-26
38-34
41-43
25-25
52-30
45-32
38-31
33-27
32-41
40-31
41-23
33-39
39-41
35-48
147.0Avg total
74.4Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)70.569.4139.9+1.048%
Season at home (11)74.466.3140.6+8.173%
Season away (14)67.471.9139.4-4.529%
Last 10 (10)74.472.6147.0+1.840%
Last 5 (5)79.070.8149.8+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.879.8144.6-15.020%
vs Similar ◀ (14)71.371.5142.8-0.229%
vs Weaker (7)73.159.6132.7+13.6100%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#312
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A25/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H30/01
NCAA
Drake
#138
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A01/02
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
64-60 OT
64
60
+4
A06/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H09/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A13/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H15/02
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
70-53
70
53
+17
H21/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A23/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
17-23
41-32
31-33
37-30
42-29
37-43
24-22
30-32
43-41
25-25
16-28
22-27
25-43
42-26
40-37
30-16
34-26
18-38
37-45
31-32
126.6Avg total
63.2Scored
63.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)62.761.0123.6+1.758%
Season at home (13)68.057.9125.9+10.185%
Season away (11)56.464.5120.9-8.227%
Last 10 (10)63.263.4126.6-0.260%
Last 5 (5)59.063.6122.6-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)59.463.8123.1-4.438%
vs Similar ◀ (9)62.462.2124.7+0.256%
vs Weaker (7)66.756.1122.9+10.686%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +1.2+1.2
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +1.2+1.2
Missouri StateSouthern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#138
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A30/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H06/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A09/02
NCAA
Drake
#138
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H13/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A16/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A20/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H22/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A26/02
NCAA
74.8Avg total
37.9Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)33.933.267.1+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.031.467.4+4.669%-
Last 30 away (15)32.134.966.9-2.833%-
Last 10 (10)37.936.974.8+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.433.273.6+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.237.066.2-7.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.734.169.9+1.643%-
vs Weaker (7)32.628.761.3+3.957%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#312
L
17-23
17
23
-6
A25/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H30/01
NCAA
Drake
#138
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A01/02
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
24-22
24
22
+2
A06/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H09/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
L
16-28
16
28
-12
A13/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H15/02
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A23/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H27/02
NCAA
63.6Avg total
30.9Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)31.529.861.2+1.767%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.330.865.2+3.577%-
Last 30 away (11)28.128.556.6-0.555%-
Last 10 (10)30.932.763.6-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)30.435.866.2-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.529.960.4+0.662%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)32.632.665.1+0.056%-
vs Weaker (7)31.126.157.3+5.086%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Missouri State wins
1
Southern Illinois wins
DateGameScore
09/02/20Southern Illinois v Missouri State68-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/20AValparaiso74-89
22/02/20HLoyola Chicago74-62
20/02/20ABradley79-83 OT
16/02/20AIndiana State71-58
13/02/20HDrake97-62
09/02/20ASouthern Illinois66-68
06/02/20HIllinois State80-60
01/02/20HIndiana State68-78
30/01/20ANorthern Iowa66-95
26/01/20ADrake69-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/20HIndiana State68-77
23/02/20ANorthern Iowa52-64
21/02/20HEvansville70-53
15/02/20HBradley67-69
13/02/20AValparaiso38-55
09/02/20HMissouri State68-66
06/02/20AEvansville64-60 OT
01/02/20ADrake79-72
30/01/20HLoyola Chicago68-63
25/01/20AIllinois State58-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL48%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %48%73%29%
Points / game70.574.467.4
Allowed / game69.466.371.9
Point differential+1.0+8.1-4.5
Avg total139.9140.6139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%55%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)100% (1)29% (7)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Southern Illinois
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL58%
HomeWWLWL85%
AwayWWWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %58%85%27%
Points / game62.768.056.4
Allowed / game61.057.964.5
Point differential+1.7+10.1-8.2
Avg total123.6125.9120.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2622485%69.654.0+15.6
2 New Mexico State2521484%71.860.0+11.8
3 Louisiana Tech2417771%73.565.3+8.2
4 Sam Houston St.2516964%79.373.5+5.8
5 Western Kentucky2415962%73.971.7+2.2
6 Delaware24141058%73.873.0+0.8
7 Missouri State25121348%70.569.4+1.0
8 Jacksonville State26111542%70.969.0+1.8
9 UTEP24101442%65.566.9-1.4
10 Middle Tenn. St.2341917%68.675.2-6.6
11 Kennesaw State261254%55.074.6-19.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa2318578%76.766.0+10.6
2 Belmont2619773%79.069.2+9.9
3 Murray State2518772%74.665.1+9.5
4 Indiana State2518772%69.364.2+5.0
5 Bradley27171063%70.966.4+4.4
6 Southern Illinois24141058%62.761.0+1.7
7 Drake26151158%68.468.8-0.3
8 Illinois (Chi.)26141254%70.269.1+1.2
9 Valparaiso27131448%71.570.7+0.8
10 Illinois State2781930%65.469.9-4.5
11 Evansville2762122%66.775.6-8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State394584
Southern Illinois312859
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